Delta Center · Neutral site
Closing line
MSST -1.5✓ MSST covered by 6.5
MSST -1.5✓ MSST covered by 6.5Closing total153.5Over by 2.5
| MSST | This season | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| 4-5 | Record | 7-3 |
| 1-8 | ATS | 3-7 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 8-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MSST 84–80 UTAH · ✓ MSST (64%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSST | 32 | 50 | 82 |
| UTAH | 42 | 32 | 74 |
1st half: MSST 32, UTAH 42 (UTAH by 10). The model had MSST by 2.6 and a total of 76.5 (actual 74).
Team stats
| MSST | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-65 51% | Field goals | 24-53 45% |
| 10-25 40% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 6-9 67% | Free throws | 18-24 75% |
| 32 8 off | Rebounds | 33 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 11 |
| 10 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| MSST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Epps G | 34 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 8-15 | 3-9 |
| Josh Hubbard G | 30 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6-18 | 1-6 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. G | 27 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Quincy Ballard C | 24 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming F | 22 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ja'Borri McGhee G | 26 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 11-16 | 5-7 |
| Sergej Macura F | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Dellquan Warren G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Walker F | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Achor Achor F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| King Grace G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Tee Bartlett, Cameren Paul, Amier Ali, Gai Chol
| UTAH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seydou Traore G | 33 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Don McHenry G | 31 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 9-16 | 5-9 |
| Terrence Brown G | 30 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 7-15 | 1-4 |
| Keanu Dawes F | 30 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| James Okonkwo F | 21 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kendyl Sanders F | 24 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Obomate Abbey G | 19 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Josh Hayes F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jahki Howard F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jerry Huang, Babacar Faye, Ibrahima Traore, Jacob Patrick, Alvin Jackson III
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTAH -1.5
3 → MSST
CloseMSST -1.5
3 pts toward MSST
Total
Open153.5
no move
Close153.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MSST -130 · UTAH +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTAH -1.5 · closed MSST -1.5 · moved 3 toward MSSTmodel MSST -4
model MSST -4
Opened 153.5 · unchangedmodel 163.5
model 163.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MSST -1.5 | MSST -4.1 | MSST +2.6 | W MSST covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 163.4 | Over 9.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MSST 83.8 · UTAH 79.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MSST -2.6 | UTAH -10.0 |
| 1H total | 76.5 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | MSST 39.5 · UTAH 36.9 | MSST 32 · UTAH 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSSTlast 9 | 4-5 44% | 1-8 11% | 5-4 56% |
| UTAH | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MSST 2–0 UTAHMSST leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · MSST has won the last 2 meetings · MSST 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024-25 | UTAH 73 vs MSST 78 | MSST -7.5 | UTAH W |
| Nov 23, 2022-23 | UTAH 49 vs MSST 52 | MSST -6.5 | UTAH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mississippi St
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
1-8
11% covers · avg −9.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs UNA | W 86-62 | -24.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 10 | vs ISU | L 80-96 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | vs SELA | W 75-68 | -27.5 | L −20.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs KSU | L 77-98 | -2.5 | L −23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNM | L 78-80 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 24 | vs NOLA | W 81-78 | -23.5 | L −20.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMU | L 81-87 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ GT | W 85-73 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 7 | vs SF | L 62-65 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUNA
UNAW 86-62
−0.5
10
vsISU
ISUL 80-96
−10.5
15
vsSELA
SELAW 75-68
−20.5
20
vsKSU
KSUL 77-98
−23.5
21
vsUNM
UNML 78-80
−8.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 81-78
−20.5
28
vsSMU
SMUL 81-87
−7.5
3
@GT
GTW 85-73
+10.5
7
vsSF
SFL 62-65
−7.5
covered 1didn’t cover 8avg −9.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUNA
UNAW 86-62
−3.5
10
vsISU
ISUL 80-96
+25.5
15
vsSELA
SELAW 75-68
−7.5
20
vsKSU
KSUL 77-98
+10.5
21
vsUNM
UNML 78-80
+6.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 81-78
−1.5
28
vsSMU
SMUL 81-87
+5.5
3
@GT
GTW 85-73
+7.5
7
vsSF
SFL 62-65
−23.5
over 5under 4avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Utah
10 games played
Straight up
7-3
70% wins
Against the spread
3-7
30% covers · avg −4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-2
80% overs · avg +6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SJSU | W 84-75 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 8 | vs WEB | W 92-89 | -15.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 10 | vs HC | W 87-69 | -21.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs SHSU | W 85-79 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 18 | vs PFW | W 85-77 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 20 | vs CP | L 85-92 | -14.5 | L −21.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 25 | vs GCU | L 58-68 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 26 | vs MISS | W 75-74 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | @ CAL | L 72-79 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs CBU | W 91-85 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 176 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 84-75
−2.5
8
vsWEB
WEBW 92-89
−12.5
10
vsHC
HCW 87-69
−3.5
15
vsSHSU
SHSUW 85-79
−6.5
18
vsPFW
PFWW 85-77
−5.5
20
vsCP
CPL 85-92
−21.5
25
vsGCU
GCUL 58-68
−4.5
26
vsMISS
MISSW 75-74
+11.5
2
@CAL
CALL 72-79
+0.5
6
vsCBU
CBUW 91-85
+0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 7avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 84-75
+12.5
8
vsWEB
WEBW 92-89
+32.5
10
vsHC
HCW 87-69
+0.5
15
vsSHSU
SHSUW 85-79
+4.5
18
vsPFW
PFWW 85-77
+0.5
20
vsCP
CPL 85-92
+9.5
25
vsGCU
GCUL 58-68
−27.5
26
vsMISS
MISSW 75-74
+4.5
2
@CAL
CALL 72-79
−1.5
6
vsCBU
CBUW 91-85
+30.5
over 8under 2avg +6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mississippi St
4-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs San Francisco62–65
- W@ Georgia Tech85–73
- Lvs SMU81–87
- Wvs LSU N Orleans81–78
- Lvs New Mexico78–80
6 days since their last game.
Utah
7-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs CA Baptist91–85
- L@ California72–79
- Wvs Ole Miss75–74
- Lvs Grand Canyon58–68
- Lvs Cal Poly85–92
A week or more of rest.