Kathleen and Tom Elam Center · at UT Martin · Conference game
Closing line
UTM -8.5✓ MORE covered by 14.5
Closing total136.5Under by 20.5
| This season | UTM | |
|---|---|---|
| 9-12 | Record | 16-5 |
| 11-10 | ATS | 12-9 |
| 12-9 | O/U | 6-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MORE 66–74 UTM · ✗ UTM (76%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MORE | 23 | 38 | 61 |
| UTM | 22 | 33 | 55 |
1st half: MORE 23, UTM 22 (MORE by 1). The model had UTM by 4.7 and a total of 65.1 (actual 45).
Team stats
| MORE | UTM | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-52 37% | Field goals | 16-62 26% |
| 7-18 39% | 3-pointers | 6-39 15% |
| 16-18 89% | Free throws | 17-25 68% |
| 41 13 off | Rebounds | 43 23 off |
| 10 | Assists | 7 |
| 8 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 12 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Dawson III G | 35 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| George Marshall G | 35 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 2-10 | 2-6 |
| Chase Dawson G | 29 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Anouar Mellouk F | 27 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Jon Carroll F | 14 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josiah LeGree G | 23 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Davion Cunningham G | 20 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Tamaury Releford C | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tyonne Farrell F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Clayton Parker, Jaden Priester, Jarvis Wright, Jace Winkleman, Kameren Wright, Jacob Wilson
| UTM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matas Deniusas F | 36 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 4-12 | 3-9 |
| Filip Radakovic G | 34 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2-10 | 0-2 |
| Andrija Bukumirovic F | 33 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-8 |
| Filip Petkovski G | 30 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1-8 | 0-6 |
| Damien King G | 21 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Vladimir Khryapa F | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Pedro Santos G | 13 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Afan Trnka G | 12 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| AJ Hopkins F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Lamine Niang C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lucas Williams, Charlie King, Ama Sow, James Bass, Enrique Moya, Will Hopkins, Dragos Lungu, Luca Colceag, Ty Price
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUTM -8.5
ModelUTM -8.0
Model edgeMORE +0.5
W MORE covered
Total
Market136.5
Model139.0
Model edgeOver 2.5
L Under
Projected score
MORE 65.5 · UTM 73.5
MORE 61 · UTM 55
Win probability
UTM 76%
1st half
Spread
UTM -4.7
MORE -1.0
Total
65.1
45 points
Projected score
MORE 30.2 · UTM 34.9
MORE 23 · UTM 22
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTM -8.5
no move
CloseUTM -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open135.5
▲ 1
Close136.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MORE +320 · UTM -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTM -8.5 · unchangedmodel UTM -8
model UTM -8
Opened 135.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 1 upmodel 139
model 139
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | |
| 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MORE 7–3 UTMMORE leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · MORE 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025-26 | UTM 76 @ MORE 68 | MORE +2.5 | UTM W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | MORE 59 @ UTM 47 | UTM -5.5 | MORE W |
| Dec 19, 2024-25 | UTM 69 @ MORE 70 | MORE -5.5 | UTM W |
| Mar 8, 2023-24 | MORE 84 vs UTM 78 | UTM +7.5 | UTM W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | MORE 82 @ UTM 88 | UTM +3.5 | UTM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Morehead St
21 games played
Straight up
9-12
43% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-9
57% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ | L 65-81 | +22.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 9 | @ | L 81-120 | +28.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 201 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 56-83 | +29.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 62-77 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 83-80 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 29 | @ | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 181.5 | U 165 |
