Athletics-Recreation Center · at Valparaiso
Closing line
VAL -9.5✓ USI covered by 17.5
VAL -9.5✓ USI covered by 17.5Closing total150.5Under by 30.5
 USI | This season | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| 0-5 | Record | 4-1 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 2-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USI 69–80 VAL · ✗ VAL (82%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USI | 36 | 28 | 64 |
| VAL | 30 | 26 | 56 |
1st half: USI 36, VAL 30 (USI by 6). The model had VAL by 6.2 and a total of 69.8 (actual 66).
Team stats
| USI | VAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-56 36% | Field goals | 23-79 29% |
| 9-25 36% | 3-pointers | 4-26 15% |
| 15-25 60% | Free throws | 6-10 60% |
| 51 14 off | Rebounds | 48 21 off |
| 9 | Assists | 7 |
| 3 | Steals | 6 |
| 9 | Blocks | 10 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| USI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismail Habib G | 37 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 8-18 | 6-12 |
| Kaden Brown G | 35 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-5 |
| Ola Ajiboye F | 32 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Tolu Samuels F | 31 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Steven Clay G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cardell Bailey G | 32 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 4-11 | 0-3 |
| Sheridan Sharp G | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Alem Fejzic G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Ben Ezeagu F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Amaree Brown, Cayden Gehlhausen, Josiah Dunham, Braxton Jones, Trey Thomas, Devin Curtis
| VAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Brown Jr. G | 28 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-13 | 1-7 |
| Rakim Chaney G | 28 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-3 |
| JT Pettigrew F | 27 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 4-15 | 1-2 |
| Shon Tupuola F | 20 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Barnes G | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Owen Dease F | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Brody Whitaker G | 21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Tucker Tornatta F | 14 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Carter Hopoi F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Sader Servilus G | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Justus McNair G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kyonte Thomas, Kobe Walker, Camden Webster, Nick Lombardi, Jayden Watson, Joe Vick
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVAL -9.5
ModelVAL -10.5
Model edgeVAL +1.0
L USI covered
Total
Market150.5
Model149.0
Model edgeUnder 1.5
W Under
Projected score
USI 69.2 · VAL 79.7
USI 64 · VAL 56
Win probability
VAL 82%
1st half
Spread
VAL -6.2
USI -6.0
Total
69.8
66 points
Projected score
USI 31.8 · VAL 38
USI 36 · VAL 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAL -10.5
1 → USI
CloseVAL -9.5
1 pt toward USI
Total
Open147.5
▲ 3
Close150.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
USI +400 · VAL -535
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAL -10.5 · closed VAL -9.5 · moved 1 toward USImodel VAL -10.5
model VAL -10.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 3 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USIlast 5 | 0-5 0% | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% |
| VALlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
5 games played
Straight up
0-5
0% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
@
BTLR
BTLRL 58-88
−7.5
7
vs
VMI
VMIL 74-78
−1.5
12
@
SDAK
SDAKL 74-89
−7.5
20
vs
UIW
UIWL 81-87
+3.5
22
vs
UIC
UICL 73-84
+0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
@BTLR
BTLRL 58-88
−10.5
7
vsVMI
VMIL 74-78
−1.5
12
@SDAK
SDAKL 74-89
−1.5
20
vsUIW
UIWL 81-87
+22.5
22
vsUIC
UICL 73-84
+3.5
over 2under 3avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Valparaiso
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −7.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
EIU
EIUW 66-63
−2.5
7
@
UK
UKL 59-107
−15.5
12
vs
NICH
NICHW 68-63
+2.5
16
vs
BRY
BRYW 68-50
+11.5
19
@
CLE
CLEW 90-75
+17.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−15.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
+8.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
−13.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
−25.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+6.5
over 2under 3avg −7.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
0-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UIC73–84
- Lvs Incarnate Word81–87
- L@ South Dakota74–89
- Lvs VMI74–78
- L@ Butler58–88
4 days since their last game.
Valparaiso
4-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Cleveland St90–75
- Wvs Bryant68–50
- Wvs Nicholls68–63
- L@ Kentucky59–107
- Wvs E Illinois66–63
A week or more of rest.