Jadwin Gymnasium · at Princeton
Closing line
UVM -3.5✓ PRIN covered by 9.5
UVM -3.5✓ PRIN covered by 9.5Closing total136.5Over by 7.5
| UVM | This season | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| 6-6 | Record | 2-11 |
| 6-6 | ATS | 9-4 |
| 9-3 | O/U | 6-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UVM 72–70 PRIN · ✗ UVM (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVM | 32 | 31 | 6 | 69 |
| PRIN | 36 | 27 | 12 | 75 |
1st half: UVM 32, PRIN 36 (PRIN by 4). The model had UVM by 1.1 and a total of 66.5 (actual 68).
Team stats
| UVM | PRIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-61 39% | Field goals | 23-54 43% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 13-31 42% |
| 13-16 81% | Free throws | 16-19 84% |
| 37 11 off | Rebounds | 33 7 off |
| 11 | Assists | 16 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| UVM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Long G | 38 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 10-18 | 6-12 |
| TJ Hurley G | 38 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-8 |
| Sean Blake G | 31 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Noah Barnett F | 29 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Gus Yalden F | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5-13 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lucas Mari G | 35 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Momo Nkugwa G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ben Johnson G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Benjamin Michaels F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Trey Woodyard F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Skipper F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sincere Clemons, Drew Bessette, Ben Wesson, David Simon, Chris Kuzemka
| PRIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hicke G | 45 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 3-11 | 3-7 |
| Jack Stanton G | 43 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 6-16 | 5-12 |
| Landon Clark G | 39 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Malik Abdullahi F | 32 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| CJ Happy F | 20 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacob Huggins F | 25 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Sebastian Whitfield G | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Jake Sussberg G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Peyton Seals G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jacob Hammond F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zio Kim, Cooper Mueller, Dalen Davis, Ryan Mandes, Cash McSweeney, Will Kutzler
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVM -3.5
ModelUVM -1.6
Model edgePRIN +1.9
W PRIN covered
Total
Market136.5
Model141.9
Model edgeOver 5.4
W Over
Projected score
UVM 71.7 · PRIN 70.1
UVM 69 · PRIN 75
Win probability
UVM 56%
1st half
Spread
UVM -1.1
PRIN -4.0
Total
66.5
68 points
Projected score
UVM 33.8 · PRIN 32.7
UVM 32 · PRIN 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVM -1.5
2 → UVM
CloseUVM -3.5
2 pts toward UVM
Total
Open138.5
▼ 2
Close136.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UVM -166 · PRIN +140
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVM -1.5 · closed UVM -3.5 · moved 2 toward UVMmodel UVM -1.5
model UVM -1.5
Opened 138.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 2 downmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVM | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| PRIN | 1-9 10% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UVM 1–0 PRINUVM leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UVM 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025-26 | UVM 79 vs PRIN 74 | PRIN +5.5 | PRIN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vermont
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-3
75% overs · avg +10.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ BRWN | W 89-84 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 131.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | @ NE | W 85-74 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 18 | @ BUF | L 90-94 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIB | L 73-79 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs URI | L 65-80 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 26 | vsPRIN | W 79-74 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 30 | vs YALE | L 74-77 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | @ ORST | L 58-80 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | @ PEPP | W 65-56 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs MRMK | W 66-59 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 17 | vs SIE | W 83-69 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 20 | vs IONA | L 78-83 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@BRWN
BRWNW 89-84
−0.5
15
@NE
NEW 85-74
+12.5
18
@BUF
BUFL 90-94
−5.5
24
vsLIB
LIBL 73-79
+2.5
25
vsURI
URIL 65-80
−10.5
26
vsPRIN
PRINW 79-74
−0.5
30
vsYALE
YALEL 74-77
+3.5
3
@ORST
ORSTL 58-80
−18.5
6
@PEPP
PEPPW 65-56
+7.5
14
vsMRMK
MRMKW 66-59
+0.5
17
vsSIE
SIEW 83-69
+11.5
20
vsIONA
IONAL 78-83
−11.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@BRWN
BRWNW 89-84
+41.5
15
@NE
NEW 85-74
+24.5
18
@BUF
BUFL 90-94
+42.5
24
vsLIB
LIBL 73-79
+10.5
25
vsURI
URIL 65-80
+0.5
26
vsPRIN
PRINW 79-74
+12.5
30
vsYALE
YALEL 74-77
+3.5
3
@ORST
ORSTL 58-80
−5.5
6
@PEPP
PEPPW 65-56
−21.5
14
vsMRMK
MRMKW 66-59
−11.5
17
vsSIE
SIEW 83-69
+17.5
20
vsIONA
IONAL 78-83
+8.5
over 9under 3avg +10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Princeton
13 games played
Straight up
2-11
15% wins
Against the spread
9-4
69% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ AKR | L 69-104 | +13.5 | L −21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 11 | vs BUCK | W 73-63 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | @ KU | L 57-76 | +22.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | @IONA | L 69-89 | +2.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 20 | vsNE | W 70-57 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 24 | vs BRAD | L 64-88 | +9.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TEM | L 75-79 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 26 | vsUVM | L 74-79 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 30 | vs JOES | L 58-60 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 3 | @ MONM | L 58-63 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 6 | @ LUC | L 68-73 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 10 | vsMRMK | L 56-59 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 22 | @TEM | L 61-65 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@AKR
AKRL 69-104
−21.5
11
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-63
+5.5
15
@KU
KUL 57-76
+3.5
18
@IONA
IONAL 69-89
−17.5
20
vsNE
NEW 70-57
+10.5
24
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-88
−14.5
25
vsTEM
TEML 75-79
+4.5
26
vsUVM
UVML 74-79
+0.5
30
vsJOES
JOESL 58-60
+3.5
3
@MONM
MONML 58-63
+0.5
6
@LUC
LUCL 68-73
+1.5
10
vsMRMK
MRMKL 56-59
−5.5
22
@TEM
TEML 61-65
+4.5
covered 9didn’t cover 4avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@AKR
AKRL 69-104
+16.5
11
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-63
−10.5
15
@KU
KUL 57-76
−11.5
18
@IONA
IONAL 69-89
+3.5
20
vsNE
NEW 70-57
−18.5
24
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-88
+10.5
25
vsTEM
TEML 75-79
+8.5
26
vsUVM
UVML 74-79
+12.5
30
vsJOES
JOESL 58-60
−28.5
3
@MONM
MONML 58-63
−18.5
6
@LUC
LUCL 68-73
+4.5
10
vsMRMK
MRMKL 56-59
−19.5
22
@TEM
TEML 61-65
−13.5
over 6under 7avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vermont
6-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Iona78–83
- Wvs Siena83–69
- Wvs Merrimack66–59
- W@ Pepperdine65–56
- L@ Oregon St58–80
A week or more of rest.
Princeton
2-11 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Temple61–65
- Lvs Merrimack56–59
- L@ Loyola Chicago68–73
- L@ Monmouth58–63
- Lvs Saint Joseph's58–60
A week or more of rest.