Fertitta Center · at Houston
Closing line
HOU -32.5✓ HOU covered by 9.5
HOU -32.5✓ HOU covered by 9.5Closing total138.5Over by 17.5
 NOLA | This season | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | Record | 9-1 |
| 4-6 | ATS | 4-6 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NOLA 56–87 HOU · ✓ HOU (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOLA | 23 | 34 | 57 |
| HOU | 44 | 55 | 99 |
1st half: NOLA 23, HOU 44 (HOU by 21). The model had HOU by 18.4 and a total of 66.8 (actual 67).
Team stats
| NOLA | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-45 38% | Field goals | 32-59 54% |
| 4-14 29% | 3-pointers | 11-23 48% |
| 19-23 83% | Free throws | 24-31 77% |
| 31 10 off | Rebounds | 33 11 off |
| 7 | Assists | 23 |
| 3 | Steals | 11 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 24 | Fouls | 19 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| NOLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Thomas F | 35 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Jakevion Buckley G | 24 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Coleton Benson G | 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| TJ Cope G | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Churchill Abass F | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamal Chretien II G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Irish Coquia G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Panagiotis Pagonis F | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Enzo Boudouma F | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Mathok Majok F | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Vieux Sanneh F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kedrick Osby F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Grant Kemp G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: William Patterson Jr., Eze Nwakamma
| HOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milos Uzan G | 29 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Joseph Tugler F | 22 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kingston Flemings G | 19 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Emanuel Sharp G | 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. F | 17 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isiah Harwell G | 24 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-6 |
| Mercy Miller G | 21 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 5-5 | 1-1 |
| Cedric Lath C | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Ramon Walker Jr. G | 15 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Chase McCarty F | 14 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Jacob McFarland C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kalifa Sakho, Kordel Jefferson, Bryce Jackson
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOU -32.5
no move
CloseHOU -32.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▼ 3
Close138.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOU -32.5 · unchangedmodel HOU -31
model HOU -31
Opened 141.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 3 downmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | HOU -32.5 | HOU -30.8 | NOLA +1.7 | L HOU covered |
| Total | 138.5 | 142.7 | Over 4.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | NOLA 56 · HOU 86.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | HOU -18.4 | HOU -21.0 |
| 1H total | 66.8 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | NOLA 24.2 · HOU 42.6 | NOLA 23 · HOU 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOLA | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| HOU | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LSU N Orleans
10 games played
Straight up
3-7
30% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg +4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TCU | W 78-74 | +21.5 | W +25.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 10 | @ LSU | L 58-93 | +19.5 | L −15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 14 | @ TULN | W 85-63 | +11.5 | W +33.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 18 | @ PEPP | L 79-90 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 21 | @ FRES | L 76-85 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 24 | @ MSST | L 78-81 | +23.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 26 | @ TTU | L 50-82 | +29.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | @ MEM | L 70-86 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs HCU | L 76-85 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 8 | vs UIW | W 84-83 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TCU
TCUW 78-74
+25.5
10
@LSU
LSUL 58-93
−15.5
14
@TULN
TULNW 85-63
+33.5
18
@PEPP
PEPPL 79-90
−5.5
21
@FRES
FRESL 76-85
−2.5
24
@MSST
MSSTL 78-81
+20.5
26
@TTU
TTUL 50-82
−2.5
3
@MEM
MEML 70-86
−1.5
6
vsHCU
HCUL 76-85
−13.5
8
vsUIW
UIWW 84-83
+2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TCU
TCUW 78-74
+2.5
10
@LSU
LSUL 58-93
−11.5
14
@TULN
TULNW 85-63
−5.5
18
@PEPP
PEPPL 79-90
+11.5
21
@FRES
FRESL 76-85
+6.5
24
@MSST
MSSTL 78-81
−1.5
26
@TTU
TTUL 50-82
−25.5
3
@MEM
MEML 70-86
+6.5
6
vsHCU
HCUL 76-85
+20.5
8
vsUIW
UIWW 84-83
+18.5
over 6under 4avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Houston
10 games played
Straight up
9-1
90% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LEH | W 75-57 | -36.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs TOW | W 65-48 | -26.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 12 | vs OAK | W 78-45 | -30.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 16 | vs AUB | W 73-72 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs RID | W 91-45 | -40.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs SYR | W 78-74 | -14.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TENN | L 73-76 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs ND | W 66-56 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs FSU | W 82-67 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs JKST | W 80-38 | -40.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−18.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−9.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
+2.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
−6.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+5.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
−10.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
−5.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−1.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+2.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
+1.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−4.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−17.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
−15.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
+4.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+1.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
+11.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
+12.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−10.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+0.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
−19.5
over 5under 5avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LSU N Orleans
3-7 overall · 1-1 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Incarnate Word84–83
- Lvs Hou Christian76–85
- L@ Memphis70–86
- L@ Texas Tech50–82
- L@ Mississippi St78–81
5 days since their last game.
Houston
9-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Jackson St80–38
- Wvs Florida St82–67
- Wvs Notre Dame66–56
- Lvs Tennessee73–76
- Wvs Syracuse78–74
3 days since their last game.