Pan American Center · at New Mexico St
Closing line
UNM -3.5✓ NMSU covered by 11.5
UNM -3.5✓ NMSU covered by 11.5Closing total139.5Over by 4.5
| UNM | This season | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNM 75–71 NMSU · ✗ UNM (62%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | 27 | 41 | 68 |
| NMSU | 27 | 49 | 76 |
1st half: UNM 27, NMSU 27 (tied). The model had UNM by 2.2 and a total of 68.3 (actual 54).
Team stats
| UNM | NMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-55 42% | Field goals | 23-56 41% |
| 8-28 29% | 3-pointers | 10-32 31% |
| 14-17 82% | Free throws | 20-26 77% |
| 36 9 off | Rebounds | 35 12 off |
| 10 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| UNM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Howell G | 31 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-5 |
| Tomislav Buljan F | 30 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Antonio Chol F | 28 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Jake Hall G | 26 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Deyton Albury G | 23 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Uriah Tenette G | 21 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Luke Haupt G | 19 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Milos Vicentic F | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Kevin Patton Jr. G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Tajavis Miller G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| JT Rock C | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kallai Patton, Sir Marius Jones, Timeo Pons
| NMSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Mims F | 29 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Jemel Jones G | 29 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 4-14 | 3-10 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz G | 26 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 5-9 | 4-8 |
| Gabe Pickens G | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Cyr Malonga C | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayland Randall G | 19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Elijah Elliott G | 18 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Augustine Ekwe C | 18 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne F | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Chris Terrell G | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Teysean Eaglestaff, Christian Villegas, Kyrese Mullen, Omarr Smith, Amarco Doyle
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNM -3.5
ModelUNM -3.4
Model edgeNMSU +0.1
W NMSU covered
Total
Market139.5
Model145.9
Model edgeOver 6.4
W Over
Projected score
UNM 74.6 · NMSU 71.3
UNM 68 · NMSU 76
Win probability
UNM 62%
1st half
Spread
UNM -2.2
tied
Total
68.3
54 points
Projected score
UNM 35.3 · NMSU 33.1
UNM 27 · NMSU 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNM -3.5
no move
CloseUNM -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
no move
Close139.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UNM -185 · NMSU +155
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNM -3.5 · unchangedmodel UNM -3.5 matches the line
model UNM -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 139.5 · unchangedmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
| NMSU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UNM 3–2 NMSUUNM leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · UNM 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | NMSU 89 @ UNM 83 | UNM -20.5 | NMSU W |
| Dec 15, 2023-24 | UNM 73 @ NMSU 72 | NMSU +14.5 | NMSU W |
| Dec 2, 2023-24 | NMSU 62 @ UNM 106 | UNM -17.5 | UNM W |
| Dec 6, 2021-22 | NMSU 78 @ UNM 76 | UNM +4.5 | UNM W |
| Nov 30, 2021-22 | UNM 101 @ NMSU 94 | NMSU -10.5 | UNM W |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Mexico
34 games played
Straight up
26-8
76% wins
Against the spread
16-18
47% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-20
41% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs NICH | W 91-84 | -17.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 8 | vs UCLA | W 72-64 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 12 | vs AMCC | W 100-81 | -16.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 17 | @ SJU | L 71-85 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs GRAM | W 80-58 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs TXSO | W 99-68 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 28 | vs ASU | L 82-85 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 29 | vs USC | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 4 | vs SJSU | W 83-77 | -19.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 7 | vsNMSU | L 83-89 | -20.5 | L −26.5 | 151.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 18 | vs VCU | W 78-71 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 28 | @ CSU | W 76-68 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @ FRES | W 103-89 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 3 | vs NEV | W 82-81 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 7 | @ WYO | W 61-53 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 11 | vs SDSU | W 62-48 | -3.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 14 | @SJSU | L 70-71 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vs BOIS | W 84-65 | -3.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 20 | vsFRES | W 95-67 | -21.5 | W +6.5 | 160.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 25 | @ UNLV | W 75-73 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 1 | @ USU | W 82-63 | +4.5 | W +23.5 | 158.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | vsCSU | W 87-65 | -8.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 8 | @ AF | W 88-53 | -14.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 12 | vsWYO | W 71-67 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 16 | vsUSU | W 82-79 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 19 | @BOIS | L 78-86 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 25 | @SDSU | L 65-73 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Mar 1 | vsAF | W 92-71 | -22.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Mar 4 | @NEV | W 71-67 | -0.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Mar 7 | vsUNLV | W 81-67 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Mar 13 | vsSJSU | W 63-52 | -15.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 115 |
| Mar 14 | vsBOIS | L 69-72 | -0.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 21 | vs MARQ | W 75-66 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 23 | vs MSU | L 63-71 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsNICH
NICHW 91-84
−10.5
8
vsUCLA
UCLAW 72-64
+12.5
12
vsAMCC
AMCCW 100-81
+2.5
17
@SJU
SJUL 71-85
−6.5
21
vsGRAM
GRAMW 80-58
−1.5
24
vsTXSO
TXSOW 99-68
+6.5
28
vsASU
ASUL 82-85
−7.5
29
vsUSC
USCW 83-73
+4.5
4
vsSJSU
SJSUW 83-77
−13.5
7
vsNMSU
NMSUL 83-89
−26.5
18
vsVCU
VCUW 78-71
+3.5
28
@CSU
CSUW 76-68
+9.5
31
@FRES
FRESW 103-89
−1.5
3
vsNEV
NEVW 82-81
−4.5
7
@WYO
WYOW 61-53
+0.5
11
vsSDSU
SDSUW 62-48
+10.5
14
@SJSU
SJSUL 70-71
−10.5
17
vsBOIS
BOISW 84-65
+15.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 95-67
+6.5
25
@UNLV
UNLVW 75-73
−1.5
1
@USU
USUW 82-63
+23.5
5
vsCSU
CSUW 87-65
+13.5
8
@AF
AFW 88-53
+20.5
12
vsWYO
WYOW 71-67
−12.5
16
vsUSU
USUW 82-79
−2.5
19
@BOIS
BOISL 78-86
−3.5
25
@SDSU
SDSUL 65-73
−6.5
1
vsAF
AFW 92-71
−1.5
4
@NEV
NEVW 71-67
+3.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVW 81-67
+2.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 63-52
−4.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 69-72
−3.5
21
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-66
+13.5
23
vsMSU
MSUL 63-71
−1.5
covered 16didn’t cover 18avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsNICH
NICHW 91-84
+23.5
8
vsUCLA
UCLAW 72-64
−16.5
12
vsAMCC
AMCCW 100-81
+21.5
17
@SJU
SJUL 71-85
−6.5
21
vsGRAM
GRAMW 80-58
−14.5
24
vsTXSO
TXSOW 99-68
+9.5
28
vsASU
ASUL 82-85
+8.5
29
vsUSC
USCW 83-73
+2.5
4
vsSJSU
SJSUW 83-77
+9.5
7
vsNMSU
NMSUL 83-89
+20.5
18
vsVCU
VCUW 78-71
−2.5
28
@CSU
CSUW 76-68
−8.5
31
@FRES
FRESW 103-89
+31.5
3
vsNEV
NEVW 82-81
+11.5
7
@WYO
WYOW 61-53
−30.5
11
vsSDSU
SDSUW 62-48
−37.5
14
@SJSU
SJSUL 70-71
−12.5
17
vsBOIS
BOISW 84-65
−4.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 95-67
+1.5
25
@UNLV
UNLVW 75-73
−0.5
1
@USU
USUW 82-63
−13.5
5
vsCSU
CSUW 87-65
+1.5
8
@AF
AFW 88-53
−4.5
12
vsWYO
WYOW 71-67
−5.5
16
vsUSU
USUW 82-79
+2.5
19
@BOIS
BOISL 78-86
+11.5
25
@SDSU
SDSUL 65-73
−5.5
1
vsAF
AFW 92-71
+18.5
4
@NEV
NEVW 71-67
−11.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVW 81-67
−0.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 63-52
−35.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-66
−12.5
23
vsMSU
MSUL 63-71
−14.5
over 14under 20avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
New Mexico St
29 games played
Straight up
14-15
48% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-20
31% overs · avg −6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ UTU | W 75-63 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 14 | vsAMCC | W 83-82 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 20 | @ DAY | L 53-74 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 23 | @UNLV | L 65-72 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 29 | vs PEPP | L 70-82 | -5.5 | L −17.5 | 138.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 30 | vs BGSU | L 60-61 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 4 | vs ACU | L 70-78 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 7 | @UNM | W 89-83 | +20.5 | W +26.5 | 151.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 12 | @ TEX | L 67-91 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 16 | vs SUU | W 72-69 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | vs SHSU | W 75-71 | -0.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 4 | vs LT | W 78-48 | +2.5 | W +32.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 11 | @ UTEP | W 85-57 | +6.5 | W +34.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 16 | @ FIU | W 59-52 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 18 | @ LIB | L 60-68 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 23 | vs KENN | L 56-69 | -6.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 25 | vs JXST | L 59-65 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 30 | @ MTSU | W 61-57 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 1 | @ WKU | L 69-101 | +3.5 | L −28.5 | 141.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 8 | vsUTEP | L 63-66 | -0.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 13 | vsLIB | L 54-64 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 133.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 15 | vsFIU | W 76-48 | -6.5 | W +21.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 20 | @JXST | W 61-52 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 135.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 22 | @KENN | W 60-49 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 109 |
| Feb 27 | vsMTSU | L 66-71 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 1 | vsWKU | W 65-47 | -3.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 112 |
| Mar 6 | @LT | W 67-55 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | U 122 |
| Mar 8 | @SHSU | L 69-76 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 145 |
| Mar 13 | vsKENN | L 77-80 | +0.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@UTU
UTUW 75-63
+8.5
14
vsAMCC
AMCCW 83-82
−3.5
20
@DAY
DAYL 53-74
−5.5
23
@UNLV
UNLVL 65-72
+4.5
29
vsPEPP
PEPPL 70-82
−17.5
30
vsBGSU
BGSUL 60-61
−4.5
4
vsACU
ACUL 70-78
−10.5
7
@UNM
UNMW 89-83
+26.5
12
@TEX
TEXL 67-91
−4.5
16
vsSUU
SUUW 72-69
−2.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 75-71
+3.5
4
vsLT
LTW 78-48
+32.5
11
@UTEP
UTEPW 85-57
+34.5
16
@FIU
FIUW 59-52
+3.5
18
@LIB
LIBL 60-68
−1.5
23
vsKENN
KENNL 56-69
−19.5
25
vsJXST
JXSTL 59-65
−10.5
30
@MTSU
MTSUW 61-57
+11.5
1
@WKU
WKUL 69-101
−28.5
8
vsUTEP
UTEPL 63-66
−3.5
13
vsLIB
LIBL 54-64
−7.5
15
vsFIU
FIUW 76-48
+21.5
20
@JXST
JXSTW 61-52
+15.5
22
@KENN
KENNW 60-49
+15.5
27
vsMTSU
MTSUL 66-71
−6.5
1
vsWKU
WKUW 65-47
+14.5
6
@LT
LTW 67-55
+16.5
8
@SHSU
SHSUL 69-76
−5.5
13
vsKENN
KENNL 77-80
−2.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@UTU
UTUW 75-63
−11.5
14
vsAMCC
AMCCW 83-82
+17.5
20
@DAY
DAYL 53-74
−15.5
23
@UNLV
UNLVL 65-72
−4.5
29
vsPEPP
PEPPL 70-82
+13.5
30
vsBGSU
BGSUL 60-61
−23.5
4
vsACU
ACUL 70-78
+9.5
7
@UNM
UNMW 89-83
+20.5
12
@TEX
TEXL 67-91
+15.5
16
vsSUU
SUUW 72-69
−5.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 75-71
−3.5
4
vsLT
LTW 78-48
−12.5
11
@UTEP
UTEPW 85-57
+3.5
16
@FIU
FIUW 59-52
−31.5
18
@LIB
LIBL 60-68
−6.5
23
vsKENN
KENNL 56-69
−27.5
25
vsJXST
JXSTL 59-65
−12.5
30
@MTSU
MTSUW 61-57
−25.5
1
@WKU
WKUL 69-101
+28.5
8
vsUTEP
UTEPL 63-66
−9.5
13
vsLIB
LIBL 54-64
−15.5
15
vsFIU
FIUW 76-48
−15.5
20
@JXST
JXSTW 61-52
−22.5
22
@KENN
KENNW 60-49
−36.5
27
vsMTSU
MTSUL 66-71
−1.5
1
vsWKU
WKUW 65-47
−30.5
6
@LT
LTW 67-55
−8.5
8
@SHSU
SHSUL 69-76
+8.5
13
vsKENN
KENNL 77-80
+20.5
over 9under 20avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Mexico
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UC Riverside82–68
- Wvs UT Arlington74–56
- Wvs East Texas A&M76–54
4 days since their last game.
New Mexico St
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.