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Closing line
OU -2.5✓ OU covered by 6.5
OU -2.5✓ OU covered by 6.5Closing total169.5Under by 8.5
| OU | This season | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 9-0 |
| 2-7 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 2-7 | O/U | 6-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OU 84–85 OKST · ✗ OKST (54%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OU | 41 | 44 | 85 |
| OKST | 35 | 41 | 76 |
1st half: OU 41, OKST 35 (OU by 6). The model had OKST by 0.6 and a total of 79.1 (actual 76).
Team stats
| OU | OKST | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-63 44% | Field goals | 27-71 38% |
| 13-33 39% | 3-pointers | 9-29 31% |
| 16-20 80% | Free throws | 13-16 81% |
| 46 11 off | Rebounds | 36 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 3 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| OU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xzayvier Brown G | 33 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Nijel Pack G | 30 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 6-14 | 4-9 |
| Tae Davis F | 27 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 4-11 | 0-1 |
| Mohamed Wague F | 24 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Derrion Reid F | 18 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jadon Jones G | 27 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| Dayton Forsythe G | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Kai Rogers F | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kuol Atak F | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Jeff Nwankwo G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Andreas Holst, Reid Lovelace, Alec Blair, Jake Hansen, Finley Keeffe
| OKST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vyctorius Miller G | 35 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 4-12 | 3-6 |
| Anthony Roy G | 34 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 5-16 | 4-12 |
| Kanye Clary G | 28 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 6-13 | 1-5 |
| Lefteris Mantzoukas F | 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Parsa Fallah F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Christian Coleman G | 26 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Jaylen Curry G | 25 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Andrija Vukovic F | 19 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Coleman G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mekhi Ragland, Benjamin Ahmed, Ryan Crotty, Kirk Cole, Daniel Guetta, Robert Jennings II
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOU -2.5
ModelOKST -1.2
Model edgeOKST +3.7
L OU covered
Total
Market169.5
Model169.2
Model edgeUnder 0.3
W Under
Projected score
OU 84 · OKST 85.2
OU 85 · OKST 76
Win probability
OKST 54%
1st half
Spread
OKST -0.6
OU -6.0
Total
79.1
76 points
Projected score
OU 39.2 · OKST 39.8
OU 41 · OKST 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOU -1.5
1 → OU
CloseOU -2.5
1 pt toward OU
Total
Open165.5
▲ 4
Close169.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
OU -155 · OKST +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OU -1.5 · closed OU -2.5 · moved 1 toward OUmodel OKST -1
model OKST -1
Opened 165.5 · closed 169.5 · moved 4 upmodel 169
model 169
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OUlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 2-7 22% | 2-7 22% |
| OKSTlast 9 | 9-0 100% | 5-4 56% | 6-3 67% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
OU 4–4 OKSTSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · OU has won the last 3 meetings · OU 2-5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024-25 | OKST 65 vs OU 80 | OU -3.5 | OU W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | OU 84 @ OKST 82 | OKST -1.5 | OU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | OKST 62 @ OU 66 | OU -11.5 | OKST W |
| Mar 8, 2022-23 | OU 49 vs OKST 57 | OKST +1.5 | OKST W |
| Feb 1, 2022-23 | OKST 71 @ OU 61 | OU -3.5 | OKST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oklahoma
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
2-7
22% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-7
22% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SFPA | W 102-66 | -31.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ GONZ | L 68-83 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs UAPB | W 95-69 | -36.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 15 | vs NEB | L 99-105 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs ORU | W 95-71 | -24.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs ALCN | W 72-53 | -31.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs MARQ | W 75-74 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | @ WAKE | W 86-68 | +4.5 | W +22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs ASU | L 70-86 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+4.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−4.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−10.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
−4.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−12.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−0.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
+22.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−21.5
covered 2didn’t cover 7avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+18.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−15.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−4.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
+40.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−35.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−13.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
−5.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−1.5
over 2under 7avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oklahoma St
9 games played
Straight up
9-0
100% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vsORU | W 95-71 | -20.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 9 | vs TA&M | W 87-63 | +2.5 | W +26.5 | 174.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 12 | vs PV | W 94-67 | -30.5 | L −3.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 16 | vs AMCC | W 85-69 | -20.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 19 | vs USF | W 103-95 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 177.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 22 | vs NICH | W 95-81 | -23.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | @ NU | W 86-81 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 2 | vs SHSU | W 93-83 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 6 | vs GCU | W 84-78 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
+3.5
9
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-63
+26.5
12
vsPV
PVW 94-67
−3.5
16
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-69
−4.5
19
vsUSF
USFW 103-95
+4.5
22
vsNICH
NICHW 95-81
−9.5
27
@NU
NUW 86-81
+7.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 93-83
−3.5
6
vsGCU
GCUW 84-78
+4.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
+0.5
9
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-63
−24.5
12
vsPV
PVW 94-67
−7.5
16
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-69
−0.5
19
vsUSF
USFW 103-95
+20.5
22
vsNICH
NICHW 95-81
+20.5
27
@NU
NUW 86-81
+7.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 93-83
+6.5
6
vsGCU
GCUW 84-78
+6.5
over 6under 3avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oklahoma
6-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arizona St70–86
- W@ Wake Forest86–68
- Wvs Marquette75–74
- Wvs Alcorn St72–53
- Wvs Oral Roberts95–71
A week or more of rest.
Oklahoma St
9-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Grand Canyon84–78
- Wvs Sam Houston93–83
- W@ Northwestern86–81
- Wvs Nicholls95–81
- Wvs South Florida103–95
A week or more of rest.