Lakefront Arena · at LSU N Orleans · Conference game
Closing line
NOLA -4.5✓ HCU covered by 13.5
Closing total140.5Over by 20.5
| This season | NOLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 2-6 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 3-5 |
| 1-5 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HCU 70–75 NOLA · ✗ NOLA (68%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCU | 36 | 49 | 85 |
| NOLA | 35 | 41 | 76 |
1st half: HCU 36, NOLA 35 (HCU by 1). The model had NOLA by 3.1 and a total of 68.1 (actual 71).
Team stats
| HCU | NOLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-58 48% | Field goals | 27-58 47% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 23-30 77% | Free throws | 13-20 65% |
| 37 12 off | Rebounds | 31 10 off |
| 21 | Assists | 19 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| HCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Bartley G | 33 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 5-6 | 2-3 |
| Elijah Brooks G | 32 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6-12 | 1-2 |
| Kylin Green G | 30 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Trent Johnson F | 28 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Demarco Bethea F | 25 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 4-12 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Demari Williams G | 16 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| D'Aundre Samuels G | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Nehikhare Igiehon F | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Mambourou Mara F | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Ahjany Lee F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Monroe G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Gaston F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brennen Byrd, Will Wilson, Obadiah Curtis
| NOLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleton Benson G | 40 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 9-14 | 5-9 |
| Jakevion Buckley G | 33 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| TJ Cope G | 28 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| MJ Thomas F | 27 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Enzo Boudouma F | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Panagiotis Pagonis F | 23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2-8 | 2-5 |
| Churchill Abass F | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Irish Coquia G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Kedrick Osby F | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Mathok Majok F | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Grant Kemp, Jamal Chretien II, Vieux Sanneh, Eze Nwakamma, William Patterson Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNOLA -4.5
ModelNOLA -5.5
Model edgeNOLA +1.0
L HCU covered
Total
Market140.5
Model145.4
Model edgeOver 4.9
W Over
Projected score
HCU 70 · NOLA 75.4
HCU 85 · NOLA 76
Win probability
NOLA 68%
1st half
Spread
NOLA -3.1
HCU -1.0
Total
68.1
71 points
Projected score
HCU 32.5 · NOLA 35.6
HCU 36 · NOLA 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNOLA -6.5
2 → HCU
CloseNOLA -4.5
2 pts toward HCU
Total
Open141.5
▼ 1
Close140.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
HCU +195 · NOLA -238
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NOLA -6.5 · closed NOLA -4.5 · moved 2 toward HCUmodel NOLA -5.5
model NOLA -5.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 downmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-4 33% | 3-3 50% | 1-5 17% | |
| 2-6 25% | 3-5 38% | 4-4 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
HCU 4–6 NOLANOLA leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · HCU has won the last 2 meetings · HCU 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | NOLA 68 @ HCU 81 | HCU -10.5 | HCU W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | HCU 86 @ NOLA 76 | NOLA +1.5 | HCU W |
| Feb 5, 2023-24 | HCU 58 @ NOLA 84 | NOLA -7 | NOLA W |
| Jan 22, 2023-24 | NOLA 80 @ HCU 88 | HCU +3.5 | HCU W |
| Mar 5, 2022-23 | NOLA 90 vs HCU 69 | HCU +3.5 | NOLA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hou Christian
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-5
17% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
UCSD
L 60-78
−10.5
13
vs
ULM
W 72-61
+2.5
25
@
BELL
L 69-74
−7.5
26
@
CIT
W 72-65
+5.5
29
@
GASO
L 62-80
−10.5
2
@
UNT
L 75-77
+9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
UCSD
L 60-78
−3.5
13
vs
ULM
W 72-61
−10.5
25
@
BELL
L 69-74
−1.5
26
@
CIT
W 72-65
−0.5
29
@
GASO
L 62-80
−6.5
2
@
UNT
L 75-77
+24.5
over 1under 5avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
LSU N Orleans
8 games played
Straight up
2-6
25% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | W 78-74 | +21.5 | W +25.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 10 | @ | L 58-93 | +19.5 | L −15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 14 | @ | W 85-63 | +11.5 | W +33.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 79-90 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 76-85 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 24 | @ | L 78-81 | +23.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 26 | @ | L 50-82 | +29.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 70-86 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
TCU
W 78-74
+25.5
10
@
LSU
L 58-93
−15.5
14
@
TULN
W 85-63
+33.5
18
@
PEPP
L 79-90
−5.5
21
@
FRES
L 76-85
−2.5
24
@
MSST
L 78-81
+20.5
26
@
TTU
L 50-82
−2.5
3
@
MEM
L 70-86
−1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
TCU
W 78-74
+2.5
10
@
LSU
L 58-93
−11.5
14
@
TULN
W 85-63
−5.5
18
@
PEPP
L 79-90
+11.5
21
@
FRES
L 76-85
+6.5
24
@
MSST
L 78-81
−1.5
26
@
TTU
L 50-82
−25.5
3
@
MEM
L 70-86
+6.5
over 4under 4avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hou Christian
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ North Texas75–77
- L@ GA Southern62–80
- W@ The Citadel72–65
- L@ Bellarmine69–74
- Wvs UL Monroe72–61
4 days since their last game.
LSU N Orleans
2-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Memphis70–86
- L@ Texas Tech50–82
- L@ Mississippi St78–81
- L@ Fresno St76–85
- L@ Pepperdine79–90
3 days since their last game.