UVI Sports & Fitness Center · Neutral site
Closing line
YALE -6.5✓ YALE covered by 4.5
YALE -6.5✓ YALE covered by 4.5Closing total148.5Under by 11.5
| YALE | This season | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 2-3 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 2-3 |
| 4-1 | O/U | 2-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YALE 81–75 COFC · ✓ YALE (72%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 41 | 33 | 74 |
| COFC | 33 | 30 | 63 |
1st half: YALE 41, COFC 33 (YALE by 8). The model had YALE by 4.3 and a total of 73.0 (actual 74).
Team stats
| YALE | COFC | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-58 47% | Field goals | 21-55 38% |
| 9-21 43% | 3-pointers | 5-21 24% |
| 11-18 61% | Free throws | 16-24 67% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 35 10 off |
| 12 | Assists | 10 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 21 | Fouls | 21 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend F | 35 | 32 | 9 | 4 | 12-19 | 4-7 |
| Isaac Celiscar F | 30 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Casey Simmons G | 27 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Samson Aletan C | 19 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devon Arlington G | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Jack Sullivan F | 15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Riley Fox F | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Daniel Ogunyemi F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Courtney Wallace, Jacob Tsai, Alvin Loving, Jeannot Basima
| COFC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hickman G | 35 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4-12 | 2-6 |
| Chol Machot C | 24 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Martin Kalu G | 19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Christian Reeves C | 18 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Jlynn Counter G | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chadlyn Traylor G | 28 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Bryce Baker G | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Chris Davis Jr. G | 14 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Will Mortimore F | 14 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaxon Prunty G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kendall Taylor G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mister Dean, Joey Scarpitti, Colby Duggan, AJ Fowler, Djordje Curcic
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketYALE -6.5
ModelYALE -6.8
Model edgeYALE +0.3
W YALE covered
Total
Market148.5
Model155.8
Model edgeOver 7.3
L Under
Projected score
YALE 81.3 · COFC 74.5
YALE 74 · COFC 63
Win probability
YALE 72%
1st half
Spread
YALE -4.3
YALE -8.0
Total
73.0
74 points
Projected score
YALE 38.6 · COFC 34.4
YALE 41 · COFC 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYALE -7.5
1 → COFC
CloseYALE -6.5
1 pt toward COFC
Total
Open152.5
▼ 4
Close148.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
YALE -275 · COFC +225
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YALE -7.5 · closed YALE -6.5 · moved 1 toward COFCmodel YALE -7
model YALE -7
Opened 152.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 4 downmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALElast 5 | 4-1 80% | 2-3 40% | 4-1 80% |
| COFClast 5 | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Yale
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-1
80% overs · avg +6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@
QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
15
vs
STBK
STBKW 86-79
−13.5
18
vs
URI
URIL 77-86
−17.5
21
vs
GB
GBW 73-67
−11.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
+14.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
+9.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−8.5
over 4under 1avg +6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Charleston
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
LIB
LIBL 75-90
−5.5
8
vs
FAU
FAUL 77-94
−11.5
14
vs
SCST
SCSTW 88-61
+8.5
17
vs
DRKE
DRKEL 62-71
−16.5
21
vs
MASS
MASSW 69-65
+0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@LIB
LIBL 75-90
+19.5
8
vsFAU
FAUL 77-94
+14.5
14
vsSCST
SCSTW 88-61
−7.5
17
vsDRKE
DRKEL 62-71
−20.5
21
vsMASS
MASSW 69-65
−27.5
over 2under 3avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Yale
4-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Green Bay73–67
- Lvs Rhode Island77–86
- Wvs Stony Brook86–79
- W@ Quinnipiac97–60
- W@ Navy97–68
2 days since their last game.
Charleston
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UMass69–65
- Lvs Drake62–71
- Wvs SC State88–61
- Lvs FAU77–94
- L@ Liberty75–90
2 days since their last game.