When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

6 games · 2026 · Dallas Cowboys · pick one to list those games
67% went over. Of the 4 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 20% of games.

All 6 games

2026 · Dallas Cowboys · newest first
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2026 · Week 6
DAL -1.5 54.5 7172736 U GB Q1 13–23
2026 · Week 5
DAL -8.5 49.5 7173440 U TB Q1 24–16
2026 · Week 4
HOU -3 48.5 13224364 Q4 DAL Q4 34–30
2026 · Week 3
BAL -3 54.5 17304565 Q4 Push
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
34–31
2026 · Week 2
DAL -4.5 51.5 10274057 Q4 DAL Q1
Late over
20–37
2026 · Week 1
DAL -3 47.5 7213548 Q4 NYG Q1 20–28

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 67% 4
Q2 0% 0
Q3 0% 0
Q4 17% 1
OT 0% 0
Push 17% 1
The team leading at halftime won 67% and covered 50% of 6 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 67% of 6 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
4–71100% 1
8–101100% 1
11–142100% 2
15–1710% 0
22+10% 0
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.