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NBA · 2026-27

NBA games · Friday, December 25

FinalCurrentUpcomingFri, Dec 25: 1st-half lines ›
Day in numbers5 games5 worth a lookOpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games50 final · 5 to play
Lines moved01+ pt since the open · 5 with a line
Totals moved01+ pt since the open
OKC @ MINModel edge MIN 12.1Model Under 10.8DEN @ GSModel edge GS 3.9Model Under 5.3PHI @ LALModel edge LAL 3.7Model Under 10.2SA @ NYModel Under 9.5MIA @ BOSModel edge BOS 3.8
Reasons to open the game card, not picks. The model has not beaten the closing line.
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts26-3046%
2+ pts11-1739%
3+ pts9-1145%
5+ pts2-340%
Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.
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Spurs
4-2 · #3
+1.5
Knicks
2-4 · #8
-1.5
Spread
NY -1.5
no move
Total
229.5
Under 9.5
Spread edge
SA by 3
model SA -1.3
Spread
Total
Winner
Heat
2-4 · #18
+5.5
Celtics
5-1 · #5
-5.5
Spread
BOS -5.5
no move
Total
230.5
Under 0.4
Spread edge
BOS by 4
model BOS -9.3
Spread
Total
Winner
76ers
6-1 · #16
+1.5
Lakers
5-2 · #10
-1.5
Spread
LAL -1.5
no move
Total
237.5
Under 10.2
Spread edge
LAL by 3.5
model LAL -5.2
Spread
Total
Winner
Thunder
4-2 · #6
-4.5
Timberwolves
4-3 · #2
+4.5
Spread
OKC -4.5
no move
Total
234.5
Under 10.8
Spread edge
MIN by 12
model MIN -7.6
Spread
Total
Winner
Nuggets
3-2 · #15
-2.5
Warriors
4-3 · #13
+2.5
Spread
DEN -2.5
no move
Total
240.5
Under 5.3
Spread edge
GS by 4
model GS -1.4
Spread
Total
Winner
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel
line		Spread
edge		Model
total		Total
edge		Win
prob		Model
Spurs
4-2 · #3
111
Knicks
2-4 · #8
109
 NY -1.5 229.5 SA -1.3 SA +2.8 220.0 Under 9.5 54% SA ›
Heat
2-4 · #18
110
Celtics
5-1 · #5
120
 BOS -5.5 230.5 BOS -9.3 BOS +3.8 230.1 Under 0.4 75% BOS ›
76ers
6-1 · #16
111
Lakers
5-2 · #10
116
 LAL -1.5 237.5 LAL -5.2 LAL +3.7 227.3 Under 10.2 64% LAL ›
Thunder
4-2 · #6
108
Timberwolves
4-3 · #2
116
 OKC -4.5 234.5 MIN -7.6 MIN +12.1 223.7 Under 10.8 71% MIN ›
Nuggets
3-2 · #15
117
Warriors
4-3 · #13
118
 DEN -2.5 240.5 GS -1.4 GS +3.9 235.2 Under 5.3 54% GS ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record