Idaho Central Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
IDST -1.5✓ IDST covered by 30.5
Closing total148.5Under by 16.5
| This season | IDST | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 1-4 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 4-1 |
| 3-2 | O/U | 2-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUN 76–77 IDST · ✓ IDST (54%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUN | 18 | 32 | 50 |
| IDST | 39 | 43 | 82 |
1st half: CSUN 18, IDST 39 (IDST by 21). The model had IDST by 0.6 and a total of 71.3 (actual 57).
Team stats
| CSUN | IDST | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-69 20% | Field goals | 28-58 48% |
| 7-34 21% | 3-pointers | 11-29 38% |
| 15-19 79% | Free throws | 15-19 79% |
| 37 16 off | Rebounds | 44 7 off |
| 9 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 8 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| CSUN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Davis G | 34 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Davius Loury F | 30 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-10 | 1-7 |
| Larry Hughes II G | 27 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-15 | 1-8 |
| Mahmoud Fofana F | 24 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Joshua O'Garro G | 22 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-9 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brinson G | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Jai Chisolm G | 13 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| Aleks Szymczyk C | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| James Evans Jr. G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Grady Lewis F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Greg Gazarian G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Robert Thibiant G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Omer Dahan, Max Rehl, Jalen Barbee, Joseph Barrio, Quinton Webb
| IDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Kheil G | 34 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4-12 | 3-9 |
| Connor Hollenbeck F | 31 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 3-11 | 3-6 |
| Lachlan Brewer G | 28 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Jamison Guerra PG | 20 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Evan Otten F | 15 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gus Etchison G | 17 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-5 |
| Blake Daberkow F | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Cheikh Sow G | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Van De Griend F | 10 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Quin Patterson F | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Louis Bond G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Landen Birley G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kasen Carpenter G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey Arland, Jaedyn Brown
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIDST -1.5
ModelIDST -1.2
Model edgeCSUN +0.3
L IDST covered
Total
Market148.5
Model152.2
Model edgeOver 3.7
L Under
Projected score
CSUN 75.5 · IDST 76.7
CSUN 50 · IDST 82
Win probability
IDST 54%
1st half
Spread
IDST -0.6
IDST -21.0
Total
71.3
57 points
Projected score
CSUN 35.4 · IDST 35.9
CSUN 18 · IDST 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIDST -1.5
no move
CloseIDST -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▼ 1
Close148.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IDST -1.5 · unchangedmodel IDST -1
model IDST -1
Opened 149.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% | |
| 1-4 20% | 4-1 80% | 2-3 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
CSU Northridge
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −6.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
UNI
L 57-86
−19.5
9
@
UND
W 93-85
+1.5
11
@
NDSU
L 68-90
−17.5
16
vs
TROY
W 94-85
+13.5
26
vs
IDHO
L 64-78
−12.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −6.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@
UNI
L 57-86
−10.5
9
@
UND
W 93-85
+19.5
11
@
NDSU
L 68-90
+1.5
16
vs
TROY
W 94-85
+21.5
26
vs
IDHO
L 64-78
−17.5
over 3under 2avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Idaho St
5 games played
Straight up
1-4
20% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
USD
W 71-68
+7.5
9
@
SDSU
L 57-73
+5.5
15
@
SEA
L 74-83
+2.5
18
@
SCU
L 55-64
+5.5
26
vs
SHSU
L 81-84
−1.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
USD
W 71-68
−13.5
9
@
SDSU
L 57-73
−5.5
15
@
SEA
L 74-83
+18.5
18
@
SCU
L 55-64
−22.5
26
vs
SHSU
L 81-84
+22.5
over 2under 3avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
CSU Northridge
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Idaho64–78
- Wvs Troy94–85
- L@ N Dakota St68–90
- W@ North Dakota93–85
- L@ Northern Iowa57–86
2 days since their last game.
Idaho St
1-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Sam Houston81–84
- L@ Santa Clara55–64
- L@ Seattle U74–83
- L@ San Diego St57–73
- W@ San Diego71–68
2 days since their last game.