| Dec 2 | @ | L 52-84 | +16.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 78-64 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | @ | W 64-60 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 1 | @ | L 64-77 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 73-72 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 131.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 8 | vs | L 68-76 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 71-69 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 15 | @ | L 100-105 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 205 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 76-70 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 22 | vs | W 71-66 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 73-68 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 67-65 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 78-79 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 5 | @ | L 70-82 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
WAKE
L 65-81
+6.5
9
@
UGA
L 81-120
−10.5
11
@
CLEM
L 56-83
+2.5
21
@
ETSU
L 62-77
−4.5
22
vs
ULM
W 83-80
−3.5
29
@
IUIN
L 80-85
−1.5
2
@
MUR
L 52-84
−15.5
6
@
PRES
L 72-80
−0.5
16
vs
LR
W 78-64
+11.5
20
@
USI
W 64-60
+2.5
1
@
LIN
L 64-77
−6.5
3
@
SIUE
W 73-72
+5.5
8
vs
UTM
L 68-76
−5.5
10
vs
SEMO
W 71-69
+7.5
15
@
TNST
L 100-105
+2.5
17
@
TNTC
W 76-70
+7.5
22
vs
WIU
W 71-66
−3.5
24
vs
EIU
W 73-68
+0.5
29
vs
SIUE
W 67-65
+0.5
31
vs
LIN
L 78-79
+0.5
5
@
SEMO
L 70-82
−4.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
WAKE
L 65-81
−6.5
9
@
UGA
L 81-120
+50.5
11
@
CLEM
L 56-83
−12.5
21
@
ETSU
L 62-77
−5.5
22
vs
ULM
W 83-80
+17.5
29
@
IUIN
L 80-85
−16.5
2
@
MUR
L 52-84
−22.5
6
@
PRES
L 72-80
+17.5
16
vs
LR
W 78-64
+5.5
20
@
USI
W 64-60
−21.5
1
@
LIN
L 64-77
−6.5
3
@
SIUE
W 73-72
+13.5
8
vs
UTM
L 68-76
+8.5
10
vs
SEMO
W 71-69
−4.5
15
@
TNST
L 100-105
+56.5
17
@
TNTC
W 76-70
+4.5
22
vs
WIU
W 71-66
−1.5
24
vs
EIU
W 73-68
+6.5
29
vs
SIUE
W 67-65
+1.5
31
vs
LIN
L 78-79
+8.5
5
@
SEMO
L 70-82
+7.5
over 12under 9avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UT Martin
21 games played
Straight up
16-5
76% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-15
29% overs · avg −7.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | W 86-81 | +16.5 | W +21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 12 | @ | W 78-67 | +15.5 | W +26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 73-87 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 69-68 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 60-70 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 73-56 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 74-64 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 54-83 | +8.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 18 | @ | L 71-78 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | @ | W 86-62 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 1 | vs | W 67-60 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 65-61 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 8 | @ | W 76-68 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 73-56 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 65-59 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 69-55 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 20 | @ | L 50-66 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 29 | @ | W 76-68 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 129.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 84-44 | -10.5 | W +29.5 | 137.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 3 | vs | W 55-52 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 5 | vs | W 76-54 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 132.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
UNLV
W 86-81
+21.5
12
@
BRAD
W 78-67
+26.5
18
@
FSU
L 73-87
+5.5
22
vs
PV
W 69-68
−9.5
23
vs
USM
L 60-70
−11.5
2
vs
CHSO
W 73-56
+13.5
7
vs
ALST
W 74-64
+3.5
10
@
SIU
L 54-83
−20.5
18
@
TNST
L 71-78
−4.5
20
@
TNTC
W 86-62
+21.5
1
vs
WIU
W 67-60
−6.5
3
vs
EIU
W 65-61
−6.5
8
@
MORE
W 76-68
+5.5
10
@
USI
W 73-56
+11.5
15
vs
SIUE
W 65-59
−1.5
17
vs
LIN
W 69-55
+11.5
20
@
SEMO
L 50-66
−13.5
29
@
EIU
W 76-68
+4.5
31
@
WIU
W 84-44
+29.5
3
vs
LR
W 55-52
−3.5
5
vs
USI
W 76-54
+11.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
UNLV
W 86-81
+20.5
12
@
BRAD
W 78-67
+0.5
18
@
FSU
L 73-87
−5.5
22
vs
PV
W 69-68
−18.5
23
vs
USM
L 60-70
−16.5
2
vs
CHSO
W 73-56
−18.5
7
vs
ALST
W 74-64
−6.5
10
@
SIU
L 54-83
−9.5
18
@
TNST
L 71-78
+7.5
20
@
TNTC
W 86-62
+2.5
1
vs
WIU
W 67-60
−13.5
3
vs
EIU
W 65-61
−7.5
8
@
MORE
W 76-68
+8.5
10
@
USI
W 73-56
−8.5
15
vs
SIUE
W 65-59
−7.5
17
vs
LIN
W 69-55
−23.5
20
@
SEMO
L 50-66
−24.5
29
@
EIU
W 76-68
+14.5
31
@
WIU
W 84-44
−9.5
3
vs
LR
W 55-52
−32.5
5
vs
USI
W 76-54
−2.5
over 6under 15avg −7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Morehead St
9-12 overall · 8-5 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ SE Missouri70–82
- Lvs Lindenwood Lions78–79
- Wvs SIUE67–65
- Wvs E Illinois73–68
- Wvs W Illinois71–66
2 days since their last game.
UT Martin
16-5 overall · 11-2 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles76–54
- Wvs Little Rock55–52
- W@ W Illinois84–44
- W@ E Illinois76–68
- L@ SE Missouri50–66
2 days since their last game.