Michelob ULTRA Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
ISU -9.5✓ ISU covered by 8.5
ISU -9.5✓ ISU covered by 8.5Closing total152.5Under by 14.5
 CREI | This season | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 5-0 |
| 1-4 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 1-4 | O/U | 4-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CREI 72–82 ISU · ✓ ISU (82%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CREI | 26 | 34 | 60 |
| ISU | 40 | 38 | 78 |
1st half: CREI 26, ISU 40 (ISU by 14). The model had ISU by 6.3 and a total of 72.1 (actual 66).
Team stats
| CREI | ISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-58 38% | Field goals | 32-65 49% |
| 10-28 36% | 3-pointers | 5-14 36% |
| 6-11 55% | Free throws | 9-14 64% |
| 34 11 off | Rebounds | 39 13 off |
| 18 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| CREI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dix G | 30 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 6-10 | 3-6 |
| Jasen Green F | 30 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 6-10 | 1-3 |
| Owen Freeman F | 23 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Nik Graves G | 21 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-8 | 0-4 |
| Blake Harper G | 16 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hudson Greer G | 20 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Kerem Konan F | 13 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Traudt F | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Ty Davis G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Fedor Zugic G | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Austin Swartz G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Shane Thomas G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aleksa Dimitrijevic, Josh Townley-Thomas, Liam McChesney, Jackson McAndrew
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Heise G | 39 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Joshua Jefferson F | 36 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 8-17 | 1-3 |
| Killyan Toure G | 31 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 8-14 | 1-3 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 31 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Milan Momcilovic F | 25 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamarion Batemon G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Dominick Nelson G | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Dominykas Pleta F | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Eric Mulder F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anthony Rise, Mason Williams, Cade Kelderman, Tamin Lipsey, Xzavion Mitchell
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketISU -9.5
ModelISU -10.7
Model edgeISU +1.2
W ISU covered
Total
Market152.5
Model154.0
Model edgeOver 1.5
L Under
Projected score
CREI 71.7 · ISU 82.3
CREI 60 · ISU 78
Win probability
ISU 82%
1st half
Spread
ISU -6.3
ISU -14.0
Total
72.1
66 points
Projected score
CREI 32.9 · ISU 39.2
CREI 26 · ISU 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenISU -6.5
3 → ISU
CloseISU -9.5
3 pts toward ISU
Total
Open151.5
▲ 1
Close152.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
CREI +210 · ISU -258
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ISU -6.5 · closed ISU -9.5 · moved 3 toward ISUmodel ISU -10.5
model ISU -10.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 upmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CREIlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 1-4 20% | 1-4 20% |
| ISUlast 5 | 5-0 100% | 3-2 60% | 4-1 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CREI 0–1 ISUISU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · CREI 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021-22 | ISU 64 @ CREI 58 | CREI -5.5 | ISU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Creighton
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
1-4
20% covers · avg −8.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-4
20% overs · avg −7.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
SDAK
SDAKW 92-76
−13.5
11
@
GONZ
GONZL 63-90
−14.5
14
vs
UMES
UMESW 84-45
+5.5
19
vs
UND
UNDW 75-60
−14.5
24
vs
BAY
BAYL 74-81
−3.5
covered 1didn’t cover 4avg −8.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsSDAK
SDAKW 92-76
−1.5
11
@GONZ
GONZL 63-90
−11.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 84-45
−6.5
19
vsUND
UNDW 75-60
−20.5
24
vsBAY
BAYL 74-81
+0.5
over 1under 4avg −7.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa State
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-1
80% overs · avg +9.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
FDU
FDUW 88-50
+0.5
6
vs
GRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+6.5
10
vs
MSST
MSSTW 96-80
+10.5
17
vs
STO
STOW 96-57
−1.5
24
vs
SJU
SJUW 83-82
−1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
−9.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+19.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+25.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
+6.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
+6.5
over 4under 1avg +9.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Creighton
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Baylor74–81
- Wvs North Dakota75–60
- Wvs MD Eastern84–45
- L@ Gonzaga63–90
- Wvs South Dakota92–76
1 day since their last game.
Iowa State
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs St John's83–82
- Wvs Stonehill96–57
- Wvs Mississippi St96–80
- Wvs Grambling102–62
- Wvs FDU88–50
1 day since their last game.