SRC Arena · at UC Riverside · Conference game
Closing line
UCI -8.5✓ UCI covered by 5.5
UCI -8.5✓ UCI covered by 5.5Closing total142.5Over by 3.5
| UCI | This season | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| 10-7 | Record | 5-12 |
| 7-10 | ATS | 10-7 |
| 6-11 | O/U | 9-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCI 74–68 UCR · ✓ UCI (72%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCI | 38 | 42 | 80 |
| UCR | 33 | 33 | 66 |
1st half: UCI 38, UCR 33 (UCI by 5). The model had UCI by 4.1 and a total of 66.4 (actual 71).
Team stats
| UCI | UCR | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-59 46% | Field goals | 22-64 34% |
| 4-19 21% | 3-pointers | 7-25 28% |
| 22-31 71% | Free throws | 15-16 94% |
| 44 17 off | Rebounds | 33 15 off |
| 16 | Assists | 12 |
| 12 | Steals | 4 |
| 5 | Blocks | 7 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 14 | Fouls | 24 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| UCI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tama Isaac G | 32 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Jurian Dixon G | 30 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 6-15 | 2-6 |
| Kyle Evans F | 30 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Derin Saran G | 24 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Chol F | 19 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andre Henry G | 21 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5-11 | 0-5 |
| Jovan Jester Jr. G | 15 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Harrison Carrington F | 14 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Nes Emeneke C | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tishan Ahir G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ben Egbo G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Torian Lee, Langston Redfield, Bryce Goldman, Josh Palmer, Luke Isaak, Mason Hodges
| UCR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marqui Worthy Jr. G | 37 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 7-16 | 2-8 |
| Andrew Henderson G | 35 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-11 | 2-5 |
| Jailen Daniel-Dalton F | 35 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4-13 | 2-6 |
| BJ Kolly F | 29 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| De'Undrae Perteete Jr. G | 15 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Waller G | 20 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Osiris Grady F | 20 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Jones G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Godfrey F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Daniel Tobiloba, Denzel Hines, EJ Spillman, Parker Strauss, Amaury McKinney, Gavin Haase
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCI -8.5
ModelUCI -6.7
Model edgeUCR +1.8
L UCI covered
Total
Market142.5
Model141.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
L Over
Projected score
UCI 74.2 · UCR 67.5
UCI 80 · UCR 66
Win probability
UCI 72%
1st half
Spread
UCI -4.1
UCI -5.0
Total
66.4
71 points
Projected score
UCI 35.2 · UCR 31.1
UCI 38 · UCR 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCI -9.5
1 → UCR
CloseUCI -8.5
1 pt toward UCR
Total
Open141.5
▲ 1
Close142.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UCI -395 · UCR +310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCI -9.5 · closed UCI -8.5 · moved 1 toward UCRmodel UCI -6.5
model UCI -6.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 upmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCI | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| UCR | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UCI 7–2 UCRUCI leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UCI 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025-26 | UCR 60 @ UCI 73 | UCI -13.5 | UCR W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | UCI 80 @ UCR 84 | UCR +6.5 | UCR W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | UCR 57 @ UCI 81 | UCI -8.5 | UCI W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | UCI 78 @ UCR 88 | UCR +8.5 | UCR W |
| Dec 28, 2023-24 | UCR 66 @ UCI 73 | UCI -12.5 | UCR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC Irvine
17 games played
Straight up
10-7
59% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-11
