University Credit Union Center · at UC Davis
Closing line
SEA -2.5✓ UCD covered by 1.5
SEA -2.5✓ UCD covered by 1.5Closing total143.5Over by 13.5
| SEA | This season | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 4-4 |
| 3-5 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 5-3 | O/U | 4-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SEA 72–70 UCD · ✓ SEA (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 43 | 36 | 79 |
| UCD | 43 | 35 | 78 |
1st half: SEA 43, UCD 43 (tied). The model had SEA by 1.1 and a total of 66.4 (actual 86).
Team stats
| SEA | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-66 44% | Field goals | 27-57 47% |
| 9-26 35% | 3-pointers | 11-27 41% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 13-19 68% |
| 42 15 off | Rebounds | 29 5 off |
| 15 | Assists | 20 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 6 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| SEA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maleek Arington G | 32 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Junseok Yeo F | 31 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Will Heimbrodt F | 30 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 7-18 | 1-5 |
| Brayden Maldonado G | 29 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 4-12 | 2-7 |
| Austin Maurer C | 22 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John Christofilis G | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Houran Dan C | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Miles Amos G | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jojo Murphy G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Brock Felder F | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JT White, Stratos Papastavrou, Jeremiah Harshman, Yuto Kawashima, Eric Zheng, Ray Adams
| UCD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla G | 35 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Nils Cooper G | 28 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4-11 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Chappell F | 25 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 7-10 | 4-7 |
| Niko Rocak F | 24 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Marcus Wilson G | 24 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brayden Fagbemi G | 24 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 6-9 | 1-3 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. G | 22 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Jalen Stokes G | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Omer Suljanovic F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Abdullah Amzil F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jonathan Noudjihidi, Ylan Esso-Essis, Cyril Franklin Jr., Chase Rawlins
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSEA -2.5
ModelSEA -1.6
Model edgeUCD +0.9
W UCD covered
Total
Market143.5
Model141.8
Model edgeUnder 1.7
L Over
Projected score
SEA 71.7 · UCD 70.1
SEA 79 · UCD 78
Win probability
SEA 56%
1st half
Spread
SEA -1.1
tied
Total
66.4
86 points
Projected score
SEA 33.8 · UCD 32.7
SEA 43 · UCD 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSEA -3.5
1 → UCD
CloseSEA -2.5
1 pt toward UCD
Total
Open145.5
▼ 2
Close143.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
SEA -155 · UCD +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SEA -3.5 · closed SEA -2.5 · moved 1 toward UCDmodel SEA -1.5
model SEA -1.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 2 downmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEAlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 3-5 38% | 5-3 63% |
| UCDlast 8 | 4-4 50% | 3-4 43% | 4-3 57% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Seattle U
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DEN | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs CP | L 71-73 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs EWU | W 94-67 | -8.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDST | W 83-74 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ STAN | W 77-69 | +10.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs TXST | W 66-52 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vs UCSB | L 71-74 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTEP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDEN
DENW 84-73
−2.5
8
vsCP
CPL 71-73
−12.5
12
vsEWU
EWUW 94-67
+18.5
15
vsIDST
IDSTW 83-74
−2.5
21
@STAN
STANW 77-69
+18.5
28
vsTXST
TXSTW 66-52
+6.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 71-74
−5.5
7
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-68
−5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDEN
DENW 84-73
+20.5
8
vsCP
CPL 71-73
−20.5
12
vsEWU
EWUW 94-67
+12.5
15
vsIDST
IDSTW 83-74
+18.5
21
@STAN
STANW 77-69
−6.5
28
vsTXST
TXSTW 66-52
−18.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 71-74
+2.5
7
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-68
+6.5
over 5under 3avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Davis
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs NDSU | W 80-68 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | @ PORT | L 63-67 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAC | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ NEV | W 75-71 | +12.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 21 | @ COLO | L 79-95 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 24 | vs UL | W 77-56 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | @ HAW | L 69-75 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ ORE | L 62-104 | +13.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+10.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−2.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−0.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+16.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
−1.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
+11.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
−28.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+5.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−21.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−1.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+2.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
+21.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
−3.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
+19.5
over 4under 3avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Seattle U
6-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UTEP75–68
- Lvs Santa Barbara71–74
- Wvs Texas St66–52
- W@ Stanford77–69
- Wvs Idaho St83–74
A week or more of rest.
UC Davis
4-4 overall · 0-1 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oregon62–104
- L@ Hawai'i69–75
- Wvs Louisiana77–56
- L@ Colorado79–95
- W@ Nevada75–71
4 days since their last game.