Merkert Gymnasium · at Stonehill · Conference game
Closing line
CCSU -1.5✓ STO covered by 3.5
CCSU -1.5✓ STO covered by 3.5Closing total135.5Under by 15.5
| CCSU | This season | STO |
|---|---|---|
| 8-8 | Record | 4-14 |
| 9-7 | ATS | 10-8 |
| 11-5 | O/U | 6-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CCSU 70–68 STO · ✗ CCSU (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSU | 24 | 35 | 59 |
| STO | 23 | 38 | 61 |
1st half: CCSU 24, STO 23 (CCSU by 1). The model had CCSU by 1.3 and a total of 64.5 (actual 47).
Team stats
| CCSU | STO | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-55 47% | Field goals | 21-52 40% |
| 5-11 45% | 3-pointers | 3-22 14% |
| 2-4 50% | Free throws | 16-24 67% |
| 30 5 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 8 | Assists | 11 |
| 7 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| CCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Smith Jr. G | 37 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 5-12 | 0-1 |
| Daniel James F | 34 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Max Frazier F | 33 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Jay Rodgers G | 31 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-2 |
| Melo Sanchez G | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5-9 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nico Ashley F | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Roddy Jones G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Elijah Parker G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Reynolds G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rashawn Tibby, Corsley Edwards Jr., Jayden Mott, James Jones, Adam Fox, Ja'Kobe Williams, Gabe Spinelli
| STO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hermann Koffi G | 37 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Rex Sunderland G | 35 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4-10 | 1-7 |
| Chas Stinson G | 29 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-2 |
| Ridvan Tutic F | 19 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Raymond Espinal-Guzman F | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davante Hackett G | 27 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Ethan Meuser F | 23 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-4 |
| Trenton Ruth G | 12 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Pearse McGuinn F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cory Lovell, Anthony Holden, Norbu Jenpa, Colin Byrne, Eino Montin, Charlie Diamantis, Will Batchelder
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCCSU -1.5
ModelCCSU -1.9
Model edgeCCSU +0.4
L STO covered
Total
Market135.5
Model137.6
Model edgeOver 2.1
L Under
Projected score
CCSU 69.8 · STO 67.9
CCSU 59 · STO 61
Win probability
CCSU 57%
1st half
Spread
CCSU -1.3
CCSU -1.0
Total
64.5
47 points
Projected score
CCSU 32.9 · STO 31.6
CCSU 24 · STO 23
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCCSU -2.5
1 → STO
CloseCCSU -1.5
1 pt toward STO
Total
Open135.5
no move
Close135.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CCSU -125 · STO +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CCSU -2.5 · closed CCSU -1.5 · moved 1 toward STOmodel CCSU -2
model CCSU -2
Opened 135.5 · unchangedmodel 137.5
model 137.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
| STO | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
CCSU 6–1 STOCCSU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · CCSU has won the last 6 meetings · CCSU 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025-26 | STO 69 @ CCSU 76 | CCSU -7.5 | STO W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | STO 41 @ CCSU 67 | CCSU -8.5 | CCSU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | CCSU 71 @ STO 63 | STO +4.5 | CCSU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | STO 67 @ CCSU 79 | CCSU -13.5 | STO W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | CCSU 74 @ STO 59 | STO +6.5 | CCSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Connecticut
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-5
69% overs · avg +7.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ QUIN | L 49-71 | +9.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 11 | @ BC | W 60-59 | +17.5 | W +18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 16 | @ MASS | L 77-84 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | @ RUTG | W 67-54 | +15.5 | W +28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs SHU | W 108-106 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 214 |
| Dec 3 | @ HALL | L 61-77 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 7 | @ NE | L 56-73 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 13 | @ BING | W 84-67 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 18 | vs FAIR | L 70-84 | -6.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 2 | @ LIU | L 78-84 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 4 | vs NHVN | W 72-61 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 8 | vsSTO | W 76-69 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | @ LEM | W 69-59 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 17 | @ SFPA | W 98-90 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 19 | @ MERC | L 61-79 | +1.5 | L −16.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 23 | vs FDU | L 66-76 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−12.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
