Capital One Arena · at Georgetown · Conference game
Closing line
CONN -11.5✓ GTWN covered by 9.5
Closing total141.5Under by 15.5
| This season | GTWN | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-1 | Record | 9-8 |
| 6-12 | ATS | 4-13 |
| 7-11 | O/U | 12-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CONN 80–67 GTWN · ✓ CONN (87%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CONN | 32 | 32 | 64 |
| GTWN | 28 | 34 | 62 |
1st half: CONN 32, GTWN 28 (CONN by 4). The model had CONN by 7.8 and a total of 68.7 (actual 60).
Team stats
| CONN | GTWN | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-58 36% | Field goals | 25-57 44% |
| 5-26 19% | 3-pointers | 5-14 36% |
| 17-24 71% | Free throws | 7-9 78% |
| 34 16 off | Rebounds | 40 15 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 3 |
| 6 | Blocks | 1 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 14 | Fouls | 20 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| CONN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban F | 35 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2-11 | 1-6 |
| Solo Ball G | 32 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-5 |
| Braylon Mullins G | 31 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-8 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. C | 30 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Silas Demary Jr. G | 27 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylin Stewart F | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Malachi Smith G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Eric Reibe C | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Ross F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Alec Millender, Jacob Furphy, Uros Paunovic, Rrezon Elezaj, Jacob Ross, Dwayne Koroma
| GTWN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJ Lewis G | 33 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5-13 | 1-5 |
| Vince Iwuchukwu C | 30 | 12 | 14 | 0 | 6-13 | 0-0 |
| Malik Mack G | 29 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Caleb Williams F | 29 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Isaiah Abraham F | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jeremiah Williams G | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Fort F | 11 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Julius Halaifonua C | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Langston Love G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Seal Diouf C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Michael Van Raaphorst, Gabriel Landeira, Mason Moses, Hashem Asadallah, Austin Montgomery, Kayvaun Mulready, DeShawn Harris-Smith
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCONN -12.5
1 → GTWN
CloseCONN -11.5
1 pt toward GTWN
Total
Open141.5
no move
Close141.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CONN -900 · GTWN +600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CONN -12.5 · closed CONN -11.5 · moved 1 toward GTWNmodel CONN -13
model CONN -13
Opened 141.5 · unchangedmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CONN -11.5 | CONN -12.8 | CONN +1.3 | L GTWN covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 146.7 | Over 5.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | CONN 79.7 · GTWN 66.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CONN -7.8 | CONN -4.0 |
| 1H total | 68.7 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | CONN 38.2 · GTWN 30.5 | CONN 32 · GTWN 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-0 100% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | |
| 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CONN 8–0 GTWNCONN leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · CONN has won the last 8 meetings · CONN 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | GTWN 79 @ CONN 93 | CONN -14.5 | GTWN W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | CONN 68 @ GTWN 60 | GTWN +5.5 | CONN W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | CONN 89 @ GTWN 64 | GTWN +16.5 | CONN W |
| Jan 14, 2023-24 | GTWN 67 @ CONN 80 | CONN -21.5 | GTWN W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | CONN 68 @ GTWN 62 | GTWN +13.5 | GTWN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UConn
18 games played
Straight up
17-1
94% wins
Against the spread
6-12
33% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-11
39% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 79-55 | -42.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 110-47 | -36.5 | W +26.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 89-62 | -32.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 86-84 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs | L 67-71 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 72-49 | -36.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 74-61 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | @ | W 61-56 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 5 | vs | W 83-59 | -36.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 9 | vs | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 12 | vs | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 79-60 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | @ | W 72-54 | -12.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 31 | @ | W 90-67 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 73-57 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | @ | W 103-98 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 72-60 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @ | W 69-64 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NHVN
W 79-55
−18.5
7
vs
UML
W 110-47
+26.5
10
vs
COLU
W 89-62
−5.5
15
vs
BYU
W 86-84
−4.5
19
vs
ARIZ
L 67-71
−8.5
23
vs
BRY
W 72-49
−13.5
28
vs
ILL
W 74-61
+8.5
2
@
KU
W 61-56
+1.5
5
vs
ETAM
W 83-59
−12.5
9
vs
FLA
W 77-73
−0.5
12
vs
TEX
W 71-63
−3.5
16
vs
BTLR
W 79-60
+3.5
21
@
DEP
W 72-54
+5.5
31
@
XAV
W 90-67
+11.5
4
vs
MARQ
W 73-57
−1.5
7
@
PROV
W 103-98
−4.5
10
vs
DEP
W 72-60
−7.5
13
@
HALL
W 69-64
−1.5
covered 6didn’t cover 12avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
NHVN
W 79-55
−11.5
7
vs
UML
W 110-47
+5.5
10
vs
COLU
W 89-62
−4.5
15
vs
BYU
W 86-84
+13.5
19
vs
ARIZ
L 67-71
−18.5
23
vs
BRY
W 72-49
−26.5
28
vs
ILL
W 74-61
−15.5
2
@
KU
W 61-56
−24.5
5
vs
ETAM
W 83-59
+0.5
9
vs
FLA
W 77-73
+4.5
12
vs
TEX
W 71-63
−11.5
16
vs
BTLR
W 79-60
−5.5
21
@
DEP
W 72-54
−7.5
31
@
XAV
W 90-67
+12.5
4
vs
MARQ
W 73-57
−14.5
7
@
PROV
W 103-98
+48.5
10
vs
DEP
W 72-60
−5.5
13
@
HALL
W 69-64
+0.5
over 7under 11avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Georgetown
17 games played
Straight up
9-8
53% wins
Against the spread
4-13
24% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-5
71% overs · avg +5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 87-70 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | @ | W 70-60 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 83-70 | -27.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 79-74 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 92-75 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 79-84 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 65-78 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 90-81 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 7 | @ | L 61-81 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 76-68 | -20.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 17 | @ | W 78-69 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 77-80 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 97-67 | -33.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 31 | vs | L 83-95 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 6 | @ | L 50-56 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 67-76 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 13 | @ | L 83-86 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MORG
W 87-70
−10.5
7
@
MD
W 70-60
+14.5
12
vs
BING
W 83-70
−14.5
15
vs
CLEM
W 79-74
+6.5
22
vs
WAG
W 92-75
−8.5
27
vs
DAY
L 79-84
−3.5
28
vs
MIA
L 65-78
−7.5
3
vs
UMBC
W 90-81
−10.5
7
@
UNC
L 61-81
−9.5
13
vs
SPU
W 76-68
−12.5
17
@
MARQ
W 78-69
+15.5
20
vs
XAV
L 77-80
−7.5
22
vs
COPP
W 97-67
−3.5
31
vs
SJU
L 83-95
−3.5
6
@
DEP
L 50-56
−3.5
10
vs
HALL
L 67-76
−7.5
13
@
CREI
L 83-86
+5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 13avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
MORG
W 87-70
+2.5
7
@
MD
W 70-60
−14.5
12
vs
BING
W 83-70
+11.5
15
vs
CLEM
W 79-74
+10.5
22
vs
WAG
W 92-75
+26.5
27
vs
DAY
L 79-84
+17.5
28
vs
MIA
L 65-78
−8.5
3
vs
UMBC
W 90-81
+21.5
7
@
UNC
L 61-81
−7.5
13
vs
SPU
W 76-68
+3.5
17
@
MARQ
W 78-69
−2.5
20
vs
XAV
L 77-80
+7.5
22
vs
COPP
W 97-67
+13.5
31
vs
SJU
L 83-95
+25.5
6
@
DEP
L 50-56
−38.5
10
vs
HALL
L 67-76
+5.5
13
@
CREI
L 83-86
+21.5
over 12under 5avg +5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UConn
17-1 overall · 7-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Seton Hall69–64
- Wvs DePaul72–60
- W@ Providence103–98
- Wvs Marquette73–57
- W@ Xavier90–67
4 days since their last game.
Georgetown
9-8 overall · 1-5 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Creighton83–86
- Lvs Seton Hall67–76
- L@ DePaul50–56
- Lvs St John's83–95
- Wvs Coppin St97–67
4 days since their last game.