The Super Pit · at North Texas
Closing line
UNT -11.5✓ HCU covered by 9.5
UNT -11.5✓ HCU covered by 9.5Closing total127.5Over by 24.5
 HCU | This season | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 5-2 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 0-5 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HCU 58–71 UNT · ✓ UNT (86%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCU | 34 | 41 | 75 |
| UNT | 40 | 37 | 77 |
1st half: HCU 34, UNT 40 (UNT by 6). The model had UNT by 7.3 and a total of 60.5 (actual 74).
Team stats
| HCU | UNT | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-50 48% | Field goals | 29-47 62% |
| 8-20 40% | 3-pointers | 10-17 59% |
| 19-32 59% | Free throws | 9-19 47% |
| 24 7 off | Rebounds | 35 9 off |
| 15 | Assists | 19 |
| 10 | Steals | 2 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| HCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Johnson F | 39 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Elijah Brooks G | 32 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 5-11 | 0-3 |
| Kylin Green G | 29 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Ryan Bartley G | 26 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Demarco Bethea F | 24 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| D'Aundre Samuels G | 15 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Nehikhare Igiehon F | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Mambourou Mara F | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Demari Williams G | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Ahjany Lee F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Gaston F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Obadiah Curtis, Bryson Monroe, Will Wilson, Brennen Byrd
| UNT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Je'Shawn Stevenson G | 33 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 5-9 | 3-6 |
| David Terrell Jr. G | 32 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Reece Robinson F | 25 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 6-7 | 2-2 |
| Dylan Arnett F | 23 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Demarion Watson G | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cole Franklin G | 22 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Josiah Shackleford F | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Curtis Stinson Jr. G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Cahmai Crosby G | 10 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| Buddy Hammer Jr. F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| EJ Horton G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Will McClendon
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNT -11.5
ModelUNT -12.4
Model edgeUNT +0.9
L HCU covered
Total
Market127.5
Model128.9
Model edgeOver 1.4
W Over
Projected score
HCU 58.2 · UNT 70.7
HCU 75 · UNT 77
Win probability
UNT 86%
1st half
Spread
UNT -7.3
UNT -6.0
Total
60.5
74 points
Projected score
HCU 26.6 · UNT 33.9
HCU 34 · UNT 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNT -11.5
no move
CloseUNT -11.5
No change since the open
Total
Open126.5
▲ 1
Close127.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
HCU +625 · UNT -950
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNT -11.5 · unchangedmodel UNT -12.5
model UNT -12.5
Opened 126.5 · closed 127.5 · moved 1 upmodel 129
model 129
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCUlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% | 0-5 0% |
| UNTlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
HCU 0–1 UNTUNT leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · HCU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024-25 | HCU 46 @ UNT 62 | UNT -23.5 | HCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hou Christian
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-5
0% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
UCSD
UCSDL 60-78
−10.5
13
vs
ULM
ULMW 72-61
+2.5
25
@
BELL
BELLL 69-74
−7.5
26
@
CIT
CITW 72-65
+5.5
29
@
GASO
GASOL 62-80
−10.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@UCSD
UCSDL 60-78
−3.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 72-61
−10.5
25
@BELL
BELLL 69-74
−1.5
26
@CIT
CITW 72-65
−0.5
29
@GASO
GASOL 62-80
−6.5
over 0under 5avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Texas
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs NWST | W 80-53 | -11.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 9 | vs LUC | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORST | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ SMC | L 49-80 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 20 | vs CARK | W 74-56 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs EWU | W 79-71 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs PV | W 72-69 | -16.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
+15.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
+3.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
+1.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
−16.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
+1.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
−4.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−13.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
−4.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
−12.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
−4.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
+0.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
−4.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
+8.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−0.5
over 2under 5avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hou Christian
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ GA Southern62–80
- W@ The Citadel72–65
- L@ Bellarmine69–74
- Wvs UL Monroe72–61
- L@ UC San Diego60–78
3 days since their last game.
North Texas
5-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Prairie View72–69
- Wvs E Washington79–71
- Wvs C Arkansas74–56
- L@ Saint Mary's49–80
- L@ Oregon St64–66
2 days since their last game.