Holmes Convocation Center · at App State · Conference game
Closing line
APP -3.5✓ MRSH covered by 4.5
APP -3.5✓ MRSH covered by 4.5Closing total143.5Over by 43.5
 MRSH | This season | APP |
|---|---|---|
| 16-10 | Record | 16-10 |
| 8-18 | ATS | 16-10 |
| 15-11 | O/U | 9-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRSH 69–72 APP · ✗ APP (61%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 41 | 53 | 94 |
| APP | 52 | 41 | 93 |
1st half: MRSH 41, APP 52 (APP by 11). The model had APP by 1.9 and a total of 65.8 (actual 93).
Team stats
| MRSH | APP | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-59 58% | Field goals | 27-53 51% |
| 11-25 44% | 3-pointers | 11-28 39% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 28-40 70% |
| 27 7 off | Rebounds | 32 13 off |
| 15 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 25 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MRSH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Speer G | 37 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 8-18 | 4-10 |
| Landen Joseph G | 36 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 9-13 | 3-5 |
| Noah Otshudi G | 21 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Wyatt Fricks F | 18 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Erich Harding F | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Drew Fuquay F | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 6-6 | 1-1 |
| Wilson Dubinsky G | 23 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Shamarrie Hugie G | 18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Caleb Hollenbeck G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Will Moore, Grant Moore, Kaiden White, Bryce Slay, Kai Spears, Matt Van Komen
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Dodd G | 40 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 7-14 | 3-7 |
| Luke Wilson C | 33 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Tot G | 30 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 5-13 | 4-10 |
| Kasen Jennings G | 29 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 25 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eren Banks G | 23 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Chad Moodie F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jacari Brim G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Andrin Njock F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: KJ Vasser, Ted Neal, Tre McKinnon, Grant Clayton, Cameron O'Kelley, Jason Clarke Jr., Luke Ledford
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAPP -3.5
ModelAPP -3.3
Model edgeMRSH +0.2
W MRSH covered
Total
Market143.5
Model140.4
Model edgeUnder 3.1
L Over
Projected score
MRSH 68.6 · APP 71.9
MRSH 94 · APP 93
Win probability
APP 61%
1st half
Spread
APP -1.9
APP -11.0
Total
65.8
93 points
Projected score
MRSH 32 · APP 33.8
MRSH 41 · APP 52
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAPP -2.5
1 → APP
CloseAPP -3.5
1 pt toward APP
Total
Open144.5
▼ 1
Close143.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MRSH +154 · APP -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened APP -2.5 · closed APP -3.5 · moved 1 toward APPmodel APP -3.5 matches the line
model APP -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 144.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 downmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% |
| APP | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
MRSH 5–2 APPMRSH leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · MRSH has won the last 3 meetings · MRSH 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | APP 81 @ MRSH 88 | MRSH -7.5 | APP W |
| Feb 28, 2024-25 | APP 57 @ MRSH 75 | MRSH -2.5 | MRSH W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | MRSH 69 @ APP 59 | APP -3.5 | MRSH W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | APP 65 @ MRSH 58 | MRSH +5.5 | APP W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | MRSH 58 @ APP 73 | APP -10.5 | APP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marshall
26 games played
Straight up
16-10
62% wins
Against the spread
8-18
31% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MASS | W 78-72 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | @ TOL | W 85-73 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 12 | vs ELON | W 96-89 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 15 | @ UVA | L 78-104 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 20 | vs UAPB | W 98-70 | -20.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | vs MERC | W 69-60 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIP | L 67-90 | -7.5 | L −30.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 3 | @ UNCW | L 69-70 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ OHIO | L 81-88 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 10 | vs WKU | W 77-61 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 13 | vs WRST | W 76-74 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 20 | @ TROY | L 63-70 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | vs GAST | W 84-80 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vsAPP | W 88-81 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 7 | @ JMU | W 66-64 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | @GAST | L 73-81 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | vs CCU | L 83-85 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 17 | vsJMU | W 77-72 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 22 | vs ULM | W 115-60 | -18.5 | W +36.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 28 | @ TXST | L 68-72 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 31 | @ ARST | W 70-61 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 165.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 4 | vs USM | W 81-77 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 7 | vs M-OH | L 74-90 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 11 | @ ODU | W 81-79 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ GASO | L 87-101 | -2.5 | L −16.5 | 162.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 16 | vs USA | W 84-80 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MASS
MASSW 78-72
+10.5
8
@TOL
TOLW 85-73
+14.5
12
vsELON
ELONW 96-89
−1.5
15
@UVA
UVAL 78-104
−5.5
20
vsUAPB
UAPBW 98-70
+7.5
23
vsMERC
MERCW 69-60
−2.5
26
vsLIP
LIPL 67-90
−30.5
3
@UNCW
UNCWL 69-70
+7.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 81-88
−3.5
10
vsWKU
WKUW 77-61
+14.5
13
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-74
−1.5
20
@TROY
TROYL 63-70
