Kirby Sports Center · Neutral site
Closing line
MONM -2.5✓ MONM covered by 4.5
MONM -2.5✓ MONM covered by 4.5Closing total136.5Over by 16.5
| MONM | This season | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 1-3 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 1-3 |
| 1-3 | O/U | 0-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MONM 73–67 BALL · ✓ MONM (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MONM | 35 | 45 | 80 |
| BALL | 29 | 44 | 73 |
1st half: MONM 35, BALL 29 (MONM by 6). The model had MONM by 3.5 and a total of 65.4 (actual 64).
Team stats
| MONM | BALL | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-59 49% | Field goals | 29-64 45% |
| 9-21 43% | 3-pointers | 11-30 37% |
| 13-19 68% | Free throws | 4-6 67% |
| 40 12 off | Rebounds | 29 9 off |
| 17 | Assists | 20 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 6 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MONM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Collins G | 38 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 4-10 | 3-6 |
| Jason Rivera-Torres G | 32 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Cornelius Robinson III F | 31 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Justin Ray G | 28 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Stefanos Spartalis F | 22 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrew Ball F | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 6-9 | 2-3 |
| Dok Muordar C | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jinup Dobuol G | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5-7 | 2-4 |
| Anthony Martinez G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| O'Marion Harvey F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Leahy, Zubayr Griffin, Lucas Orchard, Corey Miller, Kavion McClain, Quinn Peters
| BALL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler G | 33 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Mason Jones F | 30 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Juwan Maxey G | 27 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4-12 | 3-9 |
| Elmore James IV G | 21 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-5 |
| Kayden Fish F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Preston Copeland F | 24 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Cam Denson F | 22 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Davion Hill G | 19 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 8-13 | 5-8 |
| Devon Barnes G | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jai Anthoni Bearden F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alex Farley, Easton Foster, Zane Doughty, Kody Clancy, Joey Hart
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMONM -2.5
ModelMONM -5.6
Model edgeMONM +3.1
W MONM covered
Total
Market136.5
Model139.5
Model edgeOver 3.0
W Over
Projected score
MONM 72.6 · BALL 67
MONM 80 · BALL 73
Win probability
MONM 69%
1st half
Spread
MONM -3.5
MONM -6.0
Total
65.4
64 points
Projected score
MONM 34.5 · BALL 30.9
MONM 35 · BALL 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBALL -4.5
7 → MONM
CloseMONM -2.5
7 pts toward MONM
Total
Open138.5
▼ 2
Close136.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
MONM -155 · BALL +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BALL -4.5 · closed MONM -2.5 · moved 7 toward MONMmodel MONM -5.5
model MONM -5.5
Opened 138.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 2 downmodel 139.5
model 139.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MONMlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% |
| BALLlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 1-3 25% | 0-4 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Monmouth
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
LAS
LASL 60-73
−8.5
13
@
HALL
HALLL 58-70
+3.5
18
@
SYR
SYRL 73-78
+16.5
23
vs
RMU
RMUW 71-70
−1.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@LAS
LASL 60-73
−10.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 58-70
−7.5
18
@SYR
SYRL 73-78
+5.5
23
vsRMU
RMUW 71-70
−7.5
over 1under 3avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ball State
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-4
0% overs · avg −16.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UL
ULW 75-64
+6.5
11
@
WIS
WISL 55-86
−4.5
15
vs
LR
LRL 62-68
−8.5
22
@
INST
INSTL 52-70
−10.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
−2.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−15.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−16.5
22
@INST
INSTL 52-70
−32.5
over 0under 4avg −16.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Monmouth
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Robert Morris71–70
- L@ Syracuse73–78
- L@ Seton Hall58–70
- L@ La Salle60–73
5 days since their last game.
Ball State
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Indiana St52–70
- Lvs Little Rock62–68
- L@ Wisconsin55–86
- Wvs Louisiana75–64
6 days since their last game.