Event Center · at Alabama A&M
Closing line
TNST -4.5✓ AAMU covered by 31.5
TNST -4.5✓ AAMU covered by 31.5Closing total147.5Under by 14.5
| TNST | This season | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 2-3 |
| 4-1 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 2-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TNST 77–73 AAMU · ✗ TNST (64%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNST | 27 | 26 | 53 |
| AAMU | 32 | 48 | 80 |
1st half: TNST 27, AAMU 32 (AAMU by 5). The model had TNST by 2.6 and a total of 70.0 (actual 59).
Team stats
| TNST | AAMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-65 29% | Field goals | 26-51 51% |
| 4-23 17% | 3-pointers | 8-17 47% |
| 11-20 55% | Free throws | 20-27 74% |
| 42 25 off | Rebounds | 40 12 off |
| 7 | Assists | 11 |
| 11 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 7 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Harris G | 33 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Travis Harper II G | 29 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 28 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4-13 | 1-5 |
| Jalen Pitre F | 22 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Carlous Williams F | 17 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khalil London G | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-12 | 2-6 |
| Kavien Jones F | 18 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 16 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Jabrion Spikes G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Damon Howard Jr. G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jayden Jones, Jean Lafleur, Ogien Ayo, Maddux Bodenhamer, JC Brooks, Alex Garcia
| AAMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sami Pissis G | 36 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 7-12 | 4-8 |
| Koron Davis G | 34 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| PJ Eason F | 33 | 10 | 14 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Kintavious Dozier G | 33 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| James Graham III G | 32 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 7-9 | 3-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Peyton Daniels Sr. G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Lou Hutchinson III G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Gabe Kincy G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Angok Anyang F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| James Flippin F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Ramey, Tajden Davis, Jayden Jackson, Jalen Carruth, Bilal Abdur-Rahman, Samuel Onu
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTNST -4.5
ModelTNST -4.1
Model edgeAAMU +0.4
W AAMU covered
Total
Market147.5
Model149.5
Model edgeOver 2.0
L Under
Projected score
TNST 76.8 · AAMU 72.7
TNST 53 · AAMU 80
Win probability
TNST 64%
1st half
Spread
TNST -2.6
AAMU -5.0
Total
70.0
59 points
Projected score
TNST 36.3 · AAMU 33.7
TNST 27 · AAMU 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTNST -3.5
1 → TNST
CloseTNST -4.5
1 pt toward TNST
Total
Open143.5
▲ 4
Close147.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
TNST -192 · AAMU +160
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TNST -3.5 · closed TNST -4.5 · moved 1 toward TNSTmodel TNST -4
model TNST -4
Opened 143.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 4 upmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNSTlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 4-1 80% | 2-3 40% |
| AAMUlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TNST 2–2 AAMUSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · TNST 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024-25 | AAMU 71 @ TNST 81 | TNST -8.5 | TNST W |
| Nov 29, 2023-24 | TNST 83 @ AAMU 85 | AAMU +5.5 | AAMU W |
| Nov 14, 2022-23 | AAMU 76 @ TNST 87 | TNST -9.5 | TNST W |
| Nov 9, 2021-22 | TNST 73 vs AAMU 82 | AAMU +3 | AAMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee St
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
BEL
BELL 79-87
+5.5
16
@
WKU
WKUL 82-95
−0.5
20
@
TENN
TENNL 60-89
+2.5
25
@
UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
+7.5
30
@
UTC
UTCW 70-64
+14.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+7.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
+9.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
−8.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
−16.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
−21.5
over 2under 3avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama A&M
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −7.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
@
IU
IUL 51-98
−16.5
13
vs
CHSO
CHSOW 68-64
+2.5
16
vs
LIN
LINW 74-65
+5.5
28
@
CLEM
CLEML 56-92
−8.5
30
@
CCU
CCUL 60-67
+0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
@IU
IUL 51-98
+1.5
13
vsCHSO
CHSOW 68-64
−20.5
16
vsLIN
LINW 74-65
−10.5
28
@CLEM
CLEML 56-92
+6.5
30
@CCU
CCUL 60-67
−13.5
over 2under 3avg −7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee St
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Chattanooga70–64
- W@ UNC Asheville75–73
- L@ Tennessee60–89
- L@ Western KY82–95
- L@ Belmont79–87
3 days since their last game.
Alabama A&M
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Coastal60–67
- L@ Clemson56–92
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions74–65
- Wvs Charleston So68–64
- L@ Indiana51–98
3 days since their last game.