Pinnacle Bank Arena · at Nebraska
Closing line
NEB -25.5✓ UPST covered by 16.5
NEB -25.5✓ UPST covered by 16.5Closing total157.5Under by 22.5
 UPST | This season | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 7-0 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 3-3 | O/U | 4-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UPST 67–91 NEB · ✓ NEB (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 30 | 33 | 63 |
| NEB | 32 | 40 | 72 |
1st half: UPST 30, NEB 32 (NEB by 2). The model had NEB by 14.2 and a total of 74.1 (actual 62).
Team stats
| UPST | NEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-66 36% | Field goals | 25-60 42% |
| 12-35 34% | 3-pointers | 8-30 27% |
| 3-8 38% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 36 9 off | Rebounds | 45 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 15 |
| 9 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 12 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| UPST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Bendinger G | 33 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 6-14 | 1-2 |
| Karmani Gregory G | 33 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 6-22 | 6-17 |
| Carmelo Adkins G | 30 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 5-14 | 1-7 |
| Jafeth Martinez F | 29 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Nic Book F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Learic Davis F | 21 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Tyler Smith G | 20 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Skinner G | 16 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Coen Collier C | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kanye Jones G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: CJ Rich, Breylin Garcia, TJ Lewis, Chico Johnson
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryce Sandfort F | 32 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 5-13 | 4-8 |
| Rienk Mast F | 30 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6-10 | 0-4 |
| Sam Hoiberg G | 26 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 23 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel C | 20 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cale Jacobsen G | 31 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Braden Frager F | 25 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Jared Garcia F | 10 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Kendall Blue G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Justin Bolis, Will Cooper, Quentin Rhymes, Leo Curtis, Ugnius Jarusevicius, Connor Essegian, Henry Burt
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNEB -25.5
ModelNEB -23.8
Model edgeUPST +1.7
W UPST covered
Total
Market157.5
Model158.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
L Under
Projected score
UPST 67.2 · NEB 91.1
UPST 63 · NEB 72
Win probability
NEB 98%
1st half
Spread
NEB -14.2
NEB -2.0
Total
74.1
62 points
Projected score
UPST 29.9 · NEB 44.2
UPST 30 · NEB 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEB -25.5
no move
CloseNEB -25.5
No change since the open
Total
Open158.5
▼ 1
Close157.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UPST +4000 · NEB -100000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEB -25.5 · unchangedmodel NEB -24
model NEB -24
Opened 158.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 1 downmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPSTlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 4-2 67% | 3-3 50% |
| NEBlast 7 | 7-0 100% | 4-3 57% | 4-3 57% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SC Upstate
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CBU
CBUL 75-87
+2.5
5
@
FRES
FRESW 67-66
+10.5
15
@
UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
+1.5
19
vs
TNTC
TNTCL 84-88
−6.5
21
@
WGA
WGAL 64-72
−5.5
25
vs
NCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+7.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+9.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
−31.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
−22.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
+21.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−17.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+0.5
over 3under 3avg −6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nebraska
7 games played
Straight up
7-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vs
FIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vs
UMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vs
OU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
20
vs
UNM
UNMW 84-72
+3.5
21
vs
KSU
KSUW 86-85
−0.5
25
vs
WIN
WINW 80-73
−7.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+4.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
+2.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−13.5
over 4under 3avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SC Upstate
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NC Central82–67
- L@ West Georgia64–72
- Lvs Tennessee Tech84–88
- L@ UNC Wilmington60–73
- W@ Fresno St67–66
4 days since their last game.
Nebraska
7-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Winthrop80–73
- Wvs Kansas St86–85
- Wvs New Mexico84–72
- Wvs Oklahoma105–99
- Wvs MD Eastern69–50
4 days since their last game.