Sharp Gymnasium · at Hou Christian · Conference game
Closing line
RGV -2.5✓ RGV covered by 14.5
RGV -2.5✓ RGV covered by 14.5Closing total140.5Under by 21.5
| RGV | This season | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-11 | Record | 5-12 |
| 7-10 | ATS | 8-9 |
| 7-10 | O/U | 10-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RGV 72–71 HCU · ✓ RGV (55%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RGV | 31 | 37 | 68 |
| HCU | 24 | 27 | 51 |
1st half: RGV 31, HCU 24 (RGV by 7). The model had RGV by 0.9 and a total of 66.6 (actual 55).
Team stats
| RGV | HCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-53 53% | Field goals | 20-47 43% |
| 8-18 44% | 3-pointers | 6-16 38% |
| 4-4 100% | Free throws | 5-8 63% |
| 24 5 off | Rebounds | 29 9 off |
| 22 | Assists | 14 |
| 11 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 8 | Fouls | 6 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| RGV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin McGhee III G | 35 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 6-9 | 3-6 |
| Jaylen Washington Jr. G | 32 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Koree Cotton G | 32 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 7-12 | 2-4 |
| Julien Gomez G | 29 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Filip Brankovic F | 26 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zae Blake G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-7 | 1-4 |
| Kwo Agwa F | 12 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Ricks G | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Always Wright G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Marshal Destremau F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mustafo Vanjov, Kye Dickson, Demarris Winters, Dane Christensen, Luis Ramirez
| HCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylin Green G | 35 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-13 | 1-5 |
| Demarco Bethea F | 34 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Trent Johnson F | 33 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| D'Aundre Samuels G | 33 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Demari Williams G | 25 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Bartley G | 25 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Caleb Gaston F | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Ahjany Lee F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Monroe G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mambourou Mara, Obadiah Curtis, Will Wilson, Nehikhare Igiehon, Brennen Byrd, Elijah Brooks
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketRGV -2.5
ModelRGV -1.3
Model edgeHCU +1.2
L RGV covered
Total
Market140.5
Model142.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
L Under
Projected score
RGV 71.8 · HCU 70.5
RGV 68 · HCU 51
Win probability
RGV 55%
1st half
Spread
RGV -0.9
RGV -7.0
Total
66.6
55 points
Projected score
RGV 33.8 · HCU 32.9
RGV 31 · HCU 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRGV -2.5
no move
CloseRGV -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▼ 1
Close140.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
RGV -155 · HCU +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RGV -2.5 · unchangedmodel RGV -1.5
model RGV -1.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 downmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RGV | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| HCU | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
RGV 3–1 HCURGV leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · RGV 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | HCU 52 @ RGV 76 | RGV -4.5 | RGV W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | RGV 57 @ HCU 66 | HCU +4.5 | HCU W |
| Dec 18, 2022-23 | HCU 90 vs RGV 100 | RGV -7.5 | RGV W |
| Dec 10, 2022-23 | RGV 95 @ HCU 82 | HCU +2.5 | RGV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UT Rio Grande
17 games played
Straight up
6-11
35% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg −5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BAY | L 81-96 | +24.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 8 | @ SUU | W 95-72 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 11 | @ BOIS | L 65-85 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 22 | @ MOST | L 67-74 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | @ ILL | L 73-87 | +33.5 | W +19.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Dec 3 | @ SFA | L 60-73 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 7 | vs APSU | W 63-50 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 11 | vs UTA | L 50-58 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 16 | @ LAM | W 83-72 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 29 | vs NOLA | L 69-85 | -6.5 | L −22.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 31 | vs NICH | L 69-71 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs AMCC | L 59-63 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 5 | vs UIW | W 80-67 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 10 | @ ETAM | L 69-77 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 12 | @ NWST | L 63-64 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | vs MCN | W 79-76 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 19 | vs SELA | W 68-65 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BAY
