LeBron James Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
DUQ -7.5✓ NE covered by 14.5
DUQ -7.5✓ NE covered by 14.5Closing total147.5Over by 31.5
 NE | This season | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 4-1 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 2-3 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 5-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NE 73–80 DUQ · ✗ DUQ (73%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 41 | 52 | 93 |
| DUQ | 38 | 48 | 86 |
1st half: NE 41, DUQ 38 (NE by 3). The model had DUQ by 4.0 and a total of 71.4 (actual 79).
Team stats
| NE | DUQ | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-58 55% | Field goals | 32-59 54% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 5-13 38% |
| 24-30 80% | Free throws | 17-25 68% |
| 36 9 off | Rebounds | 27 5 off |
| 15 | Assists | 14 |
| 12 | Steals | 15 |
| 8 | Blocks | 1 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 20 | Fouls | 24 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| NE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Alarie F | 36 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| William Kermoury G | 23 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Luca Soroa Schaller F | 21 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Miles Newton G | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Youri Fritz F | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Haris Elezovic F | 28 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 8-12 | 1-3 |
| Xavier Abreu G | 26 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 11-17 | 1-4 |
| Mike Loughnane G | 25 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| JB Frankel G | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Petar Pinter C | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryan Williams, LA Pratt, Ty Francis, Liam Koelsch
| DUQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmie Williams G | 31 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| Cam Crawford G | 30 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| Tarence Guinyard G | 30 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| John Hugley IV F | 29 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 6-13 | 0-2 |
| Jakub Necas F | 23 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alex Williams F | 16 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| David Dixon F | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Hall G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Dom Aekins G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Stef van Bussel C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Seamus McDermott, Ethan Anish, Lucas Prolla, Jake DiMichele, Frederik Jellum, Lazar Milosevic, Arness Lawson, Maximus Edwards
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDUQ -7.5
ModelDUQ -6.9
Model edgeNE +0.6
W NE covered
Total
Market147.5
Model152.5
Model edgeOver 5.0
W Over
Projected score
NE 72.8 · DUQ 79.7
NE 93 · DUQ 86
Win probability
DUQ 73%
1st half
Spread
DUQ -4.0
NE -3.0
Total
71.4
79 points
Projected score
NE 33.7 · DUQ 37.7
NE 41 · DUQ 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUQ -8.5
1 → NE
CloseDUQ -7.5
1 pt toward NE
Total
Open150.5
▼ 3
Close147.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
NE +270 · DUQ -340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUQ -8.5 · closed DUQ -7.5 · moved 1 toward NEmodel DUQ -7
model DUQ -7
Opened 150.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 3 downmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NElast 5 | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% |
| DUQlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 2-3 40% | 5-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NE 1–0 DUQNE leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · NE 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2021-22 | NE 71 vs DUQ 55 | DUQ -2 | NE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northeastern
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BU
BUL 75-76
−3.5
7
@
COLG
COLGW 68-65
+8.5
11
@
HARV
HARVW 77-60
+22.5
15
vs
UVM
UVML 74-85
−12.5
20
@
PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−10.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
+8.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
−14.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
−7.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
+24.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−18.5
over 2under 3avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duquesne
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-0
100% overs · avg +11.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NIA
NIAW 83-63
+2.5
7
vs
SHU
SHUW 92-80
−0.5
11
vs
QUC
QUCW 87-81
−6.5
15
@
VILL
VILLL 77-87
+0.5
19
vs
L-MD
L-MDW 92-78
−0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNIA
NIAW 83-63
+6.5
7
vsSHU
SHUW 92-80
+14.5
11
vsQUC
QUCW 87-81
+5.5
15
@VILL
VILLL 77-87
+12.5
19
vsL-MD
L-MDW 92-78
+19.5
over 5under 0avg +11.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northeastern
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Princeton57–70
- Lvs Vermont74–85
- W@ Harvard77–60
- W@ Colgate68–65
- Lvs Boston U75–76
2 days since their last game.
Duquesne
4-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Loyola MD92–78
- L@ Villanova77–87
- Wvs Queens University Royals87–81
- Wvs Sacred Heart92–80
- Wvs Niagara83–63
3 days since their last game.