+18.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+5.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
+28.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
−1.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+2.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−15.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+9.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
−20.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+0.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+3.5
8
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
−0.5
10
@LEM
LEMW 69-59
+11.5
17
@SFPA
SFPAW 98-90
+1.5
19
@MERC
MERCL 61-79
−16.5
23
vsFDU
FDUL 66-76
−17.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−30.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
−17.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+16.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
−16.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
+70.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+9.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−9.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+17.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
+10.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+15.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+2.5
8
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
+10.5
10
@LEM
LEMW 69-59
−18.5
17
@SFPA
SFPAW 98-90
+43.5
19
@MERC
MERCL 61-79
+7.5
23
vsFDU
FDUL 66-76
+1.5
over 11under 5avg +7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stonehill
18 games played
Straight up
4-14
22% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-12
33% overs · avg −4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ DEP | L 64-72 | +22.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 11 | @ URI | L 57-80 | +16.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 14 | @FAIR | L 71-73 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 15 | vs L-MD | L 63-74 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 17 | @ ISU | L 57-96 | +40.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 21 | vs LAF | W 74-70 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 26 | vs UML | L 64-75 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 30 | @QUIN | L 62-76 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | @ BRY | L 65-77 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 17 | @ UNH | L 58-59 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 22 | @ SYR | L 48-77 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 2 | vsNHVN | L 55-70 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 4 | @ WAG | W 69-60 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 139.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 8 | @CCSU | L 69-76 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | vs CHST | W 85-82 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @MERC | W 62-57 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 128.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 19 | @SFPA | L 61-63 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vsLIU | L 63-66 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@DEP
DEPL 64-72
+14.5
11
@URI
URIL 57-80
−6.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 71-73
+4.5
15
vsL-MD
L-MDL 63-74
−4.5
17
@ISU
ISUL 57-96
+1.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 74-70
+5.5
26
vsUML
UMLL 64-75
−13.5
30
@QUIN
QUINL 62-76
+1.5
2
@BRY
BRYL 65-77
−5.5
17
@UNH
UNHL 58-59
+2.5
22
@SYR
SYRL 48-77
−6.5
2
vsNHVN
NHVNL 55-70
−16.5
4
@WAG
WAGW 69-60
+16.5
8
@CCSU
CCSUL 69-76
+0.5
10
vsCHST
CHSTW 85-82
−1.5
17
@MERC
MERCW 62-57
+9.5
19
@SFPA
SFPAL 61-63
−0.5
23
vsLIU
LIUL 63-66
+2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@DEP
DEPL 64-72
−11.5
11
@URI
URIL 57-80
−14.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 71-73
+0.5
15
vsL-MD
L-MDL 63-74
−1.5
17
@ISU
ISUL 57-96
+6.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 74-70
+2.5
26
vsUML
UMLL 64-75
−9.5
30
@QUIN
QUINL 62-76
−10.5
2
@BRY
BRYL 65-77
+7.5
17
@UNH
UNHL 58-59
−21.5
22
@SYR
SYRL 48-77
−15.5
2
vsNHVN
NHVNL 55-70
−3.5
4
@WAG
WAGW 69-60
−10.5
8
@CCSU
CCSUL 69-76
+10.5
10
vsCHST
CHSTW 85-82
+31.5
17
@MERC
MERCW 62-57
−9.5
19
@SFPA
SFPAL 61-63
−17.5
23
vsLIU
LIUL 63-66
−8.5
over 6under 12avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Connecticut
8-8 overall · 4-3 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs FDU66–76
- L@ Mercyhurst61–79
- W@ Saint Francis Red Wolves98–90
- W@ Le Moyne69–59
- Wvs Stonehill76–69
3 days since their last game.
Stonehill
4-14 overall · 3-4 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Long Island63–66
- L@ Saint Francis Red Wolves61–63
- W@ Mercyhurst62–57
- Wvs Chicago St85–82
- L@ C Connecticut69–76
3 days since their last game.