Moody Coliseum (Dallas) · at SMU
Closing line
SMU -21.5✓ SMU covered by 25.5
Closing total170.5Over by 2.5
| This season | SMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | Record | 10-2 |
| 6-4 | ATS | 5-7 |
| 7-3 | O/U | 7-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUF 74–96 SMU · ✓ SMU (97%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUF | 19 | 44 | 63 |
| SMU | 51 | 59 | 110 |
1st half: CSUF 19, SMU 51 (SMU by 32). The model had SMU by 12.8 and a total of 79.4 (actual 70).
Team stats
| CSUF | SMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-62 32% | Field goals | 41-77 53% |
| 8-32 25% | 3-pointers | 14-31 45% |
| 15-22 68% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 36 16 off | Rebounds | 49 20 off |
| 14 | Assists | 30 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 4 | Blocks | 7 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| CSUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Williams G | 30 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2-9 | 1-8 |
| Joshua Ward G | 30 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 4-13 | 2-6 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro G | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Bryce Cofield G | 27 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-2 |
| Kendrick De Luna F | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KJ Garris Jr. G | 21 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-3 |
| Landon Seaman F | 20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Davis White G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Ben Winker F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Matthew Quinlan G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kidus Tilahun, Yesan Warren, Jaden Henderson, Karan Kolappa, Cam Smith, Nicholas Khatchikian, Bailey Nunn
| SMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller G | 30 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| B.J. Edwards G | 28 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 8-10 | 3-5 |
| Samet Yigitoglu C | 25 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. G | 22 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-12 | 1-5 |
| Corey Washington F | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5-9 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. F | 20 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 8-12 | 3-4 |
| Jaden Toombs F | 18 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray G | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Sam Walters F | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Mitchell Holmes F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chance Puryear G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Nigel Walls F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trey Utter G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Niccolo Kalischer-Stork G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Billy White III
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMU -19.5
2 → SMU
CloseSMU -21.5
2 pts toward SMU
Total
Open173.5
▼ 3
Close170.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
CSUF +1600 · SMU -4000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMU -19.5 · closed SMU -21.5 · moved 2 toward SMUmodel SMU -21.5 matches the line
model SMU -21.5 = line ✓
Opened 173.5 · closed 170.5 · moved 3 downmodel 169.5
model 169.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SMU -21.5 | SMU -21.6 | SMU +0.1 | W SMU covered |
| Total | 170.5 | 169.7 | Under 0.8 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | CSUF 74 · SMU 95.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SMU -12.8 | SMU -32.0 |
| 1H total | 79.4 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | CSUF 33.3 · SMU 46.1 | CSUF 19 · SMU 51 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 5-4 56% | 6-3 67% | |
| 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fullerton
11 games played
Straight up
3-8
27% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-3
70% overs · avg +9.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | L 82-92 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 10 | @ | L 65-93 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 73-85 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 85-103 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 88-80 | +11.5 | W +19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 93-97 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | O 190 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 83-69 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | vs | L 91-94 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 59-69 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 105-86 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 165.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 21 | @ | L 89-94 | +19.5 | W +14.5 | 176.5 | O 183 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
WYO
L 82-92
+5.5
10
@
CAL
L 65-93
−5.5
15
vs
PAC
L 73-85
−5.5
21
@
PORT
L 85-103
−11.5
22
vs
STMN
W 88-80
+19.5
23
vs
UNCO
L 93-97
+4.5
29
vs
PEPP
W 83-69
+12.5
4
vs
CP
L 91-94
−4.5
13
@
DEN
W 105-86
+22.5
21
@
OKST
L 89-94
+14.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
WYO
L 82-92
+19.5
10
@
CAL
L 65-93
−4.5
15
vs
PAC
L 73-85
−1.5
21
@
PORT
L 85-103
+23.5
22
vs
STMN
W 88-80
+5.5
23
vs
UNCO
L 93-97
+25.5
29
vs
PEPP
W 83-69
−9.5
4
vs
CP
L 91-94
+7.5
13
@
DEN
W 105-86
+25.5
21
@
OKST
L 89-94
+6.5
over 7under 3avg +9.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
SMU
12 games played
Straight up
10-2
83% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 96-76 | -21.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 69-58 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 102-91 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 106-60 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 100-69 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 89-72 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 28 | @ | W 87-81 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 69-88 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 93-80 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 77-89 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 99-82 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
TAR
W 96-76
−1.5
6
vs
AMCC
W 69-58
−12.5
11
vs
MUR
W 102-91
+0.5
15
vs
BTLR
W 87-85
−5.5
18
vs
UAPB
W 106-60
+10.5
21
vs
ARST
W 100-69
+16.5
24
vs
RAD
W 89-72
−6.5
28
@
MSST
W 87-81
+7.5
3
@
VAN
L 69-88
−8.5
7
vs
TA&M
W 93-80
+14.5
13
vs
LSU
L 77-89
−10.5
21
vs
CARK
W 99-82
−7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
TAR
W 96-76
+27.5
6
vs
AMCC
W 69-58
−33.5
11
vs
MUR
W 102-91
+28.5
15
vs
BTLR
W 87-85
+8.5
18
vs
UAPB
W 106-60
−2.5
21
vs
ARST
W 100-69
−3.5
24
vs
RAD
W 89-72
−4.5
28
@
MSST
W 87-81
+5.5
3
@
VAN
L 69-88
−8.5
7
vs
TA&M
W 93-80
+8.5
13
vs
LSU
L 77-89
+7.5
21
vs
CARK
W 99-82
+24.5
over 7under 5avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fullerton
3-8 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oklahoma St89–94
- W@ Denver105–86
- L@ Hawai'i59–69
- Lvs Cal Poly91–94
- Wvs Pepperdine83–69
A week or more of rest.
SMU
10-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs C Arkansas99–82
- Lvs LSU77–89
- Wvs Texas A&M93–80
- L@ Vanderbilt69–88
- W@ Mississippi St87–81
A week or more of rest.