Joan Perry Brock Center · at Longwood · Conference game
Closing line
WIN -7.5✓ LONG covered by 19.5
WIN -7.5✓ LONG covered by 19.5Closing total161.5Under by 9.5
| WIN | This season | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | Record | 5-7 |
| 7-5 | ATS | 2-10 |
| 6-6 | O/U | 7-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIN 85–79 LONG · ✗ WIN (71%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | 29 | 41 | 70 |
| LONG | 38 | 44 | 82 |
1st half: WIN 29, LONG 38 (LONG by 9). The model had WIN by 3.9 and a total of 76.9 (actual 67).
Team stats
| WIN | LONG | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-62 32% | Field goals | 30-58 52% |
| 5-24 21% | 3-pointers | 7-18 39% |
| 25-32 78% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 35 17 off | Rebounds | 41 14 off |
| 12 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 28 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| WIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Duncomb C | 33 | 31 | 13 | 1 | 12-16 | 0-0 |
| Daylen Berry G | 33 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1-12 | 0-5 |
| Kareem Rozier G | 31 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| Kody Clouet G | 23 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Tommy Kamarad F | 23 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Meo G | 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Seifeldin Hendawy G | 13 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Pharrell Boyogueno G | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Isaiah Wilson G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Ed Nnamoko F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaleb Evans, Braylhan Thomas, Henry Harrison, Tai Hamilton, Cam Christy
| LONG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Tucker F | 31 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Jacoi Hutchinson G | 29 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Emanuel Richards G | 25 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Johan Nziemi F | 21 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Alphonzo Billups III G | 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Redd Thompson Jr. G | 22 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Elijah Jones F | 18 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Benard G | 17 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-4 |
| Elijah Kelly G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Jaylin Payne F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Kalala F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gerald Burr III, Jerome Williams, Quadri Bashiru, KJ McClurg
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWIN -7.5
ModelWIN -6.3
Model edgeLONG +1.2
W LONG covered
Total
Market161.5
Model164.3
Model edgeOver 2.8
L Under
Projected score
WIN 85.3 · LONG 79
WIN 70 · LONG 82
Win probability
WIN 71%
1st half
Spread
WIN -3.9
LONG -9.0
Total
76.9
67 points
Projected score
WIN 40.4 · LONG 36.5
WIN 29 · LONG 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIN -8.5
1 → LONG
CloseWIN -7.5
1 pt toward LONG
Total
Open164.5
▼ 3
Close161.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
WIN -380 · LONG +300
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIN -8.5 · closed WIN -7.5 · moved 1 toward LONGmodel WIN -6.5
model WIN -6.5
Opened 164.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 3 downmodel 164.5
model 164.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| LONG | 4-6 40% | 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
WIN 5–5 LONGSeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · WIN has won the last 3 meetings · WIN 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | LONG 79 vs WIN 88 | WIN -4.5 | WIN W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | WIN 85 @ LONG 59 | LONG -1.5 | WIN W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | LONG 76 @ WIN 95 | WIN -2.5 | WIN W |
| Mar 8, 2023-24 | LONG 69 vs WIN 56 | WIN +1.5 | LONG W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | WIN 74 @ LONG 84 | LONG -1.5 | LONG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Winthrop
12 games played
Straight up
5-7
42% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUC | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 163.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | @ GMU | L 90-96 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 11 | @ CCU | L 66-72 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | vs MER | W 105-69 | -2.5 | W +33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ ARK | L 83-84 | +23.5 | W +22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 23 | @ JKST | W 80-62 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | @ NEB | L 73-80 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs SCST | W 101-79 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 2 | @ LIU | W 94-92 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vsCCU | L 84-88 | -16.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 18 | @ UND | L 88-90 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 28 | @ TTU | L 57-87 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUC
QUCW 81-74
+3.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 90-96
+3.5
11
@CCU
CCUL 66-72
−8.5
15
vsMER
MERW 105-69
+33.5
18
@ARK
ARKL 83-84
+22.5
23
@JKST
JKSTW 80-62
+7.5
25
@NEB
NEBL 73-80
+7.5
29
vsSCST
SCSTW 101-79
+1.5
2
@LIU
LIUW 94-92
−3.5
6
vsCCU
CCUL 84-88
−20.5
18
@UND
UNDL 88-90
−14.5
28
@TTU
TTUL 57-87
−12.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUC
QUCW 81-74
−8.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 90-96
+39.5
11
@CCU
CCUL 66-72
−27.5
15
vsMER
MERW 105-69
+11.5
18
@ARK
ARKL 83-84
−1.5
23
@JKST
JKSTW 80-62
−21.5
25
@NEB
NEBL 73-80
−13.5
29
vsSCST
SCSTW 101-79
+22.5
2
@LIU
LIUW 94-92
+32.5
6
vsCCU
CCUL 84-88
+18.5
18
@UND
UNDL 88-90
+20.5
28
@TTU
TTUL 57-87
−19.5
over 6under 6avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Longwood
12 games played
Straight up
5-7
42% wins
Against the spread
2-10
17% covers · avg −5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ PITT | L 60-78 | +14.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | vs JMU | W 82-72 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs BING | W 90-82 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs UMES | L 82-83 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 23 | @ COLU | L 70-95 | +3.5 | L −21.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs SIE | L 63-70 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs ME | W 65-61 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 30 | @ AMER | L 66-92 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | @ MORG | W 84-80 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 13 | vs DSU | L 76-81 | -13.5 | L −18.5 | 139.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 17 | @ WAKE | L 68-71 | +24.5 | W +21.5 | 163.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | @ NCCU | W 74-72 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@PITT
PITTL 60-78
−3.5
12
vsJMU
JMUW 82-72
+11.5
15
vsBING
BINGW 90-82
−7.5
18
vsUMES
UMESL 82-83
−18.5
23
@COLU
COLUL 70-95
−21.5
28
vsSIE
SIEL 63-70
−1.5
29
vsME
MEW 65-61
−1.5
30
@AMER
AMERL 66-92
−20.5
6
@MORG
MORGW 84-80
−1.5
13
vsDSU
DSUL 76-81
−18.5
17
@WAKE
WAKEL 68-71
+21.5
20
@NCCU
NCCUW 74-72
−1.5
covered 2didn’t cover 10avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@PITT
PITTL 60-78
−7.5
12
vsJMU
JMUW 82-72
+4.5
15
vsBING
BINGW 90-82
+24.5
18
vsUMES
UMESL 82-83
+26.5
23
@COLU
COLUL 70-95
+11.5
28
vsSIE
SIEL 63-70
−12.5
29
vsME
MEW 65-61
−12.5
30
@AMER
AMERL 66-92
+9.5
6
@MORG
MORGW 84-80
+9.5
13
vsDSU
DSUL 76-81
+17.5
17
@WAKE
WAKEL 68-71
−24.5
20
@NCCU
NCCUW 74-72
−0.5
over 7under 5avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Winthrop
5-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas Tech57–87
- L@ North Dakota88–90
- Lvs Coastal84–88
- W@ Long Island94–92
- Wvs SC State101–79
3 days since their last game.
Longwood
5-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ NC Central74–72
- L@ Wake Forest68–71
- Lvs Delaware St76–81
- W@ Morgan St84–80
- L@ American66–92
A week or more of rest.