35% overs · avg −5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs CBU | L 61-69 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs WEB | W 79-70 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ UVU | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNI | L 69-70 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs NMSU | L 45-57 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDST | W 64-52 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 30 | @ SJSU | W 72-63 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 4 | vsUCR | W 73-60 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUN | W 85-71 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 19 | vs BEL | L 58-84 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs NDSU | W 74-73 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | vs NORF | W 89-70 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 1 | @ CSUB | W 81-77 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @ CSUF | W 86-64 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 160.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 8 | vs LBSU | W 74-64 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 10 | @ HAW | L 66-67 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ UCD | L 72-75 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−16.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
−3.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−14.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
+9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
+5.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−0.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+6.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−27.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+2.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+7.5
1
@CSUB
CSUBW 81-77
−7.5
3
@CSUF
CSUFW 86-64
+18.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 74-64
−0.5
10
@HAW
HAWL 66-67
+3.5
17
@UCD
UCDL 72-75
−6.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−17.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+1.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
+0.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−37.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
−28.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
−4.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−9.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+3.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−8.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+0.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+22.5
1
@CSUB
CSUBW 81-77
+14.5
3
@CSUF
CSUFW 86-64
−10.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 74-64
−4.5
10
@HAW
HAWL 66-67
−7.5
17
@UCD
UCDL 72-75
−1.5
over 6under 11avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Riverside
17 games played
Straight up
5-12
29% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ UND | W 74-70 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNM | L 68-82 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | vsUND | L 74-76 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 18 | @CBU | L 57-80 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ USD | W 85-71 | +7.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs GRAM | W 83-74 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 29 | @ UTU | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 4 | @UCI | L 60-73 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ CP | W 88-84 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ BYU | L 53-100 | +33.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 20 | @ STMN | L 78-92 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 23 | @ UCLA | L 65-97 | +24.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | vsHAW | L 45-88 | +8.5 | L −34.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 8 | @CSUB | L 66-67 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | vs UCSD | L 66-69 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 15 | @LBSU | L 73-88 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 17 | vsCSUF | W 81-72 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@UND
UNDW 74-70
+5.5
11
@UNM
UNML 68-82
+5.5
15
vsUND
UNDL 74-76
−5.5
18
@CBU
CBUL 57-80
−10.5
21
@USD
USDW 85-71
+21.5
24
vsGRAM
GRAMW 83-74
+5.5
29
@UTU
UTUL 69-77
−2.5
4
@UCI
UCIL 60-73
+0.5
6
@CP
CPW 88-84
+9.5
13
@BYU
BYUL 53-100
−13.5
20
@STMN
STMNL 78-92
+0.5
23
@UCLA
UCLAL 65-97
−7.5
1
vsHAW
HAWL 45-88
−34.5
8
@CSUB
CSUBL 66-67
+2.5
10
vsUCSD
UCSDL 66-69
+7.5
15
@LBSU
LBSUL 73-88
−9.5
17
vsCSUF
CSUFW 81-72
+12.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UND
UNDW 74-70
−2.5
11
@UNM
UNML 68-82
+8.5
15
vsUND
UNDL 74-76
+1.5
18
@CBU
CBUL 57-80
−5.5
21
@USD
USDW 85-71
+3.5
24
vsGRAM
GRAMW 83-74
+12.5
29
@UTU
UTUL 69-77
+0.5
4
@UCI
UCIL 60-73
−9.5
6
@CP
CPW 88-84
+9.5
13
@BYU
BYUL 53-100
−2.5
20
@STMN
STMNL 78-92
+17.5
23
@UCLA
UCLAL 65-97
+13.5
1
vsHAW
HAWL 45-88
−16.5
8
@CSUB
CSUBL 66-67
−14.5
10
vsUCSD
UCSDL 66-69
−14.5
15
@LBSU
LBSUL 73-88
+19.5
17
vsCSUF
CSUFW 81-72
−4.5
over 9under 8avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC Irvine
10-7 overall · 5-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UC Davis72–75
- L@ Hawai'i66–67
- Wvs Long Beach St74–64
- W@ Fullerton86–64
- W@ Bakersfield81–77
5 days since their last game.
UC Riverside
5-12 overall · 2-5 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Fullerton81–72
- L@ Long Beach St73–88
- Lvs UC San Diego66–69
- L@ Bakersfield66–67
- Lvs Hawai'i45–88
5 days since their last game.