Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center · at SC State
Closing line
UPST -10.5✓ SCST covered by 4.5
UPST -10.5✓ SCST covered by 4.5Closing total147.5Over by 2.5
| UPST | This season | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 0-11 |
| 8-2 | ATS | 3-8 |
| 4-6 | O/U | 4-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UPST 80–71 SCST · ✓ UPST (78%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 40 | 38 | 78 |
| SCST | 37 | 35 | 72 |
1st half: UPST 40, SCST 37 (UPST by 3). The model had UPST by 5.5 and a total of 70.5 (actual 77).
Team stats
| UPST | SCST | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-53 51% | Field goals | 28-55 51% |
| 8-21 38% | 3-pointers | 7-18 39% |
| 16-25 64% | Free throws | 9-13 69% |
| 30 9 off | Rebounds | 23 5 off |
| 15 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| UPST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Smith G | 32 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 6-8 | 2-4 |
| Learic Davis F | 30 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-3 |
| Mason Bendinger G | 27 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 7-13 | 1-3 |
| Karmani Gregory G | 23 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Jafeth Martinez F | 18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carmelo Adkins G | 22 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Isaiah Skinner G | 20 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Coen Collier C | 18 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Kanye Jones G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chico Johnson G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: TJ Lewis, Breylin Garcia, Nic Book, CJ Rich
| SCST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Johnson G | 30 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6-11 | 1-3 |
| Obie Bronston Jr. G | 28 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 7-12 | 2-7 |
| Florian Tenebay G | 28 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Derwin Hodge Jr. F | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Clark F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Parker F | 29 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Noah Treadwell G | 24 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Tim Okojie C | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Rayniel Wright G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| D'Shay Knights Wright F | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Teon Tindal F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| James Morrow G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jamal Miles, Colin McKenzie
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUPST -10.5
ModelUPST -8.9
Model edgeSCST +1.6
W SCST covered
Total
Market147.5
Model150.5
Model edgeOver 3.0
W Over
Projected score
UPST 79.7 · SCST 70.8
UPST 78 · SCST 72
Win probability
UPST 78%
1st half
Spread
UPST -5.5
UPST -3.0
Total
70.5
77 points
Projected score
UPST 38 · SCST 32.5
UPST 40 · SCST 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUPST -9.5
1 → UPST
CloseUPST -10.5
1 pt toward UPST
Total
Open147.5
no move
Close147.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UPST -520 · SCST +390
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UPST -9.5 · closed UPST -10.5 · moved 1 toward UPSTmodel UPST -9
model UPST -9
Opened 147.5 · unchangedmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
| SCST | 0-10 0% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UPST 2–1 SCSTUPST leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · UPST 0-2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024-25 | SCST 85 @ UPST 70 | UPST +2.5 | SCST W |
| Dec 10, 2022-23 | SCST 84 @ UPST 89 | UPST -6.5 | SCST W |
| Nov 23, 2021-22 | UPST 82 @ SCST 78 | SCST +4 | P |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SC Upstate
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
8-2
80% covers · avg +5.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CBU | L 75-87 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 5 | @ FRES | W 67-66 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 15 | @ UNCW | L 60-73 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | vs TNTC | L 84-88 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 21 | @ WGA | L 64-72 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 25 | vs NCCU | W 82-67 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 29 | @ NEB | L 63-72 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs CCU | W 85-78 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs WCU | W 78-67 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNC | L 62-80 | +29.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+2.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
+10.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
+1.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
−6.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−5.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+7.5
29
@NEB
NEBL 63-72
+16.5
3
vsCCU
CCUW 85-78
+4.5
6
vsWCU
WCUW 78-67
+8.5
13
@UNC
UNCL 62-80
+11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 2avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+9.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
−31.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
−22.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
+21.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−17.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+0.5
29
@NEB
NEBL 63-72
−22.5
3
vsCCU
CCUW 85-78
+18.5
6
vsWCU
WCUW 78-67
−4.5
13
@UNC
UNCL 62-80
−9.5
over 4under 6avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
SC State
11 games played
Straight up
0-11
0% wins
Against the spread
3-8
27% covers · avg −6.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ LOU | L 45-104 | +35.5 | L −23.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 7 | @ SAM | L 72-82 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 10 | @ NCAT | L 62-85 | +2.5 | L −20.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | @ COFC | L 61-88 | +18.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vs UTC | L 66-78 | +11.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | @ SDAK | L 81-82 | +15.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 25 | @ MIZ | L 66-98 | +34.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 29 | @ WIN | L 79-101 | +20.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 5 | @ BCU | L 59-80 | +13.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 8 | @ CHSO | L 44-84 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 12 | @ QUC | L 78-102 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@LOU
LOUL 45-104
−23.5
7
@SAM
SAML 72-82
+4.5
10
@NCAT
NCATL 62-85
−20.5
14
@COFC
COFCL 61-88
−8.5
19
vsUTC
UTCL 66-78
−0.5
23
@SDAK
SDAKL 81-82
+14.5
25
@MIZ
MIZL 66-98
+2.5
29
@WIN
WINL 79-101
−1.5
5
@BCU
BCUL 59-80
−7.5
8
@CHSO
CHSOL 44-84
−27.5
12
@QUC
QUCL 78-102
−5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 8avg −6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@LOU
LOUL 45-104
−10.5
7
@SAM
SAML 72-82
−0.5
10
@NCAT
NCATL 62-85
−12.5
14
@COFC
COFCL 61-88
−7.5
19
vsUTC
UTCL 66-78
−10.5
23
@SDAK
SDAKL 81-82
+2.5
25
@MIZ
MIZL 66-98
+3.5
29
@WIN
WINL 79-101
+22.5
5
@BCU
BCUL 59-80
−9.5
8
@CHSO
CHSOL 44-84
−28.5
12
@QUC
QUCL 78-102
+22.5
over 4under 7avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SC Upstate
4-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ North Carolina62–80
- Wvs W Carolina78–67
- Wvs Coastal85–78
- L@ Nebraska63–72
- Wvs NC Central82–67
3 days since their last game.
SC State
0-11 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Queens University Royals78–102
- L@ Charleston So44–84
- L@ Bethune59–80
- L@ Winthrop79–101
- L@ Missouri66–98
4 days since their last game.