State Farm Field House · Neutral site
Closing line
BRAD -1.5✓ UCSD covered by 11.5
BRAD -1.5✓ UCSD covered by 11.5Closing total145.5Over by 18.5
 UCSD | This season | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | Record | 3-3 |
| 4-0 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 2-2 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSD 74–72 BRAD · ✓ UCSD (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 44 | 43 | 87 |
| BRAD | 33 | 44 | 77 |
1st half: UCSD 44, BRAD 33 (UCSD by 11). The model had UCSD by 1.4 and a total of 68.3 (actual 77).
Team stats
| UCSD | BRAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-56 46% | Field goals | 26-62 42% |
| 12-28 43% | 3-pointers | 14-33 42% |
| 23-31 74% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 38 14 off |
| 14 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 13 | Fouls | 24 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie G | 34 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Leo Beath F | 32 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 8-14 | 3-5 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 29 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Aidan Burke G | 29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hudson Mayes G | 21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Alex Chaikin G | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Trap Johnson G | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Cade Pendleton F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Yaqub Mir, Ryder Elisaldez, Christopher Cox, Tyson Dunn, Jasen Brooks, Jaden Vance
| BRAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaquan Johnson G | 33 | 29 | 5 | 6 | 9-15 | 5-8 |
| Timoty van der Knaap G | 29 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Alex Huibregtse G | 27 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 6-12 | 6-11 |
| AJ Smith F | 26 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-1 |
| Ahmet Jonovic C | 25 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Montana Wheeler G | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Demarion Burch G | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Corey Thomas F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Kai Yu C | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Matthew Zobrist G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gus Rugaard, Dietrich Richardson, Jackson Seastrunk, Handy Toussaint III, Gustavo Guimares
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBRAD -1.5
ModelUCSD -2.0
Model edgeUCSD +3.5
W UCSD covered
Total
Market145.5
Model145.7
Model edgeOver 0.2
W Over
Projected score
UCSD 73.8 · BRAD 71.9
UCSD 87 · BRAD 77
Win probability
UCSD 57%
1st half
Spread
UCSD -1.4
UCSD -11.0
Total
68.3
77 points
Projected score
UCSD 34.8 · BRAD 33.5
UCSD 44 · BRAD 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -1.5
3 → BRAD
CloseBRAD -1.5
3 pts toward BRAD
Total
Open145.5
no move
Close145.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -1.5 · closed BRAD -1.5 · moved 3 toward BRADmodel UCSD -2
model UCSD -2
Opened 145.5 · unchangedmodel 145.5 matches the line
model 145.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSDlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 4-0 100% | 2-2 50% |
| BRADlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% | 3-3 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC San Diego
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-0
100% covers · avg +9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
HCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@
FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vs
IDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vs
TEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
covered 4didn’t cover 0avg +9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
over 2under 2avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bradley
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SBU
SBUL 63-69
−4.5
8
vs
CMU
CMUW 85-54
+21.5
12
vs
UTM
UTML 67-78
−26.5
15
@
SF
SFL 64-75
−1.5
19
vs
UML
UMLW 87-77
−11.5
24
vs
PRIN
PRINW 88-64
+14.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−7.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
−8.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
+0.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−7.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
+14.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+10.5
over 3under 3avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC San Diego
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Temple91–76
- Wvs Idaho75–67
- W@ Fresno St78–73
- Wvs Hou Christian78–60
1 day since their last game.
Bradley
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Princeton88–64
- Wvs UMass Lowell87–77
- L@ San Francisco64–75
- Lvs UT Martin67–78
- Wvs C Michigan85–54
1 day since their last game.