Trask Coliseum · Neutral site
Closing line
NAVY -3.5✓ SELA covered by 7.5
NAVY -3.5✓ SELA covered by 7.5Closing total136.5Under by 2.5
 SELA | This season | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 3-4 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 3-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SELA 68–71 NAVY · ✗ NAVY (60%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SELA | 42 | 27 | 69 |
| NAVY | 27 | 38 | 65 |
1st half: SELA 42, NAVY 27 (SELA by 15). The model had NAVY by 1.7 and a total of 65.1 (actual 69).
Team stats
| SELA | NAVY | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-45 53% | Field goals | 21-49 43% |
| 9-15 60% | 3-pointers | 4-14 29% |
| 12-15 80% | Free throws | 19-28 68% |
| 32 6 off | Rebounds | 26 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 23 | Fouls | 14 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| SELA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Gaines F | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Jeremy Elyzee G | 28 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-11 | 0-2 |
| CJ Booker PG | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Jaiden Lawrence G | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Pickett G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Seth Jones G | 25 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Jalen Forrest G | 25 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Peter Hemschemeier G | 22 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 7-10 | 5-5 |
| Makhi Myles F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ubong-Abasi Etim C | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Edison G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Garrett Shoemaker F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cody Al-Naziat, Amir Chaney, Ahmed Essahaty
| NAVY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Benigni G | 40 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 7-16 | 0-1 |
| Mike Woods F | 37 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Donovan Draper F | 33 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jinwoo Kim G | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Aidan Kehoe C | 30 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Cole G | 16 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| Jordan Pennick G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cooper Jackson F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Morgan, Jordan McConnell, Jerry Ashley Jr., Steven McLeod, C.J. Kearns, Colin Pollock, Julien King, Matt Gaffney, Owen Gray, Tobi Raji, David Burnett, Davyn de Jongh and 5 more
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNAVY -3.5
ModelNAVY -3.0
Model edgeSELA +0.5
W SELA covered
Total
Market136.5
Model138.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
L Under
Projected score
SELA 67.9 · NAVY 70.9
SELA 69 · NAVY 65
Win probability
NAVY 60%
1st half
Spread
NAVY -1.7
SELA -15.0
Total
65.1
69 points
Projected score
SELA 31.7 · NAVY 33.4
SELA 42 · NAVY 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNAVY -3.5
no move
CloseNAVY -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open135.5
▲ 1
Close136.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SELA +154 · NAVY -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NAVY -3.5 · unchangedmodel NAVY -3
model NAVY -3
Opened 135.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 1 upmodel 139
model 139
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SELAlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% |
| NAVYlast 7 | 3-4 43% | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SE Louisiana
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
MISS
MISSL 58-88
−8.5
7
@
UL
ULL 52-58
−2.5
10
@
GT
GTL 60-70
+4.5
15
@
MSST
MSSTL 68-75
+20.5
26
@
UNCW
UNCWL 57-70
−1.5
28
vs
GWEB
GWEBW 76-68
+1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MISS
MISSL 58-88
+2.5
7
@UL
ULL 52-58
−25.5
10
@GT
GTL 60-70
−3.5
15
@MSST
MSSTL 68-75
−7.5
26
@UNCW
UNCWL 57-70
−10.5
28
vsGWEB
GWEBW 76-68
+2.5
over 2under 4avg −7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Navy
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PRES | W 76-55 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 7 | vs YALE | L 68-97 | +5.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ PSU | L 71-80 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNC | L 61-73 | +26.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs NJIT | W 86-70 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 26 | vsGWEB | W 84-51 | -10.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 28 | @UNCW | L 57-87 | +8.5 | L −21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PRES
PRESW 76-55
+17.5
7
vsYALE
YALEL 68-97
−23.5
11
@PSU
PSUL 71-80
+2.5
18
@UNC
UNCL 61-73
+14.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 86-70
−1.5
26
vsGWEB
GWEBW 84-51
+22.5
28
@UNCW
UNCWL 57-87
−21.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PRES
PRESW 76-55
−10.5
7
vsYALE
YALEL 68-97
+17.5
11
@PSU
PSUL 71-80
−4.5
18
@UNC
UNCL 61-73
−26.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 86-70
+15.5
26
vsGWEB
GWEBW 84-51
−18.5
28
@UNCW
UNCWL 57-87
+5.5
over 3under 4avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SE Louisiana
1-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Gardner-Webb76–68
- L@ UNC Wilmington57–70
- L@ Mississippi St68–75
- L@ Georgia Tech60–70
- L@ Louisiana52–58
1 day since their last game.
Navy
3-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UNC Wilmington57–87
- Wvs Gardner-Webb84–51
- Wvs NJIT86–70
- L@ North Carolina61–73
- L@ Penn State71–80
1 day since their last game.