Pete Hanna Center · at Samford · Conference game
Closing line
SAM -4.5✓ SAM covered by 0.5
SAM -4.5✓ SAM covered by 0.5Closing total153.5Over by 5.5
 WCU | This season | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | Record | 6-7 |
| 3-8 | ATS | 6-7 |
| 5-6 | O/U | 6-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WCU 75–81 SAM · ✓ SAM (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WCU | 38 | 39 | 77 |
| SAM | 34 | 48 | 82 |
1st half: WCU 38, SAM 34 (WCU by 4). The model had SAM by 3.7 and a total of 72.8 (actual 72).
Team stats
| WCU | SAM | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-61 41% | Field goals | 26-58 45% |
| 5-15 33% | 3-pointers | 11-25 44% |
| 22-25 88% | Free throws | 19-21 90% |
| 38 15 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 14 |
| 2 | Steals | 4 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| WCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Kell F | 34 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Julien Soumaoro G | 32 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3-11 | 2-4 |
| Tidjiane Dioumassi G | 31 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Cord Stansberry G | 26 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5-16 | 1-5 |
| Abdulai Fanta Kabba C | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Samuel Dada F | 29 | 19 | 14 | 3 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Justin Johnson F | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| CJ Hyland G | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Tayeshaun Smith F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tahlan Pettway G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Drew Hollifield, Max Williams, Fischer Brown, Vernon Collins Jr., Titian DeRosa, Chase McKey
| SAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Booth G | 39 | 33 | 3 | 4 | 11-19 | 5-9 |
| Cade Norris G | 34 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Keaton Norris G | 33 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Isaiah Campbell-Finch G | 28 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Jaxon Pollard F | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Will Shaver C | 21 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Kam Martin G | 17 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| Zion Wilburn G | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Judson Bjornstad F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Zach Lamey, Dylan Faulkner, Corey Brown, Caleb Harrison, Joshua Hughes, JD Gossett, Cooper Davenport, DaJion Humphrey
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSAM -4.5
ModelSAM -6.4
Model edgeSAM +1.9
W SAM covered
Total
Market153.5
Model155.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
W Over
Projected score
WCU 74.5 · SAM 80.9
WCU 77 · SAM 82
Win probability
SAM 71%
1st half
Spread
SAM -3.7
WCU -4.0
Total
72.8
72 points
Projected score
WCU 34.5 · SAM 38.2
WCU 38 · SAM 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSAM -6.5
2 → WCU
CloseSAM -4.5
2 pts toward WCU
Total
Open152.5
▲ 1
Close153.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
WCU +200 · SAM -245
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SAM -6.5 · closed SAM -4.5 · moved 2 toward WCUmodel SAM -6.5
model SAM -6.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 upmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WCU | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| SAM | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
WCU 0–8 SAMSAM leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · SAM has won the last 8 meetings · WCU 1-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | WCU 72 @ SAM 93 | SAM -16.5 | SAM W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | SAM 88 @ WCU 69 | WCU +11.5 | SAM W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | WCU 62 @ SAM 88 | SAM -6.5 | SAM W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | SAM 75 @ WCU 71 | WCU -2 | SAM W |
| Feb 1, 2022-23 | SAM 85 @ WCU 77 | WCU +4.5 | SAM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
W Carolina
11 games played
Straight up
3-8
27% wins
Against the spread
3-8
27% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CIN | L 63-94 | +22.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | @ DUKE | L 54-95 | +36.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 16 | vs STET | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs UNCA | W 80-73 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 22 | @ LIP | L 62-83 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 29 | @ HPU | L 73-93 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 6 | @ UPST | L 67-78 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 11 | @ VT | L 74-96 | +20.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 18 | @ UGA | L 82-112 | +32.5 | W +2.5 | 167.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 31 | vs WOF | L 74-79 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ FUR | W 80-77 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
−8.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−4.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−1.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+8.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−15.5
29
@HPU
HPUL 73-93
−3.5
6
@UPST
UPSTL 67-78
−8.5
11
@VT
VTL 74-96
−1.5
18
@UGA
UGAL 82-112
+2.5
31
vsWOF
WOFL 74-79
−2.5
3
@FUR
FURW 80-77
+11.5
covered 3didn’t cover 8avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
+13.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−3.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−14.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+0.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−6.5
29
@HPU
HPUL 73-93
+6.5
6
@UPST
UPSTL 67-78
−4.5
11
@VT
VTL 74-96
+17.5
18
@UGA
UGAL 82-112
+26.5
31
vsWOF
WOFL 74-79
−1.5
3
@FUR
FURW 80-77
−0.5
over 5under 6avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Samford
13 games played
Straight up
6-7
46% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TULN | L 72-85 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs SCST | W 82-72 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ TXSO | W 93-90 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 14 | @ ARK | L 75-79 | +24.5 | W +20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ CARK | W 84-77 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 19 | vs FGCU | L 62-77 | -5.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | @ NMSU | L 72-81 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs GAST | W 78-63 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UVU | L 45-89 | +7.5 | L −36.5 | 148.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ VCU | L 57-83 | +19.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 7 | vs COR | W 93-90 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 166.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 1 | @ VMI | W 78-58 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | @ UNCG | L 82-89 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
−5.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−4.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+0.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
+20.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+0.5
19
vsFGCU
FGCUL 62-77
−20.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 72-81
−0.5
25
vsGAST
GASTW 78-63
+9.5
26
vsUVU
UVUL 45-89
−36.5
5
@VCU
VCUL 57-83
−6.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 93-90
+0.5
1
@VMI
VMIW 78-58
+13.5
3
@UNCG
UNCGL 82-89
−9.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
+2.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−0.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+29.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
−4.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+9.5
19
vsFGCU
FGCUL 62-77
−15.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 72-81
+7.5
25
vsGAST
GASTW 78-63
−5.5
26
vsUVU
UVUL 45-89
−14.5
5
@VCU
VCUL 57-83
−14.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 93-90
+16.5
1
@VMI
VMIW 78-58
−18.5
3
@UNCG
UNCGL 82-89
+19.5
over 6under 7avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
W Carolina
3-8 overall · 1-1 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Furman80–77
- Lvs Wofford74–79
- L@ Georgia82–112
- L@ Virginia Tech74–96
- L@ SC Upstate67–78
4 days since their last game.
Samford
6-7 overall · 1-1 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UNC Greensboro82–89
- W@ VMI78–58
- Wvs Cornell93–90
- L@ VCU57–83
- Lvs Utah Valley45–89
4 days since their last game.