−2.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 84-80
−9.5
3
vsAPP
APPW 88-81
−0.5
7
@JMU
JMUW 66-64
+3.5
10
@GAST
GASTL 73-81
−12.5
14
vsCCU
CCUL 83-85
−11.5
17
vsJMU
JMUW 77-72
−1.5
22
vsULM
ULMW 115-60
+36.5
28
@TXST
TXSTL 68-72
−7.5
31
@ARST
ARSTW 70-61
+12.5
4
vsUSM
USMW 81-77
−6.5
7
vsM-OH
M-OHL 74-90
−14.5
11
@ODU
ODUW 81-79
−1.5
14
@GASO
GASOL 87-101
−16.5
16
vsUSA
USAW 84-80
−2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 18avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MASS
MASSW 78-72
−2.5
8
@TOL
TOLW 85-73
−2.5
12
vsELON
ELONW 96-89
+29.5
15
@UVA
UVAL 78-104
+26.5
20
vsUAPB
UAPBW 98-70
+3.5
23
vsMERC
MERCW 69-60
−18.5
26
vsLIP
LIPL 67-90
−0.5
3
@UNCW
UNCWL 69-70
−11.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 81-88
+11.5
10
vsWKU
WKUW 77-61
−21.5
13
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-74
+0.5
20
@TROY
TROYL 63-70
−22.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 84-80
+12.5
3
vsAPP
APPW 88-81
+27.5
7
@JMU
JMUW 66-64
−22.5
10
@GAST
GASTL 73-81
+0.5
14
vsCCU
CCUL 83-85
+16.5
17
vsJMU
JMUW 77-72
−0.5
22
vsULM
ULMW 115-60
+14.5
28
@TXST
TXSTL 68-72
−7.5
31
@ARST
ARSTW 70-61
−34.5
4
vsUSM
USMW 81-77
+9.5
7
vsM-OH
M-OHL 74-90
+1.5
11
@ODU
ODUW 81-79
+4.5
14
@GASO
GASOL 87-101
+25.5
16
vsUSA
USAW 84-80
+13.5
over 15under 11avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
App State
26 games played
Straight up
16-10
62% wins
Against the spread
16-10
62% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-17
35% overs · avg −4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CMU | L 66-82 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | vs NCCU | W 76-54 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | @ OSU | L 53-75 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | @ DART | W 85-77 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs CLT | W 65-63 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 24 | vsELON | L 53-88 | -5.5 | L −40.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | @ MER | L 67-75 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNCA | L 55-67 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | @ ECU | W 67-54 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs HPU | W 86-78 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 18 | vsCCU | W 67-49 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 137.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | vsGAST | L 63-70 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ODU | W 81-73 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | @MRSH | L 81-88 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 8 | @GAST | W 52-50 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 10 | @CCU | L 62-67 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 15 | vsJMU | W 80-65 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | vsODU | L 73-75 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 22 | vs UL | W 72-58 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 124.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 23 | vsULM | W 59-43 | -16.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 29 | @USM | W 70-63 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 31 | @TROY | W 66-44 | +7.5 | W +29.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 4 | vsUSA | W 65-57 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 7 | vs EMU | W 65-60 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 131.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 11 | @GASO | W 81-65 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 14 | @JMU | L 58-69 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
−14.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
+11.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
+1.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+6.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
+0.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−40.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−1.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−10.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
+17.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+20.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
+13.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−14.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+9.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+0.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
+0.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−6.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 80-65
+12.5
17
vsODU
ODUL 73-75
−9.5
22
vsUL
ULW 72-58
+4.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 59-43
−0.5
29
@USM
USMW 70-63
+5.5
31
@TROY
TROYW 66-44
+29.5
4
vsUSA
USAW 65-57
+2.5
7
vsEMU
EMUW 65-60
−2.5
11
@GASO
GASOW 81-65
+14.5
14
@JMU
JMUL 58-69
−12.5
covered 16didn’t cover 10avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
+5.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
−6.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
−19.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+21.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
−4.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−2.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−0.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−15.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
−9.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+19.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
−21.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−4.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+17.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+27.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
−38.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−4.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 80-65
+11.5
17
vsODU
ODUL 73-75
+7.5
22
vsUL
ULW 72-58
+5.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 59-43
−42.5
29
@USM
USMW 70-63
−1.5
31
@TROY
TROYW 66-44
−27.5
4
vsUSA
USAW 65-57
−9.5
7
vsEMU
EMUW 65-60
−6.5
11
@GASO
GASOW 81-65
+2.5
14
@JMU
JMUL 58-69
−7.5
over 9under 17avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marshall
16-10 overall · 9-5 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs South Alabama84–80
- L@ GA Southern87–101
- W@ Old Dominion81–79
- Lvs Miami OH74–90
- Wvs Southern Miss81–77
3 days since their last game.
App State
16-10 overall · 10-5 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ James Madison58–69
- W@ GA Southern81–65
- Wvs E Michigan65–60
- Wvs South Alabama65–57
- W@ Troy66–44
5 days since their last game.