Global Credit Union Arena · at Grand Canyon · Conference game
Closing line
GCU -16.5✓ GCU covered by 1.5
GCU -16.5✓ GCU covered by 1.5Closing total141.5Under by 7.5
 SJSU | This season | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| 4-10 | Record | 9-5 |
| 7-7 | ATS | 6-8 |
| 8-6 | O/U | 5-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SJSU 66–78 GCU · ✓ GCU (86%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJSU | 26 | 32 | 58 |
| GCU | 42 | 34 | 76 |
1st half: SJSU 26, GCU 42 (GCU by 16). The model had GCU by 7.3 and a total of 67.4 (actual 68).
Team stats
| SJSU | GCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-52 37% | Field goals | 26-57 46% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 9-30 30% |
| 14-22 64% | Free throws | 15-18 83% |
| 25 7 off | Rebounds | 33 9 off |
| 4 | Assists | 16 |
| 9 | Steals | 11 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| SJSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Bell Jr. G | 36 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 5-12 | 0-1 |
| Adrian Myers G | 35 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Pasha Goodarzi G | 35 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Ben Roseborough G | 29 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 7-19 | 3-6 |
| Sadraque NgaNga F | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Douglas Langford F | 23 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Japhet Moupadele F | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Marcus Overstreet F | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Eren Karakaya C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christian Wise, Colby Garland, JaVaughn Hannah, Jermaine Washington, Yaphet Moundi, Jaden Goodall, Damase Coly
| GCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Henley G | 28 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Nana Owusu-Anane F | 26 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Efe Demirel C | 21 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Shaw G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2-10 | 1-7 |
| Brian Moore Jr. G | 20 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Makaih Williams G | 27 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 3-11 | 2-7 |
| Dusty Stromer G | 17 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Wilhelm Breidenbach F | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kaleb Smith F | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Evan Boisdur G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Dennis Evans C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cole Pepe G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Sawyer, Braylon Johnson, Luke Shaw
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGCU -16.5
ModelGCU -12.3
Model edgeSJSU +4.2
L GCU covered
Total
Market141.5
Model143.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
L Under
Projected score
SJSU 65.8 · GCU 78.1
SJSU 58 · GCU 76
Win probability
GCU 86%
1st half
Spread
GCU -7.3
GCU -16.0
Total
67.4
68 points
Projected score
SJSU 30.1 · GCU 37.3
SJSU 26 · GCU 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGCU -15.5
1 → GCU
CloseGCU -16.5
1 pt toward GCU
Total
Open140.5
▲ 1
Close141.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SJSU +950 · GCU -1650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GCU -15.5 · closed GCU -16.5 · moved 1 toward GCUmodel GCU -12.5
model GCU -12.5
Opened 140.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJSU | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| GCU | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San José St
14 games played
Straight up
4-10
29% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UTAH | L 75-84 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCSB | L 74-85 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 13 | @ MSU | L 60-79 | +24.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | vs SOU | W 80-66 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 25 | vs TLSA | L 51-81 | +5.5 | L −24.5 | 149.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 26 | vs LUC | W 63-51 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs UCI | L 63-72 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 5 | vs USD | W 86-69 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 9 | vs LBSU | W 89-83 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs STAN | L 82-86 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNM | L 65-88 | +16.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | vs SDSU | L 68-81 | +11.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ USU | L 78-96 | +22.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | vs FRES | L 55-70 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+2.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
−1.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
+5.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
+8.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−24.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
+10.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−5.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
9
vsLBSU
LBSUW 89-83
−1.5
13
vsSTAN
STANL 82-86
+4.5
20
@UNM
UNML 65-88
−6.5
30
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-81
−1.5
3
@USU
USUL 78-96
+4.5
6
vsFRES
FRESL 55-70
−13.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+12.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
+12.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
−4.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
−4.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−17.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
−22.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−4.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
9
vsLBSU
LBSUW 89-83
+30.5
13
vsSTAN
STANL 82-86
+22.5
20
@UNM
UNML 65-88
+0.5
30
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-81
+7.5
3
@USU
USUL 78-96
+22.5
6
vsFRES
FRESL 55-70
−24.5
over 8under 6avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Grand Canyon
14 games played
Straight up
9-5
64% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-9
36% overs · avg −8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs PFW | W 90-71 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | vs YSU | L 81-90 | -15.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 10 | vs NIU | W 88-59 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 15 | @ SLU | L 64-78 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs NWST | W 85-72 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vsUTAH | W 68-58 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 26 | vs IOWA | L 46-59 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | vs STET | W 67-45 | -24.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 6 | vs OKST | L 78-84 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 13 | vs CCU | W 82-61 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | @ WYO | W 82-70 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs IUIN | W 91-78 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 169.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 3 | vs CSU | L 60-70 | -6.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | @ BOIS | W 75-58 | +8.5 | W +25.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+4.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
−24.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
+6.5
15
@SLU
SLUL 64-78
−5.5
21
vsNWST
NWSTW 85-72
−5.5
25
vsUTAH
UTAHW 68-58
+4.5
26
vsIOWA
IOWAL 46-59
−4.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 67-45
−2.5
6
vsOKST
OKSTL 78-84
−4.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-61
+3.5
20
@WYO
WYOW 82-70
+14.5
22
vsIUIN
IUINW 91-78
−10.5
3
vsCSU
CSUL 60-70
−16.5
7
@BOIS
BOISW 75-58
+25.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+5.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
+18.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
−16.5
15
@SLU
SLUL 64-78
−25.5
21
vsNWST
NWSTW 85-72
+9.5
25
vsUTAH
UTAHW 68-58
−27.5
26
vsIOWA
IOWAL 46-59
−38.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 67-45
−29.5
6
vsOKST
OKSTL 78-84
+6.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-61
−0.5
20
@WYO
WYOW 82-70
+4.5
22
vsIUIN
IUINW 91-78
−0.5
3
vsCSU
CSUL 60-70
−13.5
7
@BOIS
BOISW 75-58
−7.5
over 5under 9avg −8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San José St
4-10 overall · 0-4 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Fresno St55–70
- L@ Utah State78–96
- Lvs San Diego St68–81
- L@ New Mexico65–88
- Lvs Stanford82–86
4 days since their last game.
Grand Canyon
9-5 overall · 2-1 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Boise St75–58
- Lvs Colorado St60–70
- Wvs IU Indy91–78
- W@ Wyoming82–70
- Wvs Coastal82–61
3 days since their last game.