Idaho Vandals at Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Dec 10, 7:00 PM ETPurcell Pavilion · at Notre Dame

#247IDHOIdaho65final

Final

#71NDNotre Dame80▲ winner

Closing lineND -11.5✓ ND covered by 3.5

Closing total144.5Over by 0.5

Season records: Idaho and Notre Dame
IDHO	This season	ND
4-3	Record	7-3
4-3	ATS	6-4
3-4	O/U	5-5

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: IDHO 67–81 ND · ✓ ND (90%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
IDHO	33	32	65
ND	33	47	80

1st half: IDHO 33, ND 33 (tied). The model had ND by 8.6 and a total of 69.2 (actual 66).

Team stats

IDHO		ND
23-58 40%	Field goals	32-61 52%
10-24 42%	3-pointers	9-14 64%
9-10 90%	Free throws	7-10 70%
27 7 off	Rebounds	39 11 off
13	Assists	15
3	Steals	2
2	Blocks	5
6	Turnovers	9
12	Fouls	8
22	Points in paint	46
8	Fast-break points	3

Players

IDHO	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jackson Rasmussen F	37	16	4	2	7-17	2-4
Kolton Mitchell G	34	8	6	2	3-8	1-5
Biko Johnson G	30	19	3	2	5-10	3-6
Brody Rowbury F	22	11	4	1	4-6	1-1
Jack Payne G	20	2	1	2	1-6	0-3
Bench
Seth Joba F	22	3	5	1	1-6	1-2
Isaiah Brickner G	19	3	2	2	1-3	1-1
Tre Blassingame G	12	3	1	1	1-1	1-1
Miles Klapper G	4	0	0	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Ewan Steele, Will Jenson, Talon Jenkins, Aidan Sevilla, Tyler Linhardt, Kristian Gonzalez, Titus Yearout

ND	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Cole Certa G	32	15	3	1	5-7	3-4
Carson Towt F	31	19	15	3	9-12	0-0
Braeden Shrewsberry G	29	14	2	2	5-9	4-7
Jalen Haralson G	25	20	2	2	8-16	0-0
Garrett Sundra F	19	2	4	1	1-1	0-0
Bench
Brady Koehler F	22	2	4	0	1-3	0-0
Logan Imes G	19	2	1	4	1-5	0-1
Sir Mohammed G	15	6	2	1	2-7	2-2
Kebba Njie F	8	0	3	1	0-1	0-0

Did not play: Matthew MacLellan, Luke Devine, Tommy Ahneman, Ryder Frost, Markus Burton, Brady Stevens

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
IDHO LWLWW	4-3	57%	2-2	2-1
ND LLWWW	6-4	60%	3-2	2-3

Venue/role: IDHO away, as underdog; ND home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
IDHO UUOUO	3-4	43%	4-3
ND UUUOO	5-5	50%	7-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
IDHOlast 7	4-3 57%	4-3 57%	3-4 43%
ND	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Idaho

7 games played

Straight up

4-3

57% wins

Against the spread

4-3

57% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-4

43% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-357%

W L L W L W W

2 straight wins3 of last 4 won

Against the spread

4-357%

W L L W L W W

2 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-443%

O U U U O U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@WSU	W 83-81	+7.5	W +9.5	154.5	O 164
Nov 12	@USD	L 74-78	-1.5	L −5.5	155.5	U 152
Nov 15	@UCSD	L 67-75	+5.5	L −2.5	148.5	U 142
Nov 26	vsCSUN	W 78-64	-1.5	W +12.5	159.5	U 142
Nov 28	vsSHSU	L 68-94	-1.5	L −27.5	154.5	O 162
Dec 3	vsUND	W 90-58	-11.5	W +20.5	151.5	U 148
Dec 6	@SDST	W 84-81	+5.5	W +8.5	147.5	O 165

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WSU

W 83-81

+9.5

USD

L 74-78

−5.5

UCSD

L 67-75

−2.5

CSUN

W 78-64

+12.5

SHSU

L 68-94

−27.5

UND

W 90-58

+20.5

SDST

W 84-81

+8.5

covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WSU

W 83-81

+9.5

USD

L 74-78

−3.5

UCSD

L 67-75

−6.5

CSUN

W 78-64

−17.5

SHSU

L 68-94

+7.5

UND

W 90-58

−3.5

SDST

W 84-81

+17.5

over 3under 4avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Notre Dame

10 games played

Straight up

7-3

70% wins

Against the spread

6-4

60% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

5-5

50% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

7-370%

W W W L W L W L W W

2 straight wins3 of last 4 won

Against the spread

6-460%

W W L W L L L W W W

3 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

5-550%

O O U U O U U U O O

2 straight overs2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsLIU	W 89-67	-15.5	W +6.5	135.5	O 156
Nov 7	vsDETM	W 102-70	-21.5	W +10.5	147.5	O 172
Nov 11	vsEIU	W 78-58	-23.5	L −3.5	143.5	U 136
Nov 16	@OSU	L 63-64	+9.5	W +8.5	156.5	U 127
Nov 19	vsBELL	W 86-79	-24.5	L −17.5	150.5	O 165
Nov 24	vsKU	L 61-71	+5.5	L −4.5	143.5	U 132
Nov 25	vsRUTG	W 68-63	-6.5	L −1.5	140.5	U 131
Nov 26	vsHOU	L 56-66	+11.5	W +1.5	132.5	U 122
Dec 2	vsMIZ	W 76-71	+1.5	W +6.5	146.5	O 147
Dec 5	@TCU	W 87-85	+6.5	W +8.5	141.5	O 172

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

LIU

W 89-67

+6.5

DETM

W 102-70

+10.5

EIU

W 78-58

−3.5

OSU

L 63-64

+8.5

BELL

W 86-79

−17.5

L 61-71

−4.5

RUTG

W 68-63

−1.5

HOU

L 56-66

+1.5

MIZ

W 76-71

+6.5

TCU

W 87-85

+8.5

covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

LIU

W 89-67

+20.5

DETM

W 102-70

+24.5

EIU

W 78-58

−7.5

OSU

L 63-64

−29.5

BELL

W 86-79

+14.5

L 61-71

−11.5

RUTG

W 68-63

−9.5

HOU

L 56-66

−10.5

MIZ

W 76-71

+0.5

TCU

W 87-85

+30.5

over 5under 5avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Idaho @ Notre Dame

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market vs model

Market

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Idaho

Notre Dame

Idaho

Notre Dame