Detrick Gymnasium · at C Connecticut · Conference game
Closing line
CCSU -7.5✓ STO covered by 0.5
CCSU -7.5✓ STO covered by 0.5Closing total134.5Over by 10.5
 STO | This season | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| 2-11 | Record | 5-6 |
| 7-6 | ATS | 7-4 |
| 4-9 | O/U | 7-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STO 63–72 CCSU · ✓ CCSU (77%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STO | 24 | 45 | 69 |
| CCSU | 31 | 45 | 76 |
1st half: STO 24, CCSU 31 (CCSU by 7). The model had CCSU by 5.0 and a total of 63.3 (actual 55).
Team stats
| STO | CCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-60 45% | Field goals | 25-47 53% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 6-14 43% |
| 7-11 64% | Free throws | 20-24 83% |
| 30 11 off | Rebounds | 29 6 off |
| 12 | Assists | 10 |
| 5 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| STO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Espinal-Guzman F | 32 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 2-10 | 0-3 |
| Hermann Koffi G | 31 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 6-9 | 5-7 |
| Chas Stinson G | 29 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Rex Sunderland G | 28 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Ridvan Tutic F | 17 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davante Hackett G | 29 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 7-12 | 2-6 |
| Ethan Meuser F | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Anthony Holden G | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Pearse McGuinn F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trenton Ruth G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colin Byrne, Cory Lovell, Norbu Jenpa, Will Batchelder, Eino Montin, Charlie Diamantis
| CCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jones G | 33 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Darin Smith Jr. G | 32 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 7-13 | 1-4 |
| Jay Rodgers G | 30 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Melo Sanchez G | 29 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Max Frazier F | 27 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ashton Reynolds G | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Parker G | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Daniel James F | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Roddy Jones G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ja'Kobe Williams, Gabe Spinelli, Rashawn Tibby, Nico Ashley, Corsley Edwards Jr., Jayden Mott, Adam Fox
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCCSU -7.5
ModelCCSU -8.6
Model edgeCCSU +1.1
L STO covered
Total
Market134.5
Model135.0
Model edgeOver 0.5
W Over
Projected score
STO 63.2 · CCSU 71.8
STO 69 · CCSU 76
Win probability
CCSU 77%
1st half
Spread
CCSU -5.0
CCSU -7.0
Total
63.3
55 points
Projected score
STO 29.1 · CCSU 34.1
STO 24 · CCSU 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCCSU -8.5
1 → STO
CloseCCSU -7.5
1 pt toward STO
Total
Open138.5
▼ 4
Close134.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
STO +285 · CCSU -360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CCSU -8.5 · closed CCSU -7.5 · moved 1 toward STOmodel CCSU -8.5
model CCSU -8.5
Opened 138.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 4 downmodel 135
model 135
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STO | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| CCSU | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
STO 1–5 CCSUCCSU leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · CCSU has won the last 5 meetings · STO 1-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | STO 41 @ CCSU 67 | CCSU -8.5 | CCSU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | CCSU 71 @ STO 63 | STO +4.5 | CCSU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | STO 67 @ CCSU 79 | CCSU -13.5 | STO W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | CCSU 74 @ STO 59 | STO +6.5 | CCSU W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | STO 90 @ CCSU 94 | CCSU -1.5 | CCSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Stonehill
13 games played
Straight up
2-11
15% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-9
31% overs · avg −6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ DEP | L 64-72 | +22.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 11 | @ URI | L 57-80 | +16.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 14 | @ FAIR | L 71-73 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 15 | vs L-MD | L 63-74 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 17 | @ ISU | L 57-96 | +40.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 21 | vs LAF | W 74-70 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 26 | vs UML | L 64-75 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 30 | @ QUIN | L 62-76 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | @ BRY | L 65-77 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 17 | @ UNH | L 58-59 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 22 | @ SYR | L 48-77 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 2 | vs NHVN | L 55-70 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 4 | @ WAG | W 69-60 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 139.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@DEP
DEPL 64-72
+14.5
11
@URI
URIL 57-80
−6.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 71-73
+4.5
15
vsL-MD
L-MDL 63-74
−4.5
17
@ISU
ISUL 57-96
+1.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 74-70
+5.5
26
vsUML
UMLL 64-75
−13.5
30
@QUIN
QUINL 62-76
+1.5
2
@BRY
BRYL 65-77
−5.5
17
@UNH
UNHL 58-59
+2.5
22
@SYR
SYRL 48-77
−6.5
2
vsNHVN
NHVNL 55-70
−16.5
4
@WAG
WAGW 69-60
+16.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@DEP
DEPL 64-72
−11.5
11
@URI
URIL 57-80
−14.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 71-73
+0.5
15
vsL-MD
L-MDL 63-74
−1.5
17
@ISU
ISUL 57-96
+6.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 74-70
+2.5
26
vsUML
UMLL 64-75
−9.5
30
@QUIN
QUINL 62-76
−10.5
2
@BRY
BRYL 65-77
+7.5
17
@UNH
UNHL 58-59
−21.5
22
@SYR
SYRL 48-77
−15.5
2
vsNHVN
NHVNL 55-70
−3.5
4
@WAG
WAGW 69-60
−10.5
over 4under 9avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
C Connecticut
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-4
64% overs · avg +6.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @QUIN | L 49-71 | +9.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 11 | @ BC | W 60-59 | +17.5 | W +18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 16 | @ MASS | L 77-84 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | @ RUTG | W 67-54 | +15.5 | W +28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs SHU | W 108-106 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 214 |
| Dec 3 | @ HALL | L 61-77 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 7 | @ NE | L 56-73 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 13 | @ BING | W 84-67 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 18 | vsFAIR | L 70-84 | -6.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 2 | @ LIU | L 78-84 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 4 | vsNHVN | W 72-61 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−12.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
+18.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+5.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
+28.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
−1.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+2.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−15.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+9.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
−20.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+0.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−30.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
−17.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+16.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
−16.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
+70.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+9.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−9.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+17.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
+10.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+15.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+2.5
over 7under 4avg +6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Stonehill
2-11 overall · 1-1 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Wagner69–60
- Lvs New Haven55–70
- L@ Syracuse48–77
- L@ New Hampshire58–59
- L@ Bryant65–77
4 days since their last game.
C Connecticut
5-6 overall · 1-1 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs New Haven72–61
- L@ Long Island78–84
- Lvs Fairfield70–84
- W@ Binghamton84–67
- L@ Northeastern56–73
4 days since their last game.