Great Southern Bank Arena · at Missouri St · Conference game
Closing line
MOST -3.5✓ MOST covered by 20.5
MOST -3.5✓ MOST covered by 20.5Closing total131.5Over by 2.5
 UTEP | This season | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| 1-8 | Record | 4-5 |
| 3-6 | ATS | 4-5 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 2-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTEP 66–67 MOST · ✓ MOST (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP | 23 | 32 | 55 |
| MOST | 49 | 30 | 79 |
1st half: UTEP 23, MOST 49 (MOST by 26). The model had MOST by 0.2 and a total of 62.5 (actual 72).
Team stats
| UTEP | MOST | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-48 40% | Field goals | 26-49 53% |
| 4-15 27% | 3-pointers | 8-19 42% |
| 13-20 65% | Free throws | 19-26 73% |
| 25 12 off | Rebounds | 31 12 off |
| 8 | Assists | 16 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| UTEP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJ Thomas G | 35 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Kaseem Watson F | 29 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Jamal West Jr. F | 29 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Jones F | 28 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5-12 | 1-5 |
| Cassius Brooks G | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey Horton III G | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| C.J. Smith F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Mouhamed Mbaye C | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| LA Hayes G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bobby Montgomery Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jordan Hernandez G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb Blackwell, David Tubek, Tyreese Watson
| MOST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobi Williams G | 39 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 4-11 | 3-7 |
| Zaxton King G | 33 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-3 |
| Keith Palek III F | 30 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 5-11 | 0-3 |
| Trey Williams Jr. G | 27 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 5-7 | 4-5 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu F | 23 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Antwan Burnett G | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Darrion Sutton F | 14 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Melakih Cunningham G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Boone F | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Logan Epes G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyrique Brooks G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Collin Clark, Ryder Cheesman, Amar Kuljuhovic
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMOST -2.5
1 → MOST
CloseMOST -3.5
1 pt toward MOST
Total
Open131.5
no move
Close131.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UTEP +136 · MOST -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MOST -2.5 · closed MOST -3.5 · moved 1 toward MOSTmodel MOST -0.5
model MOST -0.5
Opened 131.5 · unchangedmodel 133.5
model 133.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MOST -3.5 | MOST -0.6 | UTEP +2.9 | L MOST covered |
| Total | 131.5 | 133.4 | Over 1.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UTEP 66.4 · MOST 67 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MOST -0.2 | MOST -26.0 |
| 1H total | 62.5 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | UTEP 31.1 · MOST 31.4 | UTEP 23 · MOST 49 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTEPlast 9 | 1-8 11% | 3-6 33% | 4-5 44% |
| MOSTlast 9 | 4-5 44% | 4-5 44% | 2-7 22% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UTEP
9 games played
Straight up
1-8
11% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −6.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs LMU | L 58-71 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 15 | @ USU | L 51-75 | +16.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 24 | vs W&M | L 63-74 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs UAB | L 59-75 | +8.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | @ SEA | L 68-75 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | @ HAW | L 61-66 | +12.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 21 | vs NORF | L 71-72 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs NDSU | W 76-66 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 29 | @ LT | L 63-75 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsLMU
LMUL 58-71
−14.5
15
@USU
USUL 51-75
−7.5
24
vsW&M
W&ML 63-74
−8.5
25
vsUAB
UABL 59-75
−7.5
7
@SEA
SEAL 68-75
+5.5
13
@HAW
HAWL 61-66
+7.5
21
vsNORF
NORFL 71-72
−11.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUW 76-66
+12.5
29
@LT
LTL 63-75
−9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsLMU
LMUL 58-71
−15.5
15
@USU
USUL 51-75
−23.5
24
vsW&M
W&ML 63-74
−22.5
25
vsUAB
UABL 59-75
−12.5
7
@SEA
SEAL 68-75
+6.5
13
@HAW
HAWL 61-66
−11.5
21
vsNORF
NORFL 71-72
+6.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUW 76-66
+2.5
29
@LT
LTL 63-75
+7.5
over 4under 5avg −6.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri St
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-7
22% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs ARST | L 85-86 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTA | L 49-67 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 22 | vs RGV | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIU | L 61-75 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ TLSA | L 74-98 | +7.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 12 | @ XAV | L 57-75 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 16 | vs ORU | W 63-62 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 23 | vs LIN | W 70-65 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ DEL | W 61-43 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | U 104 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
−2.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−14.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
+3.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−18.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
−16.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
+0.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−3.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
+1.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
+16.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
+18.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−27.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
−8.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−9.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
+29.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
−19.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−21.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
−10.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
−27.5
over 2under 7avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UTEP
1-8 overall · 0-1 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Louisiana Tech63–75
- Wvs N Dakota St76–66
- Lvs Norfolk St71–72
- L@ Hawai'i61–66
- L@ Seattle U68–75
4 days since their last game.
Missouri St
4-5 overall · 1-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Delaware61–43
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions70–65
- Wvs Oral Roberts63–62
- L@ Xavier57–75
- L@ Tulsa74–98
4 days since their last game.