Allen Fieldhouse · at Kansas
Closing line
KU -14.5✓ KU covered by 9.5
KU -14.5✓ KU covered by 9.5Closing total137.5Under by 15.5
 TOW | This season | KU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | Record | 8-3 |
| 5-4 | ATS | 7-4 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 3-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOW 59–78 KU · ✓ KU (95%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOW | 25 | 24 | 49 |
| KU | 36 | 37 | 73 |
1st half: TOW 25, KU 36 (KU by 11). The model had KU by 11.2 and a total of 64.3 (actual 61).
Team stats
| TOW | KU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-69 28% | Field goals | 28-60 47% |
| 3-24 13% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 8-12 67% | Free throws | 9-14 64% |
| 45 22 off | Rebounds | 43 12 off |
| 4 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 9 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| TOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Williamson G | 39 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 8-20 | 3-10 |
| Tyler Tejada F | 23 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-12 | 0-5 |
| Caleb Embeya F | 19 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Schmidt G | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Coleman F | 14 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chike Ndefo G | 25 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Jack Doumbia Jr. F | 23 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 2-11 | 0-1 |
| Mor Seck C | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaquan Womack G | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Jaiden Cole G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Ryan Skerry G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryan Conway, Jon Barton, Abdou Samb, Brandon Holmes
| KU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre White G | 29 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Melvin Council Jr. G | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 6-13 | 3-6 |
| Flory Bidunga F | 27 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Tiller F | 23 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Jamari McDowell G | 16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elmarko Jackson G | 23 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Kohl Rosario G | 17 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Jayden Dawson G | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Samis Calderon F | 14 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Paul Mbiya C | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Nginyu Ngala G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Will Thengvall, Justin Cross, Wilder Evers, Darryn Peterson, Corbin Allen
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKU -14.5
ModelKU -18.8
Model edgeKU +4.3
W KU covered
Total
Market137.5
Model137.1
Model edgeUnder 0.4
W Under
Projected score
TOW 59.2 · KU 77.9
TOW 49 · KU 73
Win probability
KU 95%
1st half
Spread
KU -11.2
KU -11.0
Total
64.3
61 points
Projected score
TOW 26.5 · KU 37.7
TOW 25 · KU 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKU -16.5
2 → TOW
CloseKU -14.5
2 pts toward TOW
Total
Open133.5
▲ 4
Close137.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
TOW +900 · KU -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KU -16.5 · closed KU -14.5 · moved 2 toward TOWmodel KU -19
model KU -19
Opened 133.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 4 upmodel 137
model 137
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOWlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% |
| KU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Towson
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −5.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs L-MD | W 67-56 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 8 | @ HOU | L 48-65 | +26.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 14 | vs NORF | W 51-41 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 18 | @ JMU | L 75-81 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs URI | W 62-55 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 25 | vs LIB | W 72-69 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UCSD | L 73-87 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs COR | W 93-80 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 7 | @ UCF | L 61-86 | +9.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsL-MD
L-MDW 67-56
+2.5
8
@HOU
HOUL 48-65
+9.5
14
vsNORF
NORFW 51-41
−3.5
18
@JMU
JMUL 75-81
−9.5
24
vsURI
URIW 62-55
+9.5
25
vsLIB
LIBW 72-69
+9.5
26
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-87
−12.5
3
vsCOR
CORW 93-80
+6.5
7
@UCF
UCFL 61-86
−15.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsL-MD
L-MDW 67-56
−18.5
8
@HOU
HOUL 48-65
−17.5
14
vsNORF
NORFW 51-41
−46.5
18
@JMU
JMUL 75-81
+15.5
24
vsURI
URIW 62-55
−23.5
25
vsLIB
LIBW 72-69
+3.5
26
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-87
+21.5
3
vsCOR
CORW 93-80
+18.5
7
@UCF
UCFL 61-86
−1.5
over 4under 5avg −5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas
11 games played
Straight up
8-3
73% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-8
27% overs · avg −7.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GB | W 94-51 | -30.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ UNC | L 74-87 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs AMCC | W 77-46 | -25.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 15 | vs PRIN | W 76-57 | -22.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs DUKE | L 66-78 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 24 | vs ND | W 71-61 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs SYR | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs TENN | W 81-76 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | vs CONN | L 56-61 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 7 | vs MIZ | W 80-60 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ NCSU | W 77-76 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
+12.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
−10.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
+5.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−3.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−1.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
+4.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
+6.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+12.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−1.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
+14.5
13
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
−7.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
+1.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
−22.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−11.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−5.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
−11.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
−13.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+16.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−24.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
−10.5
13
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+4.5
over 3under 8avg −7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Towson
5-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UCF61–86
- Wvs Cornell93–80
- Lvs UC San Diego73–87
- Wvs Liberty72–69
- Wvs Rhode Island62–55
A week or more of rest.
Kansas
8-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ NC State77–76
- Wvs Missouri80–60
- Lvs UConn56–61
- Wvs Tennessee81–76
- Wvs Syracuse71–60
3 days since their last game.