Cajundome · at Louisiana
Closing line
UNCW -12.5✓ UL covered by 5.5
Closing total130.5Over by 2.5
| This season | UL | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 1-8 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 3-6 |
| 4-4 | O/U | 2-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCW 73–60 UL · ✓ UNCW (87%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCW | 39 | 31 | 70 |
| UL | 38 | 25 | 63 |
1st half: UNCW 39, UL 38 (UNCW by 1). The model had UNCW by 7.9 and a total of 62.7 (actual 77).
Team stats
| UNCW | UL | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-50 46% | Field goals | 22-57 39% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 9-29 31% |
| 17-24 71% | Free throws | 10-13 77% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 27 7 off |
| 8 | Assists | 11 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| UNCW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian May G | 34 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 6-11 | 5-10 |
| Greedy Williams G | 31 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Noah Ross G | 27 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Patrick Wessler C | 24 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Nolan Hodge G | 18 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madison Durr G | 31 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Gavin Walsh F | 26 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Adam Tokpah, Makel Smith, JoJo Fullwood, Matija Prodanovic, CJ Luster II, Grady Whitt, Jahnathan Lamothe
| UL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Olvera G | 37 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 7-18 | 4-7 |
| Dorian Finister G | 35 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Todd Jones Jr. F | 25 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Joshua Lewis F | 22 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Mike Collins G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dariyus Woodson F | 30 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| De'vion Lavergne G | 21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-11 | 0-7 |
| Milan Mejia G | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Kyran Ratliff F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Christian Landry, Logan Myers, Rahman Olajuwon, Sean Elkinton, Michael Mouton, Zeke Cook, Karris Bilal, Jeremiah Evans, Jamyron Keller
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCW -12.5
no move
CloseUNCW -12.5
No change since the open
Total
Open130.5
no move
Close130.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UNCW -950 · UL +625
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCW -12.5 · unchangedmodel UNCW -13
model UNCW -13
Opened 130.5 · unchangedmodel 133.5
model 133.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNCW -12.5 | UNCW -12.9 | UNCW +0.4 | L UL covered |
| Total | 130.5 | 133.6 | Over 3.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UNCW 73.2 · UL 60.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNCW -7.9 | UNCW -1.0 |
| 1H total | 62.7 | 77 |
| 1H projected score | UNCW 35.3 · UL 27.4 | UNCW 39 · UL 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7-1 88% | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% | |
| 1-8 11% | 3-6 33% | 2-7 22% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNC Wilmington
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ | L 77-86 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 73-60 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 85-60 | -6.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | @ | W 81-73 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 70-57 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 87-57 | -8.5 | W +21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 88-62 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 70-69 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@
KENT
L 77-86
−5.5
15
vs
UPST
W 73-60
−1.5
18
vs
ECU
W 85-60
+18.5
21
@
RAD
W 81-73
+3.5
26
vs
SELA
W 70-57
+1.5
28
vs
NAVY
W 87-57
+21.5
29
vs
GWEB
W 88-62
+7.5
3
vs
MRSH
W 70-69
−7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@
KENT
L 77-86
+6.5
15
vs
UPST
W 73-60
−22.5
18
vs
ECU
W 85-60
−0.5
21
@
RAD
W 81-73
+2.5
26
vs
SELA
W 70-57
−10.5
28
vs
NAVY
W 87-57
+5.5
29
vs
GWEB
W 88-62
+2.5
3
vs
MRSH
W 70-69
−11.5
over 4under 4avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisiana
9 games played
Straight up
1-8
11% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −6.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-7
22% overs · avg −7.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 64-75 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 58-52 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 11 | vs | L 62-66 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 14 | @ | L 62-88 | +15.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 66-93 | +20.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 43-80 | +19.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 24 | @ | L 56-77 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 45-51 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 96 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 55-65 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 129.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
BALL
L 64-75
−6.5
7
vs
SELA
W 58-52
+2.5
11
vs
TULN
L 62-66
+1.5
14
@
MCN
L 62-88
−10.5
18
@
STAN
L 66-93
−6.5
21
@
SCU
L 43-80
−17.5
24
@
UCD
L 56-77
−11.5
28
vs
JKST
L 45-51
−11.5
3
@
LAM
L 55-65
+0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
BALL
L 64-75
−2.5
7
vs
SELA
W 58-52
−25.5
11
vs
TULN
L 62-66
−7.5
14
@
MCN
L 62-88
+15.5
18
@
STAN
L 66-93
+19.5
21
@
SCU
L 43-80
−17.5
24
@
UCD
L 56-77
−3.5
28
vs
JKST
L 45-51
−40.5
3
@
LAM
L 55-65
−9.5
over 2under 7avg −7.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNC Wilmington
7-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Marshall70–69
- Wvs Gardner-Webb88–62
- Wvs Navy87–57
- Wvs SE Louisiana70–57
- W@ Radford81–73
3 days since their last game.
Louisiana
1-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Lamar55–65
- Lvs Jackson St45–51
- L@ UC Davis56–77
- L@ Santa Clara43–80
- L@ Stanford66–93
3 days since their last game.