When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

6 games · 2026 · Jacksonville Jaguars · pick one to list those games
33% went over. Of the 2 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 50% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 17% of games.

All 6 games

2026 · Jacksonville Jaguars · newest first
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2026 · Week 6
JAX -2.5 42.5 7315265 Q3 HOU Q1 34–31
2026 · Week 5
JAX -7.5 41.5 7212436 U PHI Q1
Lead lost
17–19
2026 · Week 4
CIN -2.5 51.5 3162639 U JAX Q1 22–17
2026 · Week 3
JAX -3 46.5 0173141 U JAX Q2 6–35
2026 · Week 2
DEN -2.5 45.5 0131933 U DEN Q4 13–20
2026 · Week 1
JAX -8.5 40.5 14243744 Q4 JAX Q1
Late over
10–34

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 67% 4
Q2 17% 1
Q3 0% 0
Q4 17% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 67% and covered 83% of 6 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 67% and covered 83% of 6 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over1100% 1
4–71100% 1
15–1710% 0
18–2110% 0
22+20% 0
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.