DeGol Arena · at Saint Francis Red Wolves · Conference game
Closing line
LEM -5.5✓ LEM covered by 20.5
LEM -5.5✓ LEM covered by 20.5Closing total151.5Under by 9.5
| LEM | This season | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| 4-8 | Record | 0-11 |
| 8-4 | ATS | 4-7 |
| 6-6 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LEM 79–74 SFPA · ✓ LEM (65%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LEM | 39 | 45 | 84 |
| SFPA | 27 | 31 | 58 |
1st half: LEM 39, SFPA 27 (LEM by 12). The model had LEM by 2.9 and a total of 71.7 (actual 66).
Team stats
| LEM | SFPA | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-58 55% | Field goals | 19-59 32% |
| 12-23 52% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 8-14 57% | Free throws | 11-20 55% |
| 42 11 off | Rebounds | 30 12 off |
| 16 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 12 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| LEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Mosquera G | 30 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5-10 | 4-6 |
| Shilo Jackson F | 27 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Jakai Sanders G | 25 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Jakob Blakley G | 18 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| Deng Garang G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Samuel Hincapie G | 26 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 8-12 | 2-5 |
| Tennessee Rainwater F | 22 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5-6 | 1-2 |
| Eli Greenberg G | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Isaac Nyakundi F | 9 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Lee G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Trevor Roe F | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Sam Donnelly G | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kaelin Thomas G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nate Fouts, Ametri Moss
| SFPA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Russell G | 31 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| Skylar Wicks G | 30 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 2-15 | 1-7 |
| Victor Payne Jr. G | 26 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Gestin Liberis F | 22 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ralph Martino Jr. G | 20 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ahmad Harrison G | 29 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Paris Papadatos G | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Cameron Tweedy F | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Chris Moncrief G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Russell G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Trey Weiand G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: KJ Swain Jr., Carson Rhodes, Ryen Gresko, Melvin Weaver III, Kam Wylie, Kofi Asare, Brandon Rabish
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLEM -5.5
ModelLEM -4.6
Model edgeSFPA +0.9
L LEM covered
Total
Market151.5
Model153.1
Model edgeOver 1.6
L Under
Projected score
LEM 78.8 · SFPA 74.3
LEM 84 · SFPA 58
Win probability
LEM 65%
1st half
Spread
LEM -2.9
LEM -12.0
Total
71.7
66 points
Projected score
LEM 37.3 · SFPA 34.4
LEM 39 · SFPA 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLEM -6.5
1 → SFPA
CloseLEM -5.5
1 pt toward SFPA
Total
Open154.5
▼ 3
Close151.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
LEM -250 · SFPA +205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LEM -6.5 · closed LEM -5.5 · moved 1 toward SFPAmodel LEM -4.5
model LEM -4.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 3 downmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LEM | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| SFPA | 0-10 0% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LEM 2–2 SFPASeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · SFPA has won the last 2 meetings · LEM 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | SFPA 81 @ LEM 76 | LEM -4.5 | SFPA W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | LEM 78 @ SFPA 86 | SFPA -1.5 | SFPA W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | LEM 74 @ SFPA 58 | SFPA +5.5 | LEM W |
| Jan 21, 2023-24 | SFPA 57 @ LEM 94 | LEM -5.5 | LEM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Le Moyne
12 games played
Straight up
4-8
33% wins
Against the spread
8-4
67% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ XAV | L 69-74 | +24.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ BGSU | L 60-83 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 13 | @ MASS | L 80-94 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 17 | vs NIA | W 74-68 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 22 | vs FAIR | L 83-97 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 28 | @ LAF | W 76-63 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs MONM | W 83-79 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 30 | vs BALL | L 85-96 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 6 | @ BING | W 78-63 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 16 | @ TEX | L 53-95 | +29.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 20 | @ SBU | L 81-92 | +21.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | @ BC | L 64-72 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@XAV
XAVL 69-74
+19.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUL 60-83
−11.5
13
@MASS
MASSL 80-94
+2.5
17
vsNIA
NIAW 74-68
+3.5
22
vsFAIR
FAIRL 83-97
−12.5
28
@LAF
LAFW 76-63
+17.5
29
vsMONM
MONMW 83-79
+10.5
30
vsBALL
BALLL 85-96
−12.5
6
@BING
BINGW 78-63
+12.5
16
@TEX
TEXL 53-95
−12.5
20
@SBU
SBUL 81-92
+10.5
28
@BC
BCL 64-72
+4.5
covered 8didn’t cover 4avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@XAV
XAVL 69-74
−13.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUL 60-83
−11.5
13
@MASS
MASSL 80-94
+20.5
17
vsNIA
NIAW 74-68
+3.5
22
vsFAIR
FAIRL 83-97
+34.5
28
@LAF
LAFW 76-63
−12.5
29
vsMONM
MONMW 83-79
+16.5
30
vsBALL
BALLL 85-96
+40.5
6
@BING
BINGW 78-63
−3.5
16
@TEX
TEXL 53-95
−4.5
20
@SBU
SBUL 81-92
+21.5
28
@BC
BCL 64-72
−10.5
over 6under 6avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Francis Red Wolves
11 games played
Straight up
0-11
0% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ OU | L 66-102 | +31.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 6 | @ TCU | L 63-104 | +27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 11 | vs MSM | L 66-74 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 18 | @ LEH | L 62-79 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs BEL | L 57-94 | +21.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TROY | L 64-74 | +21.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | @XAV | L 74-96 | +27.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 7 | @ RAD | L 56-89 | +13.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | @ TEM | L 67-95 | +20.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 17 | @ FLA | L 61-102 | +44.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 20 | vs RMU | L 70-79 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
−4.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
−13.5
11
vsMSM
MSML 66-74
−1.5
18
@LEH
LEHL 62-79
−6.5
24
vsBEL
BELL 57-94
−15.5
26
vsTROY
TROYL 64-74
+11.5
1
@XAV
XAVL 74-96
+5.5
7
@RAD
RADL 56-89
−19.5
14
@TEM
TEML 67-95
−7.5
17
@FLA
FLAL 61-102
+3.5
20
vsRMU
RMUL 70-79
+4.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
+18.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
+13.5
11
vsMSM
MSML 66-74
−9.5
18
@LEH
LEHL 62-79
−10.5
24
vsBEL
BELL 57-94
−6.5
26
vsTROY
TROYL 64-74
−13.5
1
@XAV
XAVL 74-96
+17.5
7
@RAD
RADL 56-89
−9.5
14
@TEM
TEML 67-95
+11.5
17
@FLA
FLAL 61-102
+6.5
20
vsRMU
RMUL 70-79
+3.5
over 6under 5avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Le Moyne
4-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Boston College64–72
- L@ St Bonaventure81–92
- L@ Texas53–95
- W@ Binghamton78–63
- Lvs Ball State85–96
5 days since their last game.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
0-11 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Robert Morris70–79
- L@ Florida61–102
- L@ Temple67–95
- L@ Radford56–89
- L@ Xavier74–96
A week or more of rest.