Hope Coliseum · at West Virginia
Closing line
WVU -21.5✓ WVU covered by 10.5
WVU -21.5✓ WVU covered by 10.5Closing total127.5Under by 19.5
 MERC | This season | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 5-2 |
| 5-1 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 3-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MERC 53–76 WVU · ✓ WVU (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERC | 22 | 16 | 38 |
| WVU | 39 | 31 | 70 |
1st half: MERC 22, WVU 39 (WVU by 17). The model had WVU by 13.5 and a total of 60.3 (actual 61).
Team stats
| MERC | WVU | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-48 33% | Field goals | 26-55 47% |
| 5-13 38% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 1-8 13% | Free throws | 13-20 65% |
| 27 6 off | Rebounds | 44 14 off |
| 6 | Assists | 15 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| MERC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qadir Martin F | 31 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Johnson F | 30 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Bernie Blunt III G | 28 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 6-12 | 2-4 |
| Jake Lemelman G | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-9 | 2-4 |
| Christian Gamble G | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| James Thomas F | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| DeShaun Jackson Jr. PG | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Fuhrmann G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Or Faran G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Sean Lang G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brady Conner G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Vladimir Pavlovic G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mykolas Ivanauskas, Chris Leman, Emilis Butkus
| WVU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treysen Eaglestaff G | 27 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Honor Huff G | 26 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Jasper Floyd G | 24 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Harlan Obioha C | 20 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Brenen Lorient F | 18 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amir Jenkins G | 23 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Chance Moore G | 16 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| DJ Thomas F | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Morris Ugusuk G | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jackson Fields F | 12 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Forsythe G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Niyol Hauet G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Abraham Oyeadier, Evans Barning Jr., MJ Feenane
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWVU -21.5
ModelWVU -22.6
Model edgeWVU +1.1
W WVU covered
Total
Market127.5
Model128.5
Model edgeOver 1.0
L Under
Projected score
MERC 52.9 · WVU 75.6
MERC 38 · WVU 70
Win probability
WVU 98%
1st half
Spread
WVU -13.5
WVU -17.0
Total
60.3
61 points
Projected score
MERC 23.4 · WVU 36.9
MERC 22 · WVU 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWVU -21.5
no move
CloseWVU -21.5
No change since the open
Total
Open130.5
▼ 3
Close127.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
MERC +2200 · WVU -8000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WVU -21.5 · unchangedmodel WVU -22.5
model WVU -22.5
Opened 130.5 · closed 127.5 · moved 3 downmodel 128.5
model 128.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERClast 6 | 2-4 33% | 5-1 83% | 2-4 33% |
| WVUlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MERC 0–1 WVUWVU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MERC 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024-25 | MERC 46 @ WVU 67 | WVU -31.5 | MERC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercyhurst
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +8.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −8.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
NU
NUL 47-70
+3.5
6
@
LUC
LUCW 73-65
+29.5
12
@
CAN
CANL 55-58
−4.5
15
vs
MORG
MORGW 86-72
+7.5
20
@
M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+10.5
23
@
MRSH
MRSHL 60-69
+2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
−23.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
−6.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−22.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+11.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+7.5
23
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-69
−18.5
over 2under 4avg −8.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
West Virginia
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
MSM
MSMW 70-54
−3.5
6
vs
CAM
CAMW 73-65
−7.5
9
vs
LEH
LEHW 69-47
+4.5
13
vs
PITT
PITTW 71-49
+16.5
17
vs
LAF
LAFW 81-59
−2.5
21
vs
CLEM
CLEML 67-70
+1.5
23
vs
XAV
XAVL 68-78
−15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsMSM
MSMW 70-54
−12.5
6
vsCAM
CAMW 73-65
−0.5
9
vsLEH
LEHW 69-47
−23.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 71-49
−14.5
17
vsLAF
LAFW 81-59
+4.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 67-70
+4.5
23
vsXAV
XAVL 68-78
+5.5
over 3under 4avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercyhurst
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Marshall60–69
- L@ Miami OH71–76
- Wvs Morgan St86–72
- L@ Canisius55–58
- W@ Loyola Chicago73–65
A week or more of rest.
West Virginia
5-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Xavier68–78
- Lvs Clemson67–70
- Wvs Lafayette81–59
- Wvs Pitt71–49
- Wvs Lehigh69–47
A week or more of rest.