McArthur Center · Neutral site
Closing line
USA -18.5✓ COPP covered by 8.5
USA -18.5✓ COPP covered by 8.5Closing total133.5Over by 0.5
| USA | This season | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 0-5 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 2-3 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USA 78–62 COPP · ✓ USA (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 33 | 39 | 72 |
| COPP | 28 | 34 | 62 |
1st half: USA 33, COPP 28 (USA by 5). The model had USA by 10.3 and a total of 65.6 (actual 61).
Team stats
| USA | COPP | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-63 41% | Field goals | 21-56 38% |
| 9-27 33% | 3-pointers | 7-32 22% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 13-17 76% |
| 40 14 off | Rebounds | 34 9 off |
| 16 | Assists | 16 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen F | 37 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 9-12 | 6-9 |
| Randy Brady F | 26 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Chaze Harris G | 24 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Cooper G | 24 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-11 | 0-5 |
| Peyton Law F | 13 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Stephen Williams F | 27 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| JJ Wheat G | 18 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Brian Hawthorne G | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| John Broom G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Maxwell Land, Desmond Williams, Samuel Shoptaw
| COPP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hassan Perkins G | 32 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Demariontay Hall F | 31 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Hussain Williams G | 27 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2-13 | 1-12 |
| Tyler Koenig F | 26 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Baasil Saunders G | 25 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamari Piercy G | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Favour Aire C | 14 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Torrin Andrews G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Khali Horton F | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Daveyon Lydner G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josiah Brown, Nelson Lamizana, Elijah Taylor, Taj Thweatt, Camaren Sparrow, Macahi Nelson, Chris Morgan
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSA -18.5
ModelUSA -16.7
Model edgeCOPP +1.8
W COPP covered
Total
Market133.5
Model139.9
Model edgeOver 6.4
W Over
Projected score
USA 78.3 · COPP 61.6
USA 72 · COPP 62
Win probability
USA 93%
1st half
Spread
USA -10.3
USA -5.0
Total
65.6
61 points
Projected score
USA 37.9 · COPP 27.6
USA 33 · COPP 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSA -17.5
1 → USA
CloseUSA -18.5
1 pt toward USA
Total
Open143.5
▼ 10
Close133.5
Down 10 since the open
Moneyline
USA -6000 · COPP +1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USA -17.5 · closed USA -18.5 · moved 1 toward USAmodel USA -16.5
model USA -16.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 10 downmodel 140
model 140
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USAlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% |
| COPPlast 5 | 0-5 0% | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Alabama
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
6
vs
ALCN
ALCNW 76-70
−12.5
13
vs
CMU
CMUW 66-64
−3.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
+4.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−12.5
over 1under 2avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Coppin St
5 games played
Straight up
0-5
0% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MD
MDL 61-83
+6.5
5
@
LAS
LASL 59-87
−10.5
9
@
JMU
JMUL 70-84
+4.5
12
@
USF
USFL 50-100
−15.5
14
vsCMU
CMUL 59-82
−12.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMD
MDL 61-83
+4.5
5
@LAS
LASL 59-87
+6.5
9
@JMU
JMUL 70-84
+12.5
12
@USF
USFL 50-100
−17.5
14
vsCMU
CMUL 59-82
−1.5
over 3under 2avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Alabama
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs C Michigan66–64
- Wvs Alcorn St76–70
- W@ Toledo76–74
2 days since their last game.
Coppin St
0-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs C Michigan59–82
- L@ South Florida50–100
- L@ James Madison70–84
- L@ La Salle59–87
- Lvs Maryland61–83
1 day since their last game.