BAYL 81-96
+9.5
8
@SUU
SUUW 95-72
+21.5
11
@BOIS
BOISL 65-85
−3.5
22
@MOST
MOSTL 67-74
−3.5
24
@ILL
ILLL 73-87
+19.5
3
@SFA
SFAL 60-73
−6.5
7
vsAPSU
APSUW 63-50
+10.5
11
vsUTA
UTAL 50-58
−12.5
16
@LAM
LAMW 83-72
+14.5
29
vsNOLA
NOLAL 69-85
−22.5
31
vsNICH
NICHL 69-71
−5.5
3
vsAMCC
AMCCL 59-63
−6.5
5
vsUIW
UIWW 80-67
+11.5
10
@ETAM
ETAML 69-77
−11.5
12
@NWST
NWSTL 63-64
−3.5
17
vsMCN
MCNW 79-76
+12.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 68-65
−2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BAY
BAYL 81-96
+22.5
8
@SUU
SUUW 95-72
+6.5
11
@BOIS
BOISL 65-85
−11.5
22
@MOST
MOSTL 67-74
−8.5
24
@ILL
ILLL 73-87
−4.5
3
@SFA
SFAL 60-73
−10.5
7
vsAPSU
APSUW 63-50
−38.5
11
vsUTA
UTAL 50-58
−37.5
16
@LAM
LAMW 83-72
+15.5
29
vsNOLA
NOLAL 69-85
+1.5
31
vsNICH
NICHL 69-71
−5.5
3
vsAMCC
AMCCL 59-63
−15.5
5
vsUIW
UIWW 80-67
+0.5
10
@ETAM
ETAML 69-77
+0.5
12
@NWST
NWSTL 63-64
−16.5
17
vsMCN
MCNW 79-76
+8.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 68-65
−2.5
over 7under 10avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Hou Christian
17 games played
Straight up
5-12
29% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ UCSD | L 60-78 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 13 | vs ULM | W 72-61 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | @ BELL | L 69-74 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | @ CIT | W 72-65 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 29 | @ GASO | L 62-80 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | @ UNT | L 75-77 | +11.5 | W +9.5 | 127.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @NOLA | W 85-76 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | vsSELA | L 71-74 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 132.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 15 | vsMCN | L 68-78 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 17 | @NICH | L 64-79 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 29 | @ ISU | L 61-89 | +35.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 3 | @UIW | L 56-73 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 5 | vsAMCC | L 65-81 | +3.5 | L −12.5 | 132.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 10 | @SFA | L 67-85 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 12 | @LAM | L 56-64 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 17 | vsETAM | W 81-70 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 19 | vsNWST | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@UCSD
UCSDL 60-78
−10.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 72-61
+2.5
25
@BELL
BELLL 69-74
−7.5
26
@CIT
CITW 72-65
+5.5
29
@GASO
GASOL 62-80
−10.5
2
@UNT
UNTL 75-77
+9.5
6
@NOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+13.5
13
vsSELA
SELAL 71-74
−5.5
15
vsMCN
MCNL 68-78
+4.5
17
@NICH
NICHL 64-79
−11.5
29
@ISU
ISUL 61-89
+7.5
3
@UIW
UIWL 56-73
−10.5
5
vsAMCC
AMCCL 65-81
−12.5
10
@SFA
SFAL 67-85
−5.5
12
@LAM
LAML 56-64
+0.5
17
vsETAM
ETAMW 81-70
+8.5
19
vsNWST
NWSTW 82-80
−0.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@UCSD
UCSDL 60-78
−3.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 72-61
−10.5
25
@BELL
BELLL 69-74
−1.5
26
@CIT
CITW 72-65
−0.5
29
@GASO
GASOL 62-80
−6.5
2
@UNT
UNTL 75-77
+24.5
6
@NOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+20.5
13
vsSELA
SELAL 71-74
+12.5
15
vsMCN
MCNL 68-78
+8.5
17
@NICH
NICHL 64-79
+5.5
29
@ISU
ISUL 61-89
+4.5
3
@UIW
UIWL 56-73
−12.5
5
vsAMCC
AMCCL 65-81
+13.5
10
@SFA
SFAL 67-85
+14.5
12
@LAM
LAML 56-64
−14.5
17
vsETAM
ETAMW 81-70
+11.5
19
vsNWST
NWSTW 82-80
+22.5
over 10under 7avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UT Rio Grande
6-11 overall · 4-6 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SE Louisiana68–65
- Wvs McNeese79–76
- L@ N'Western St63–64
- L@ East Texas A&M69–77
- Wvs Incarnate Word80–67
5 days since their last game.
Hou Christian
5-12 overall · 3-7 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs N'Western St82–80
- Wvs East Texas A&M81–70
- L@ Lamar56–64
- L@ SF Austin67–85
- Lvs Texas A&M-CC65–81
5 days since their last game.