Resorts World Event Center · Neutral site
Closing line
SEA -2.5✓ UCSB covered by 5.5
SEA -2.5✓ UCSB covered by 5.5Closing total142.5Over by 2.5
| SEA | This season | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | Record | 3-2 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 1-4 |
| 3-3 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SEA 76–71 UCSB · ✗ SEA (65%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 32 | 39 | 71 |
| UCSB | 36 | 38 | 74 |
1st half: SEA 32, UCSB 36 (UCSB by 4). The model had SEA by 2.8 and a total of 68.7 (actual 68).
Team stats
| SEA | UCSB | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-48 56% | Field goals | 22-47 47% |
| 3-11 27% | 3-pointers | 8-21 38% |
| 14-22 64% | Free throws | 22-25 88% |
| 18 5 off | Rebounds | 33 13 off |
| 10 | Assists | 14 |
| 11 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| SEA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maleek Arington G | 36 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Will Heimbrodt F | 34 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 9-10 | 0-0 |
| Junseok Yeo F | 33 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 7-11 | 2-5 |
| Brayden Maldonado G | 23 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Houran Dan C | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Maurer C | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Miles Amos G | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| John Christofilis G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jojo Murphy G | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Brock Felder F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JT White, Stratos Papastavrou, Jeremiah Harshman, Yuto Kawashima, Eric Zheng, Ray Adams
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney G | 35 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-6 |
| Colin Smith F | 31 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Miro Little G | 30 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Zion Sensley G | 29 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 5-8 | 4-6 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 26 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| CJ Shaw G | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Michael Simcoe F | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Marvin McGhee IV G | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Evans Kipruto C | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| ZZ Clark G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Koat Keat Tong, Kyle Haughy, John Simcoe, Luke Zuffelato, Bryce Bedgood, Jason Fontenet II, Isaac Shingange
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSEA -2.5
ModelSEA -4.4
Model edgeSEA +1.9
L UCSB covered
Total
Market142.5
Model146.7
Model edgeOver 4.2
W Over
Projected score
SEA 75.5 · UCSB 71.2
SEA 71 · UCSB 74
Win probability
SEA 65%
1st half
Spread
SEA -2.8
UCSB -4.0
Total
68.7
68 points
Projected score
SEA 35.8 · UCSB 33
SEA 32 · UCSB 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -4.5
7 → SEA
CloseSEA -2.5
7 pts toward SEA
Total
Open142.5
no move
Close142.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SEA -155 · UCSB +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -4.5 · closed SEA -2.5 · moved 7 toward SEAmodel SEA -4.5
model SEA -4.5
Opened 142.5 · unchangedmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEAlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
| UCSBlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 1-4 20% | 3-2 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Seattle U
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
DEN
DENW 84-73
−2.5
8
vs
CP
CPL 71-73
−12.5
12
vs
EWU
EWUW 94-67
+18.5
15
vs
IDST
IDSTW 83-74
−2.5
21
@
STAN
STANW 77-69
+18.5
28
vs
TXST
TXSTW 66-52
+6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDEN
DENW 84-73
+20.5
8
vsCP
CPL 71-73
−20.5
12
vsEWU
EWUW 94-67
+12.5
15
vsIDST
IDSTW 83-74
+18.5
21
@STAN
STANW 77-69
−6.5
28
vsTXST
TXSTW 66-52
−18.5
over 3under 3avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Santa Barbara
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
1-4
20% covers · avg −4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
SJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+1.5
11
@
SAC
SACW 92-87
−2.5
17
vs
LMU
LMUL 74-78
−7.5
22
@
NEV
NEVL 64-77
−7.5
28
vs
LEH
LEHW 72-70
−8.5
covered 1didn’t cover 4avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+12.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
+17.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
+6.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−6.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−4.5
over 3under 2avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Seattle U
5-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas St66–52
- W@ Stanford77–69
- Wvs Idaho St83–74
- Wvs E Washington94–67
- Lvs Cal Poly71–73
1 day since their last game.
Santa Barbara
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lehigh72–70
- L@ Nevada64–77
- Lvs LMU74–78
- W@ Sacramento St92–87
- Wvs San José St85–74
1 day since their last game.