Hill Field House · at Morgan St
Closing line
MORG -1.5✓ MORG covered by 6.5
MORG -1.5✓ MORG covered by 6.5Closing total140.5Over by 13.5
 NIA | This season | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 0-8 |
| 2-7 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NIA 72–73 MORG · ✓ MORG (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIA | 33 | 40 | 73 |
| MORG | 35 | 46 | 81 |
1st half: NIA 33, MORG 35 (MORG by 2). The model had MORG by 0.1 and a total of 67.8 (actual 68).
Team stats
| NIA | MORG | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-53 49% | Field goals | 27-44 61% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 14-19 74% | Free throws | 18-21 86% |
| 12 4 off | Rebounds | 35 10 off |
| 16 | Assists | 13 |
| 10 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 23 |
| 20 | Fouls | 22 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| NIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Page G | 33 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 7-12 | 4-7 |
| Reggie Prudhomme G | 27 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Justin Hawkins F | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Sabino G | 25 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Will Shortt F | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Vice Zanki F | 28 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Brian Griffith G | 18 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Landon Williams G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kabeya Tshibangu C | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Drew Larson F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: AJ McBride, Trenton Walters, Gael Dalmau
| MORG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Lawson G | 39 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 6-14 | 0-4 |
| Christian Meeks F | 33 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Eugene Alvin F | 32 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 6-9 | 2-4 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. G | 30 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 7-8 | 6-7 |
| Christian Oliver C | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Bumpass G | 25 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Matar Wade F | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Manok Lual F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Marland Harris F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Socka F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Breon Barnett G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dallas James C | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Elijah Davis, Trent Edwards, Walter Peggs Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMORG -1.5
ModelMORG -0.5
Model edgeNIA +1.0
L MORG covered
Total
Market140.5
Model144.8
Model edgeOver 4.3
W Over
Projected score
NIA 72.2 · MORG 72.7
NIA 73 · MORG 81
Win probability
MORG 52%
1st half
Spread
MORG -0.1
MORG -2.0
Total
67.8
68 points
Projected score
NIA 33.8 · MORG 34
NIA 33 · MORG 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMORG -1.5
no move
CloseMORG -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▼ 1
Close140.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NIA +114 · MORG -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MORG -1.5 · unchangedmodel MORG -0.5
model MORG -0.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIAlast 9 | 2-7 22% | 2-7 22% | 4-5 44% |
| MORGlast 8 | 0-8 0% | 4-4 50% | 3-5 38% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Niagara
9 games played
Straight up
2-7
22% wins
Against the spread
2-7
22% covers · avg −6.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ DUQ | L 63-83 | +17.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 8 | @ BING | W 67-59 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 10 | vs DSU | W 68-57 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 17 | @ LEM | L 68-74 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 21 | @ DUKE | L 42-100 | +39.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 22 | vs HOW | L 70-80 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 29 | vs DETM | L 66-70 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 5 | @ SIE | L 54-83 | +12.5 | L −16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | @ SPU | L 43-71 | +5.5 | L −22.5 | 131.5 | U 114 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@DUQ
DUQL 63-83
−2.5
8
@BING
BINGW 67-59
+10.5
10
vsDSU
DSUW 68-57
+5.5
17
@LEM
LEML 68-74
−3.5
21
@DUKE
DUKEL 42-100
−18.5
22
vsHOW
HOWL 70-80
−5.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 66-70
−2.5
5
@SIE
SIEL 54-83
−16.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 43-71
−22.5
covered 2didn’t cover 7avg −6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@DUQ
DUQL 63-83
+6.5
8
@BING
BINGW 67-59
−12.5
10
vsDSU
DSUW 68-57
−12.5
17
@LEM
LEML 68-74
+3.5
21
@DUKE
DUKEL 42-100
−4.5
22
vsHOW
HOWL 70-80
+11.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 66-70
−6.5
5
@SIE
SIEL 54-83
+7.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 43-71
−17.5
over 4under 5avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Morgan St
8 games played
Straight up
0-8
0% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg −4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GTWN | L 70-87 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMBC | L 79-81 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 15 | @ MERC | L 72-86 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 18 | vs NCAT | L 73-79 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 21 | @ ODU | L 56-88 | +11.5 | L −20.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs DREX | L 66-71 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LONG | L 80-84 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 9 | @ DEP | L 49-92 | +21.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 70-87
+10.5
11
vsUMBC
UMBCL 79-81
+2.5
15
@MERC
MERCL 72-86
−7.5
18
vsNCAT
NCATL 73-79
−3.5
21
@ODU
ODUL 56-88
−20.5
25
vsDREX
DREXL 66-71
+0.5
6
vsLONG
LONGL 80-84
+1.5
9
@DEP
DEPL 49-92
−21.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 70-87
+2.5
11
vsUMBC
UMBCL 79-81
−2.5
15
@MERC
MERCL 72-86
+11.5
18
vsNCAT
NCATL 73-79
−9.5
21
@ODU
ODUL 56-88
−12.5
25
vsDREX
DREXL 66-71
−6.5
6
vsLONG
LONGL 80-84
+9.5
9
@DEP
DEPL 49-92
−9.5
over 3under 5avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Niagara
2-7 overall · 0-2 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Peter's43–71
- L@ Siena54–83
- Lvs Detroit Mercy66–70
- Lvs Howard70–80
- L@ Duke42–100
6 days since their last game.
Morgan St
0-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ DePaul49–92
- Lvs Longwood80–84
- Lvs Drexel66–71
- L@ Old Dominion56–88
- Lvs NC A&T73–79
4 days since their last game.