Icardo Center · at Bakersfield · Conference game
Closing line
UCI -11.5✓ CSUB covered by 7.5
UCI -11.5✓ CSUB covered by 7.5Closing total143.5Over by 14.5
| UCI | This season | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| 7-5 | Record | 4-8 |
| 5-7 | ATS | 4-8 |
| 5-7 | O/U | 4-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCI 76–67 CSUB · ✓ UCI (78%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCI | 39 | 42 | 81 |
| CSUB | 34 | 43 | 77 |
1st half: UCI 39, CSUB 34 (UCI by 5). The model had UCI by 5.4 and a total of 66.8 (actual 73).
Team stats
| UCI | CSUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-52 54% | Field goals | 29-72 40% |
| 8-13 62% | 3-pointers | 5-13 38% |
| 17-25 68% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 32 9 off | Rebounds | 39 20 off |
| 13 | Assists | 9 |
| 2 | Steals | 7 |
| 6 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| UCI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Evans F | 33 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Jurian Dixon G | 32 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 8-13 | 6-7 |
| Derin Saran G | 31 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Tama Isaac G | 26 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Chol F | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andre Henry G | 19 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Harrison Carrington F | 18 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Jovan Jester Jr. G | 17 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nes Emeneke C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Isaak, Josh Palmer, Mason Hodges, Bryce Goldman, Tishan Ahir, Torian Lee, Ben Egbo, Langston Redfield
| CSUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Jessamy F | 32 | 25 | 12 | 1 | 11-16 | 1-1 |
| Jaden Alexander G | 32 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4-12 | 0-3 |
| AJ George G | 31 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| CJ Hardy G | 27 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 5-15 | 1-3 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. C | 26 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kadar Waller G | 20 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Dailin Smith G | 19 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| Mike Price G | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
Did not play: TJ James Jr., Dylan Purnell, Colin Darby, Bentley Waller, Caleb McCarty, Tom Mark
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCI -11.5
ModelUCI -8.8
Model edgeCSUB +2.7
W CSUB covered
Total
Market143.5
Model142.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
L Over
Projected score
UCI 75.7 · CSUB 66.9
UCI 81 · CSUB 77
Win probability
UCI 78%
1st half
Spread
UCI -5.4
UCI -5.0
Total
66.8
73 points
Projected score
UCI 36.1 · CSUB 30.7
UCI 39 · CSUB 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCI -10.5
1 → UCI
CloseUCI -11.5
1 pt toward UCI
Total
Open140.5
▲ 3
Close143.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
UCI -700 · CSUB +500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCI -10.5 · closed UCI -11.5 · moved 1 toward UCImodel UCI -9
model UCI -9
Opened 140.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 3 upmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCI | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| CSUB | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UCI 9–0 CSUBUCI leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UCI has won the last 9 meetings · UCI 4-4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | UCI 73 @ CSUB 64 | CSUB +7.5 | UCI W |
| Dec 5, 2024-25 | CSUB 66 @ UCI 82 | UCI -15.5 | UCI W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | CSUB 71 @ UCI 77 | UCI -15.5 | CSUB W |
| Dec 30, 2023-24 | UCI 75 @ CSUB 56 | CSUB +9.5 | UCI W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | CSUB 51 vs UCI 75 | UCI -12.5 | UCI W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC Irvine
12 games played
Straight up
7-5
58% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg −6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs CBU | L 61-69 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs WEB | W 79-70 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ UVU | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNI | L 69-70 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs NMSU | L 45-57 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDST | W 64-52 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 30 | @ SJSU | W 72-63 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 4 | vs UCR | W 73-60 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUN | W 85-71 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 19 | vs BEL | L 58-84 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs NDSU | W 74-73 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | vs NORF | W 89-70 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−16.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
−3.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−14.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
+9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
+5.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−0.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+6.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−27.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+2.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−17.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+1.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
+0.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−37.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
−28.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
−4.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−9.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+3.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−8.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+0.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+22.5
over 5under 7avg −6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bakersfield
12 games played
Straight up
4-8
33% wins
Against the spread
4-8
33% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CAL | L 60-87 | +15.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 11 | vs WIU | W 74-58 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | @ MISS | L 60-82 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 17 | @ PRST | L 80-93 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 22 | vs MVSU | W 86-70 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | @ FSU | L 59-89 | +26.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vs FRES | W 76-71 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | @CSUN | L 66-87 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCSB | L 84-109 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 11 | vsNDSU | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs PEPP | L 62-70 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 23 | vs IDHO | W 64-63 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−11.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
+8.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
−4.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
−5.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−3.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
+15.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−15.5
6
@UCSB
UCSBL 84-109
−12.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUL 69-80
−3.5
13
vsPEPP
PEPPL 62-70
−9.5
23
vsIDHO
IDHOW 64-63
+8.5
covered 4didn’t cover 8avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−0.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
−9.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
+31.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
+17.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−11.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
−3.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−2.5
6
@UCSB
UCSBL 84-109
+47.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUL 69-80
−0.5
13
vsPEPP
PEPPL 62-70
−15.5
23
vsIDHO
IDHOW 64-63
−23.5
over 4under 8avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC Irvine
7-5 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Norfolk St89–70
- Wvs N Dakota St74–73
- Lvs Belmont58–84
- Wvs CSU Northridge85–71
- Wvs UC Riverside73–60
A week or more of rest.
Bakersfield
4-8 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Idaho64–63
- Lvs Pepperdine62–70
- Lvs N Dakota St69–80
- L@ Santa Barbara84–109
- L@ CSU Northridge66–87
A week or more of rest.