Burns Arena · at Utah Tech · Conference game
Closing line
UTU -7.5✓ UTU covered by 6.5
UTU -7.5✓ UTU covered by 6.5Closing total148.5Under by 2.5
 SUU | This season | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-9 | Record | 4-7 |
| 4-6 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 5-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SUU 72–80 UTU · ✓ UTU (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SUU | 39 | 27 | 66 |
| UTU | 41 | 39 | 80 |
1st half: SUU 39, UTU 41 (UTU by 2). The model had UTU by 4.4 and a total of 71.2 (actual 80).
Team stats
| SUU | UTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-58 41% | Field goals | 31-69 45% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 13-21 62% | Free throws | 8-13 62% |
| 36 11 off | Rebounds | 43 15 off |
| 6 | Assists | 16 |
| 4 | Steals | 9 |
| 6 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| SUU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Hayhurst G | 31 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Jaiden Feroah F | 29 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Cottrell F | 25 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Elijah Duval G | 24 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-11 | 0-0 |
| Zach Bell G | 21 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dylan Jones G | 21 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-6 |
| Cale Barclay F | 18 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Lorenzo Abellar G | 15 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Kai Burdick C | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Lee G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Logan Stephens G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Zeplin Kidd G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Juok Riak, Brayden Johnson, Langston Binns, Chuks Isitua
| UTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jusaun Holt G | 35 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 4-11 | 3-7 |
| Noah Bolanga G | 35 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 7-10 | 2-2 |
| Ethan Potter F | 33 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Madiba Owona G | 27 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 6-14 | 2-3 |
| Chance Trujillo G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tanner Davis G | 23 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Britton Berrett G | 23 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Dario Domingos F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Samuel Ariyibi F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hunter Schenck, Boston Harker, Preston Vandermyde, Dallin Grant, Marvel Allen
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUTU -7.5
ModelUTU -7.5
Model edge—
UTU covered
Total
Market148.5
Model152.0
Model edgeOver 3.5
L Under
Projected score
SUU 72.2 · UTU 79.8
SUU 66 · UTU 80
Win probability
UTU 75%
1st half
Spread
UTU -4.4
UTU -2.0
Total
71.2
80 points
Projected score
SUU 33.4 · UTU 37.8
SUU 39 · UTU 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTU -6.5
1 → UTU
CloseUTU -7.5
1 pt toward UTU
Total
Open146.5
▲ 2
Close148.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
SUU +275 · UTU -345
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTU -6.5 · closed UTU -7.5 · moved 1 toward UTUmodel UTU -7.5 matches the line
model UTU -7.5 = line ✓
Opened 146.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 upmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SUU | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| UTU | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
SUU 6–4 UTUSUU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · SUU 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024-25 | UTU 72 vs SUU 65 | SUU +4.5 | UTU W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | SUU 82 @ UTU 75 | UTU -3.5 | SUU W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | UTU 74 @ SUU 76 | SUU -2.5 | UTU W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | SUU 68 @ UTU 70 | UTU +3.5 | UTU W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | UTU 65 @ SUU 75 | SUU -4.5 | SUU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern Utah
10 games played
Straight up
1-9
10% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg −7.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ ASU | L 64-81 | +17.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 8 | vs RGV | L 72-95 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | @ OMA | L 85-90 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ GONZ | L 50-122 | +35.5 | L −36.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 19 | @ WSU | L 74-98 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 28 | @ RMU | L 54-61 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 29 | vs STET | W 70-68 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | @ ORST | L 70-81 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 13 | @ WASH | L 69-105 | +25.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 18 | @ NAU | L 57-65 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@ASU
ASUL 64-81
+0.5
8
vsRGV
RGVL 72-95
−21.5
15
@OMA
OMAL 85-90
+3.5
17
@GONZ
GONZL 50-122
−36.5
19
@WSU
WSUL 74-98
−11.5
28
@RMU
RMUL 54-61
+1.5
29
vsSTET
STETW 70-68
+0.5
6
@ORST
ORSTL 70-81
−0.5
13
@WASH
WASHL 69-105
−10.5
18
@NAU
NAUL 57-65
−2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg −7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@ASU
ASUL 64-81
−6.5
8
vsRGV
RGVL 72-95
+6.5
15
@OMA
OMAL 85-90
+21.5
17
@GONZ
GONZL 50-122
+11.5
19
@WSU
WSUL 74-98
+14.5
28
@RMU
RMUL 54-61
−37.5
29
vsSTET
STETW 70-68
−10.5
6
@ORST
ORSTL 70-81
+4.5
13
@WASH
WASHL 69-105
+20.5
18
@NAU
NAUL 57-65
−28.5
over 6under 4avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Utah Tech
11 games played
Straight up
4-7
36% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SDAK | W 81-79 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 7 | @ ARIZ | L 67-93 | +33.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 9 | @ASU | L 66-81 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 12 | vs MAN | L 75-79 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 14 | vs MVSU | W 81-75 | -26.5 | L −20.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 15 | @ HAW | L 62-68 | +16.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs PRST | L 63-68 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 29 | vs UCR | W 77-69 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 3 | @ SCU | L 80-90 | +20.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | @ WEB | W 82-80 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 22 | @ CREI | L 69-92 | +19.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SDAK
SDAKW 81-79
+3.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 67-93
+7.5
9
@ASU
ASUL 66-81
−2.5
12
vsMAN
MANL 75-79
−6.5
14
vsMVSU
MVSUW 81-75
−20.5
15
@HAW
HAWL 62-68
+10.5
25
vsPRST
PRSTL 63-68
−3.5
29
vsUCR
UCRW 77-69
+2.5
3
@SCU
SCUL 80-90
+10.5
20
@WEB
WEBW 82-80
+7.5
22
@CREI
CREIL 69-92
−3.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SDAK
SDAKW 81-79
−4.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 67-93
−2.5
9
@ASU
ASUL 66-81
−5.5
12
vsMAN
MANL 75-79
−4.5
14
vsMVSU
MVSUW 81-75
+10.5
15
@HAW
HAWL 62-68
−19.5
25
vsPRST
PRSTL 63-68
−15.5
29
vsUCR
UCRW 77-69
+0.5
3
@SCU
SCUL 80-90
+25.5
20
@WEB
WEBW 82-80
+9.5
22
@CREI
CREIL 69-92
+13.5
over 5under 6avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern Utah
1-9 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N Arizona57–65
- L@ Washington69–105
- L@ Oregon St70–81
- Wvs Stetson70–68
- L@ Robert Morris54–61
A week or more of rest.
Utah Tech
4-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Creighton69–92
- W@ Weber St82–80
- L@ Santa Clara80–90
- Wvs UC Riverside77–69
- Lvs Portland St63–68
A week or more of rest.