Carver-Hawkeye Arena · at Iowa
Closing line
IOWA -25.5✓ IOWA covered by 14.5
IOWA -25.5✓ IOWA covered by 14.5Closing total137.5Over by 4.5
 WMU | This season | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | Record | 8-2 |
| 6-3 | ATS | 8-2 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WMU 62–86 IOWA · ✓ IOWA (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | 16 | 35 | 51 |
| IOWA | 52 | 39 | 91 |
1st half: WMU 16, IOWA 52 (IOWA by 36). The model had IOWA by 14.7 and a total of 69.4 (actual 68).
Team stats
| WMU | IOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-57 30% | Field goals | 33-59 56% |
| 6-24 25% | 3-pointers | 14-31 45% |
| 11-22 50% | Free throws | 11-17 65% |
| 36 16 off | Rebounds | 38 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 24 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 20 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| WMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Brewer G | 28 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Max Burton F | 25 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Griffith G | 24 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 4-14 | 3-8 |
| EJ Ryans G | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Brady Swartz G | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hudson Ward F | 24 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Carson Vis G | 18 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Trey Lewis G | 15 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Sharod Barnes G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Declan Peterson C | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Michael Sulaka F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Nicholas Errica G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Junior Sileu F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Justice Williams, Camden Thompson
| IOWA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz G | 24 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 5-8 | 2-4 |
| Kael Combs G | 19 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cooper Koch F | 17 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Tavion Banks G | 17 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Cam Manyawu F | 13 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaia Howard G | 26 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Tate Sage G | 23 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Brendan Hausen G | 19 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 4-8 | 4-7 |
| Trevin Jirak C | 17 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras F | 16 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| Joey Matteoni F | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Koch G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey Thompson, Peyton McCollum
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIOWA -28.5
3 → WMU
CloseIOWA -25.5
3 pts toward WMU
Total
Open145.5
▼ 8
Close137.5
Down 8 since the open
Moneyline
WMU +1700 · IOWA -4500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IOWA -28.5 · closed IOWA -25.5 · moved 3 toward WMUmodel IOWA -24.5
model IOWA -24.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 8 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | IOWA -25.5 | IOWA -24.6 | WMU +0.9 | L IOWA covered |
| Total | 137.5 | 148.3 | Over 10.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | WMU 61.8 · IOWA 86.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | IOWA -14.7 | IOWA -36.0 |
| 1H total | 69.4 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | WMU 27.4 · IOWA 42.1 | WMU 16 · IOWA 52 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMUlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 6-3 67% | 4-5 44% |
| IOWA | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WMU 0–1 IOWAIOWA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · WMU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2021-22 | WMU 61 @ IOWA 109 | IOWA -28.5 | IOWA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
W Michigan
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CCU | W 76-71 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 9 | @ CAM | L 82-91 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 12 | vs PFW | W 83-71 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ SDAK | L 78-83 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ OSU | L 58-91 | +26.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 23 | vs MSM | W 83-60 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 29 | @ VAL | L 55-84 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs USI | W 88-74 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ SIUE | W 83-73 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+2.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+0.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
+15.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−6.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
+21.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−24.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+8.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+15.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+0.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+20.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
−7.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−11.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−10.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
−7.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−7.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+11.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+16.5
over 4under 5avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa
10 games played
Straight up
8-2
80% wins
Against the spread
8-2
80% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs RMU | W 101-69 | -22.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIU | W 77-58 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 14 | vs XAV | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs SEMO | W 99-70 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 20 | vs CHST | W 93-54 | -31.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 25 | vs MISS | W 74-69 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs GCU | W 59-46 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | @ MSU | L 52-71 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs MD | W 83-64 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 11 | @ ISU | L 62-66 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+9.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−11.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
+3.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+5.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+7.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+0.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
+4.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−13.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+8.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
+7.5
covered 8didn’t cover 2avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+33.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−10.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
−0.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+21.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+4.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+2.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
−38.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−10.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+9.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
−13.5
over 5under 5avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
W Michigan
5-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ SIUE83–73
- Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles88–74
- L@ Valparaiso55–84
- Wvs Mount St Marys83–60
- L@ Ohio State58–91
A week or more of rest.
Iowa
8-2 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iowa State62–66
- Wvs Maryland83–64
- L@ Michigan St52–71
- Wvs Grand Canyon59–46
- Wvs Ole Miss74–69
3 days since their last game.