Allen Arena · at Lipscomb
Closing line
LIP -10.5✓ TNTC covered by 7.5
Closing total152.5Over by 10.5
| This season | LIP | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 3-4 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 5-2 |
| 3-3 | O/U | 3-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TNTC 70–80 LIP · ✓ LIP (82%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNTC | 36 | 44 | 80 |
| LIP | 38 | 45 | 83 |
1st half: TNTC 36, LIP 38 (LIP by 2). The model had LIP by 6.0 and a total of 70.5 (actual 74).
Team stats
| TNTC | LIP | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-63 46% | Field goals | 29-65 45% |
| 10-22 45% | 3-pointers | 11-32 34% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 38 10 off | Rebounds | 36 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 20 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| TNTC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Owens G | 35 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Mekhi Cameron G | 31 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Brandon Muntu G | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-8 |
| Dani Pounds F | 23 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 8-14 | 1-2 |
| Grant Slatten G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ja'Quavian Florence G | 22 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Malik Ferguson G | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| JaJuan Nicholls F | 14 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| C.J. McPherson G | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-2 |
| Owen Varnado F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jah'Kim Payne G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mekhi Turner F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hagan Preston, Maguire Evans, Jacobe Whitted, Colin Ayers
| LIP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Esmeraldo G | 32 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Grant Asman F | 30 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 3-8 |
| Titas Sargiunas F | 27 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 7-11 | 2-5 |
| Or Ashkenazi F | 20 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Charlie Williams C | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ross Candelino G | 21 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Ethan Duncan G | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Kellan Boylan F | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Kennedy Okpara F | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Cole Middleton F | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Josh Scott, Devyn Martin, Luke Jack, Luke Carter, Miles White, Logan Suber
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLIP -10.5
ModelLIP -10.3
Model edgeTNTC +0.2
W TNTC covered
Total
Market152.5
Model150.5
Model edgeUnder 2.0
L Over
Projected score
TNTC 70.1 · LIP 80.4
TNTC 80 · LIP 83
Win probability
LIP 82%
1st half
Spread
LIP -6.0
LIP -2.0
Total
70.5
74 points
Projected score
TNTC 32.2 · LIP 38.2
TNTC 36 · LIP 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIP -10.5
no move
CloseLIP -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open151.5
▲ 1
Close152.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
TNTC +440 · LIP -600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIP -10.5 · unchangedmodel LIP -10.5 matches the line
model LIP -10.5 = line ✓
Opened 151.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% | |
| 3-4 43% | 5-2 71% | 3-4 43% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TNTC 1–2 LIPLIP leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · LIP has won the last 2 meetings · TNTC 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023-24 | LIP 96 @ TNTC 65 | TNTC -0.5 | LIP W |
| Dec 14, 2022-23 | TNTC 63 @ LIP 64 | LIP -10.5 | TNTC W |
| Nov 23, 2021-22 | LIP 77 @ TNTC 88 | TNTC +2 | TNTC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee Tech
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
WKU
L 70-82
+2.5
7
@
CLT
L 65-70
+7.5
17
vs
WGA
L 59-61
−6.5
19
@
UPST
W 88-84
+6.5
26
@
UK
L 54-104
−12.5
29
@
UGA
L 81-123
−7.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
WKU
L 70-82
−1.5
7
@
CLT
L 65-70
−11.5
17
vs
WGA
L 59-61
−32.5
19
@
UPST
W 88-84
+21.5
26
@
UK
L 54-104
+0.5
29
@
UGA
L 81-123
+43.5
over 3under 3avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lipscomb
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
VAN
L 61-105
−17.5
9
@
MER
L 77-92
−11.5
11
@
UNCA
L 64-69
+1.5
19
@
BEL
L 68-75
+5.5
22
vs
WCU
W 83-62
+15.5
26
@
MRSH
W 90-67
+30.5
29
@
SEMO
W 88-77
+14.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
VAN
L 61-105
+11.5
9
@
MER
L 77-92
+11.5
11
@
UNCA
L 64-69
−25.5
19
@
BEL
L 68-75
−15.5
22
vs
WCU
W 83-62
−6.5
26
@
MRSH
W 90-67
−0.5
29
@
SEMO
W 88-77
+11.5
over 3under 4avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee Tech
1-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Georgia81–123
- L@ Kentucky54–104
- W@ SC Upstate88–84
- Lvs West Georgia59–61
- L@ Charlotte65–70
4 days since their last game.
Lipscomb
3-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ SE Missouri88–77
- W@ Marshall90–67
- Wvs W Carolina83–62
- L@ Belmont68–75
- L@ UNC Asheville64–69
4 days since their last game.