Siegel Center · at VCU · Conference game
Closing line
VCU -14.5✓ JOES covered by 7.5
VCU -14.5✓ JOES covered by 7.5Closing total151.5Under by 0.5
 JOES | This season | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| 9-7 | Record | 12-6 |
| 6-10 | ATS | 9-9 |
| 6-10 | O/U | 11-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JOES 70–83 VCU · ✓ VCU (87%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 29 | 43 | 72 |
| VCU | 34 | 45 | 79 |
1st half: JOES 29, VCU 34 (VCU by 5). The model had VCU by 7.7 and a total of 71.8 (actual 63).
Team stats
| JOES | VCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-55 47% | Field goals | 27-63 43% |
| 8-18 44% | 3-pointers | 11-30 37% |
| 12-19 63% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 37 8 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 13 | Assists | 17 |
| 5 | Steals | 12 |
| 6 | Blocks | 5 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| JOES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Simpson G | 36 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 10-16 | 5-7 |
| Justice Ajogbor C | 34 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano G | 28 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Dasear Haskins F | 27 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Finkley F | 23 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Williford G | 26 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Khaafiq Myers G | 20 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Smith C | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mekai Johnson, Billy Rayer, Kevin Kearney, Will Lange, Owen Verna, Steven Solano, Al Amadou
| VCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Jennings G | 27 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 6-12 | 4-4 |
| Barry Evans F | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Lazar Djokovic F | 23 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Jadrian Tracey G | 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Nyk Lewis G | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Terrence Hill Jr. G | 30 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3-11 | 2-8 |
| Michael Belle F | 30 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 9-11 | 2-4 |
| Tyrell Ward G | 23 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Ahmad Nowell G | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jordan Tillery, Keyshawn Mitchell, Jordann Dumont, Obinnaya Okafor, Christian Fermin
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVCU -14.5
ModelVCU -13.1
Model edgeJOES +1.4
W JOES covered
Total
Market151.5
Model153.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
L Under
Projected score
JOES 70.1 · VCU 83.2
JOES 72 · VCU 79
Win probability
VCU 87%
1st half
Spread
VCU -7.7
VCU -5.0
Total
71.8
63 points
Projected score
JOES 32 · VCU 39.7
JOES 29 · VCU 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVCU -15.5
1 → JOES
CloseVCU -14.5
1 pt toward JOES
Total
Open153.5
▼ 2
Close151.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
JOES +850 · VCU -1450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VCU -15.5 · closed VCU -14.5 · moved 1 toward JOESmodel VCU -13
model VCU -13
Opened 153.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 2 downmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| VCU | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
JOES 0–5 VCUVCU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · VCU has won the last 5 meetings · JOES 1-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2024-25 | VCU 78 @ JOES 69 | JOES +3.5 | VCU W |
| Mar 16, 2023-24 | JOES 60 vs VCU 66 | VCU -2.5 | VCU W |
| Feb 25, 2023-24 | JOES 69 @ VCU 73 | VCU -4.5 | JOES W |
| Feb 21, 2022-23 | VCU 88 @ JOES 63 | JOES +5.5 | VCU W |
| Jan 22, 2021-22 | JOES 54 @ VCU 70 | VCU -12 | VCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Joseph's
16 games played
Straight up
9-7
56% wins
Against the spread
6-10
38% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-10
38% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LAF | W 85-76 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | vs DREX | W 76-65 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 12 | @ VT | L 59-94 | +12.5 | L −22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 17 | @ PENN | L 74-83 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 20 | @ UNLV | L 85-99 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRIN | W 60-58 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 6 | vs TEM | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs COPP | W 87-65 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 11 | @ SYR | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs DSU | W 67-51 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 22 | vs CCU | L 62-68 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 31 | @ SLU | L 79-102 | +19.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vs DAV | L 56-62 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs DUQ | W 97-90 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 11 | @ RICH | W 67-65 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 14 | vs SBU | W 68-64 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
−4.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−22.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
−3.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−3.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
−0.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
+3.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−1.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−13.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
−3.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−4.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+8.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
+9.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
+5.5
covered 6didn’t cover 10avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
+22.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−5.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−6.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
+22.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−28.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
−8.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
+5.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
−12.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−19.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−14.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
+19.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−21.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+37.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
−18.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
−15.5
over 6under 10avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
VCU
18 games played
Straight up
12-6
67% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-7
61% overs · avg +4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WAG | W 103-74 | -25.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 7 | vs USU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs SPU | W 78-61 | -20.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 17 | @ NCSU | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 22 | vsCOPP | W 101-58 | -32.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 26 | vs USF | W 78-66 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs VAN | L 74-89 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vsVT | W 86-68 | -2.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 5 | vs SAM | W 83-57 | -19.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs UNM | L 78-81 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 15 | vs NIA | W 84-58 | -30.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 18 | vs AMER | W 105-83 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 22 | vs RID | W 100-79 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 145.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 31 | vsSBU | W 89-82 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 3 | @DUQ | W 93-80 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 7 | vsSLU | L 62-71 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @ GMU | L 80-86 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 14 | @ URI | W 84-75 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+3.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−0.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−3.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
+5.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+10.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
+10.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
−8.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+15.5
5
vsSAM
SAMW 83-57
+6.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 78-81
−11.5
15
vsNIA
NIAW 84-58
−4.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 105-83
+2.5
22
vsRID
RIDW 100-79
−9.5
31
vsSBU
SBUW 89-82
−2.5
3
@DUQ
DUQW 93-80
+7.5
7
vsSLU
SLUL 62-71
−10.5
10
@GMU
GMUL 80-86
−7.5
14
@URI
URIW 84-75
+5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+43.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−6.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−8.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
−0.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+7.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
−28.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
+1.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+0.5
5
vsSAM
SAMW 83-57
−14.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 78-81
+1.5
15
vsNIA
NIAW 84-58
−1.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 105-83
+33.5
22
vsRID
RIDW 100-79
+33.5
31
vsSBU
SBUW 89-82
+13.5
3
@DUQ
DUQW 93-80
+7.5
7
vsSLU
SLUL 62-71
−38.5
10
@GMU
GMUL 80-86
+21.5
14
@URI
URIW 84-75
+11.5
over 11under 7avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Joseph's
9-7 overall · 3-2 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs St Bonaventure68–64
- W@ Richmond67–65
- Wvs Duquesne97–90
- Lvs Davidson56–62
- L@ Saint Louis79–102
5 days since their last game.
VCU
12-6 overall · 3-2 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Rhode Island84–75
- L@ George Mason80–86
- Lvs Saint Louis62–71
- W@ Duquesne93–80
- Wvs St Bonaventure89–82
5 days since their last game.