Knights Hall · at Bellarmine
Closing line
HCU -2.5✓ BELL covered by 7.5
HCU -2.5✓ BELL covered by 7.5Closing total144.5Under by 1.5
| HCU | This season | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 1-4 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 0-2 | O/U | 4-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HCU 73–75 BELL · ✓ BELL (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCU | 38 | 31 | 69 |
| BELL | 35 | 39 | 74 |
1st half: HCU 38, BELL 35 (HCU by 3). The model had BELL by 1.4 and a total of 69.1 (actual 73).
Team stats
| HCU | BELL | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-51 49% | Field goals | 25-42 60% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 6-15 40% |
| 9-24 38% | Free throws | 18-20 90% |
| 26 10 off | Rebounds | 25 1 off |
| 10 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| HCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylin Green G | 38 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 9-11 | 5-7 |
| Elijah Brooks G | 35 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 7-13 | 0-0 |
| Trent Johnson F | 33 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Demarco Bethea F | 23 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Mambourou Mara F | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Bartley G | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Nehikhare Igiehon F | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Gaston F | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| D'Aundre Samuels G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Demari Williams G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brennen Byrd, Will Wilson, Obadiah Curtis, Bryson Monroe, Ahjany Lee
| BELL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Goodin G | 36 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Brian Waddell F | 34 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Jack Karasinski F | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 9-12 | 4-7 |
| Sam Donald F | 33 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Myles Watkins G | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Michael Wilson Jr. G | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Darrius Bolden G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Grant Whitaker G | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Wassler, Dominique Murphy, Ant McAfee, Tommy Clark, Grant Neal, Tyler Doyle, Donovan Hunter, Luke Anderson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHCU -2.5
ModelBELL -2.5
Model edgeBELL +5.0
W BELL covered
Total
Market144.5
Model147.6
Model edgeOver 3.1
L Under
Projected score
HCU 72.5 · BELL 75
HCU 69 · BELL 74
Win probability
BELL 59%
1st half
Spread
BELL -1.4
HCU -3.0
Total
69.1
73 points
Projected score
HCU 33.9 · BELL 35.2
HCU 38 · BELL 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHCU -3.5
1 → BELL
CloseHCU -2.5
1 pt toward BELL
Total
Open146.5
▼ 2
Close144.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
HCU -148 · BELL +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HCU -3.5 · closed HCU -2.5 · moved 1 toward BELLmodel BELL -2.5
model BELL -2.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCUlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% |
| BELLlast 5 | 1-4 20% | 3-2 60% | 4-1 80% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hou Christian
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
UCSD
UCSDL 60-78
−10.5
13
vs
ULM
ULMW 72-61
+2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@UCSD
UCSDL 60-78
−3.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 72-61
−10.5
over 0under 2avg −7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bellarmine
5 games played
Straight up
1-4
20% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-1
80% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
UGA
UGAL 59-104
−21.5
8
@
KSU
KSUL 71-98
+1.5
15
vs
WOF
WOFL 86-94
−4.5
19
@
ND
NDL 79-86
+17.5
24
@
CIT
CITW 70-58
+8.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UGA
UGAL 59-104
+12.5
8
@KSU
KSUL 71-98
+0.5
15
vsWOF
WOFL 86-94
+23.5
19
@ND
NDL 79-86
+14.5
24
@CIT
CITW 70-58
−28.5
over 4under 1avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hou Christian
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UL Monroe72–61
- L@ UC San Diego60–78
A week or more of rest.
Bellarmine
1-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ The Citadel70–58
- L@ Notre Dame79–86
- Lvs Wofford86–94
- L@ Kansas St71–98
- L@ Georgia59–104
1 day since their last game.