Clune Arena · at Air Force
Closing line
UNCO -4.5✓ UNCO covered by 13.5
UNCO -4.5✓ UNCO covered by 13.5Closing total146.5Under by 22.5
| UNCO | This season | AF |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 3-4 |
| 3-1 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 3-1 | O/U | 3-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCO 78–74 AF · ✓ UNCO (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCO | 28 | 43 | 71 |
| AF | 24 | 29 | 53 |
1st half: UNCO 28, AF 24 (UNCO by 4). The model had UNCO by 2.4 and a total of 71.3 (actual 52).
Team stats
| UNCO | AF | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-52 54% | Field goals | 21-51 41% |
| 10-24 42% | 3-pointers | 3-17 18% |
| 5-8 63% | Free throws | 8-14 57% |
| 31 4 off | Rebounds | 28 6 off |
| 17 | Assists | 9 |
| 4 | Steals | 2 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| UNCO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Denker G | 38 | 23 | 1 | 8 | 10-17 | 3-8 |
| Ibu Yamazaki F | 36 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Zach Bloch G | 35 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3-8 | 3-5 |
| Brock Wisne F | 34 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 8-9 | 1-2 |
| Ring Nyeri F | 12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ariik Mawien G | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Vincent Delano G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Egan Shields C | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Will Dixion III, Tanner Braketa, Steven Ramirez Jr., Kaden Ericksen, Hunter Caldwell, Walker Asp, William Humer, Chancellor White
| AF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Greenberg G | 36 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Eli Robinson F | 33 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Kam Sanders G | 32 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 6-12 | 2-4 |
| Lucas Hobin F | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Wesley Celichowski C | 17 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Walker F | 23 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| A.J. Patterson G | 19 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Kolby Gilles F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sam Imade, Justin Hinds, Chris Catchings, Brendan Martin, Keaton Frisch, Riley Dering, Elliott Taite, Kyle Marshall, Josh Gatete
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNCO -4.5
ModelUNCO -3.6
Model edgeAF +0.9
L UNCO covered
Total
Market146.5
Model152.1
Model edgeOver 5.6
L Under
Projected score
UNCO 77.9 · AF 74.3
UNCO 71 · AF 53
Win probability
UNCO 62%
1st half
Spread
UNCO -2.4
UNCO -4.0
Total
71.3
52 points
Projected score
UNCO 36.8 · AF 34.5
UNCO 28 · AF 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCO -4.5
no move
CloseUNCO -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
▲ 2
Close146.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCO -4.5 · unchangedmodel UNCO -3.5
model UNCO -3.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 2 upmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCOlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% |
| AFlast 7 | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UNCO 2–1 AFUNCO leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · UNCO has won the last 2 meetings · UNCO 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024-25 | AF 76 @ UNCO 81 | UNCO -9.5 | AF W |
| Dec 21, 2023-24 | UNCO 83 @ AF 79 | AF -7.5 | UNCO W |
| Dec 20, 2022-23 | AF 67 @ UNCO 65 | UNCO -2.5 | AF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Colorado
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +9.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
15
@
PEPP
PEPPW 88-81
+5.5
21
vs
STMN
STMNL 72-73
+3.5
22
@
PORT
PORTW 86-80
+2.5
23
vs
CSUF
CSUFW 97-93
−4.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
15
@PEPP
PEPPW 88-81
+15.5
21
vsSTMN
STMNL 72-73
−12.5
22
@PORT
PORTW 86-80
+8.5
23
vsCSUF
CSUFW 97-93
+25.5
over 3under 1avg +9.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Air Force
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BEL | L 63-79 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs APSU | L 54-74 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIU | L 72-76 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs M-OH | L 61-76 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALST | W 66-64 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs SIUE | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs IUIN | W 98-85 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 175.5 | O 183 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−0.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−18.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+1.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−4.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−0.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+16.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−2.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−8.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+10.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−6.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−8.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+9.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+7.5
over 3under 4avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Colorado
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Fullerton97–93
- W@ Portland86–80
- Lvs St Thomas72–73
- W@ Pepperdine88–81
3 days since their last game.
Air Force
3-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs IU Indy98–85
- Wvs SIUE77–63
- Wvs Alabama St66–64
- Lvs Miami OH61–76
- Lvs Long Island72–76
3 days since their last game.