Reynolds Coliseum · at NC State
Closing line
NCSU -34.5✓ NCSU covered by 1.5
NCSU -34.5✓ NCSU covered by 1.5Closing total152.5Over by 27.5
 TXSO | This season | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-7 | Record | 7-4 |
| 1-6 | ATS | 5-6 |
| 3-4 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TXSO 66–94 NCSU · ✓ NCSU (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXSO | 28 | 44 | 72 |
| NCSU | 51 | 57 | 108 |
1st half: TXSO 28, NCSU 51 (NCSU by 23). The model had NCSU by 17.1 and a total of 74.7 (actual 79).
Team stats
| TXSO | NCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-65 40% | Field goals | 34-67 51% |
| 5-24 21% | 3-pointers | 17-40 43% |
| 15-20 75% | Free throws | 23-27 85% |
| 33 15 off | Rebounds | 45 17 off |
| 14 | Assists | 21 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 24 |
Players
| TXSO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Roberts G | 34 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 6-14 | 2-9 |
| Zaire Hayes G | 30 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| Troy Hupstead F | 29 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-4 |
| Jordan Gorecki C | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Andrews F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alex Anderson G | 29 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Duane Posey G | 23 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Oumar Koureissi F | 18 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jaylen Wysinger G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Hamilton G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Josh Akpovwa, Ahmed Nedal, Josh Farmer, Kolby Granger, Kehlin Farooq, Cameron Patterson, Zytarious Mortle
| NCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul McNeil Jr. G | 27 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 12-18 | 11-17 |
| Musa Sagnia C | 21 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Alyn Breed G | 20 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Quadir Copeland G | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin F | 17 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jerry Deng F | 22 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4-12 | 4-10 |
| Matt Able G | 20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-4 |
| Tre Holloman G | 18 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Terrance Arceneaux G | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Scottie Ebube C | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Snell G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Colt Langdon F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jayme Kontuniemi, Darrion Williams, Zymicah Wilkins
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCSU -33.5
1 → NCSU
CloseNCSU -34.5
1 pt toward NCSU
Total
Open157.5
▼ 5
Close152.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCSU -33.5 · closed NCSU -34.5 · moved 1 toward NCSUmodel NCSU -28.5
model NCSU -28.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 5 downmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NCSU -34.5 | NCSU -28.6 | TXSO +5.9 | L NCSU covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 159.7 | Over 7.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | TXSO 65.5 · NCSU 94.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NCSU -17.1 | NCSU -23.0 |
| 1H total | 74.7 | 79 |
| 1H projected score | TXSO 28.8 · NCSU 45.9 | TXSO 28 · NCSU 51 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXSOlast 7 | 0-7 0% | 1-6 14% | 3-4 43% |
| NCSU | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TXSO 0–1 NCSUNCSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · TXSO 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2021-22 | TXSO 57 @ NCSU 65 | NCSU -13.5 | TXSO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas Southern
7 games played
Straight up
0-7
0% wins
Against the spread
1-6
14% covers · avg −7.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
GONZ
GONZL 43-98
−25.5
6
@
TA&M
TA&ML 70-104
−4.5
12
vs
SAM
SAML 90-93
−0.5
15
@
TXST
TXSTL 67-77
−5.5
20
@
VAN
VANL 74-109
+1.5
6
vs
SHSU
SHSUL 70-82
−4.5
14
@
MINN
MINNL 53-89
−14.5
covered 1didn’t cover 6avg −7.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GONZ
GONZL 43-98
−16.5
6
@TA&M
TA&ML 70-104
+12.5
12
vsSAM
SAML 90-93
+29.5
15
@TXST
TXSTL 67-77
−0.5
20
@VAN
VANL 74-109
+18.5
6
vsSHSU
SHSUL 70-82
−6.5
14
@MINN
MINNL 53-89
−2.5
over 3under 4avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC State
11 games played
Straight up
7-4
64% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +6.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NCCU | W 114-66 | -31.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UAB | W 94-70 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNCG | W 110-64 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 17 | vs VCU | W 85-79 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs HALL | L 74-85 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs BOIS | W 81-70 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TEX | L 97-102 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | @ AUB | L 73-83 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCA | W 75-63 | -28.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | vs LIB | W 85-45 | -12.5 | W +27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 13 | vs KU | L 76-77 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+16.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+4.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+15.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−5.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
−18.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
+4.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
−6.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−4.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−16.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
+27.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
−2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+34.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+1.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+20.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−0.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
+15.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
−1.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
+37.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−6.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−17.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
−19.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
+4.5
over 6under 5avg +6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas Southern
0-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Minnesota53–89
- Lvs Sam Houston70–82
- L@ Vanderbilt74–109
- L@ Texas St67–77
- Lvs Samford90–93
3 days since their last game.
NC State
7-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Kansas76–77
- Wvs Liberty85–45
- Wvs UNC Asheville75–63
- L@ Auburn73–83
- Lvs Texas97–102
4 days since their last game.